Reads as: riskier than 58.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
4
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
POWERBACK REHABILITATION LLC
32 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
44% fined
FC GEN OPERATIONS INVESTMENT LLC
23 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
40% fined
GENESIS ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
15 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
40% fined
GENESIS NJ HOLDINGS LLC
10 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.00
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.69
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.87
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.05
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
127.0
3.00
0.69
0.47
1.84
2.87
0.7%
2025Q3
92
120.4
2.98
0.66
0.47
1.85
2.87
0.0%
2025Q2
91
126.9
2.91
0.74
0.37
1.79
2.80
0.0%
2025Q1
90
129.0
3.04
0.81
0.39
1.84
2.88
0.0%
2024Q4
92
128.6
3.04
0.88
0.33
1.82
2.89
0.0%
2024Q3
92
129.5
3.10
0.91
0.38
1.81
2.88
0.0%
2024Q2
91
132.9
3.12
0.90
0.40
1.82
2.90
0.0%
2024Q1
91
135.8
2.98
0.84
0.39
1.75
2.76
0.0%
2023Q4
92
131.2
2.92
0.77
0.44
1.71
2.74
0.5%
2023Q3
92
132.0
2.80
0.70
0.44
1.67
2.64
0.0%
2023Q2
91
119.0
3.03
0.77
0.45
1.81
2.82
0.0%
2023Q1
90
123.4
3.00
0.82
0.37
1.81
2.81
2.0%
2022Q4
92
121.2
2.99
0.80
0.38
1.81
2.79
9.7%
2022Q3
92
119.2
3.01
0.66
0.49
1.86
2.90
16.2%
2022Q2
91
109.9
3.00
0.71
0.48
1.81
2.82
6.6%
2022Q1
90
103.8
3.11
0.81
0.43
1.87
2.94
7.9%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
19
B × 1C × 3D × 12E × 1F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-09-02
Health
F0570
Assure the security of all personal funds of residents deposited with the facility.
C
2025-09-22
2025-09-02
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
C
2025-09-22
2025-09-02
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2025-09-29
2025-09-02
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2025-09-17
2025-09-02
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-09-17
2025-09-02
Health
F0693
Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube.
D
2025-09-17
2025-09-02
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2025-09-17
2025-09-02
Health
F0838
Conduct and document a facility-wide assessment to determine what resources are necessary to care for residents competently during both day-to-day operations (including nights and weekends) and emergencies.
F
2025-09-29
2025-09-02
Health
F0919
Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area.
F
2025-11-18
2025-03-11
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2025-04-30
2025-03-11
Health · complaint
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2025-04-30
2025-03-11
Health · complaint
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
D
2025-04-30
2024-04-03
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
B
2024-05-31
2024-04-03
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
C
2024-05-31
2024-04-03
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2024-05-31
2021-11-09
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2021-12-17
2021-11-09
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2021-12-17
2021-11-09
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2022-02-03
2021-11-09
Health
F0919
Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area.
D
2021-12-17
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
34
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BERG, MICHAEL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2012-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
BRIDGEFORD, LAURA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
DUBLIN, TREVOR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-22
current
pecos_ownership
DUBLIN, TREVOR
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2024-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
FC-GEN OPERATIONS INVESTMENT LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2011-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
GEN OPERATIONS I LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2011-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
GEN OPERATIONS II LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2011-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
GENESIS ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-22
current
pecos_ownership
GENESIS HEALTHCARE INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2015-02-02
current
pecos_ownership
GENESIS HEALTHCARE LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2011-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
GENESIS HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2015-02-02
current
pecos_ownership
GENESIS NJ HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2011-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
GENESIS OPERATIONS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-22
current
pecos_ownership
GENESIS OPERATIONS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2011-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
MENDELSON, AVI
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
POWERBACK REHABILITATION LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-22
current
pecos_ownership
RUTKOWSKA, EWA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2024-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
RUTKOWSKA, EWA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-22
current
pecos_ownership
SUN HEALTHCARE GROUP INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2015-02-02
current
pecos_ownership
WHITMAN, ARNOLD
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2011-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
ZAC PROPERTIES XI LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2011-12-31
current
pecos_ownership
AVI MENDELSON
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EWA RUTKOWSKA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
100%
2024-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GHC HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2011-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LAURA BRIDGEFORD
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2022-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL BERG
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2012-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TREVOR DUBLIN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
100%
2024-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ARNOLD WHITMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
11%
2011-12-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
11%
2011-12-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVEN FISHMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2011-12-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WELLTOWER OP, LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2024-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SUNDANCE REHABILITATION HOLDCO INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2016-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EWA RUTKOWSKA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TREVOR DUBLIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,951,306
—
$793,565
$1,059,028
—
5
—
2023-12-31
$1,852,768
—
$756,394
$944,394
$52,632
5
—
2022-12-31
$2,533,728
—
$764,157
$775,685
$896,870
5
—
2021-12-31
$1,934,479
—
$700,410
$768,858
$402,478
5
—
2020-12-31
$1,541,866
—
$712,408
$638,017
$161,224
9
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34003
acs median gross
0
$1,638
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34003
fmr
0
$1,778
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34003
acs median gross
1
$1,698
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34003
fmr
1
$2,024
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34003
acs median gross
2
$2,014
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34003
fmr
2
$2,324
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34003
acs median gross
3
$2,431
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34003
fmr
3
$2,835
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34003
acs median gross
4
$3,170
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34003
fmr
4
$3,618
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34003
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34003
acs median gross
$1,914
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34003
acs recent mover gross
$2,373
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07410
acs median gross
0
$1,160
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07410
acs median gross
1
$1,661
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07410
acs median gross
2
$2,051
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07410
acs median gross
3
$2,734
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07410
acs median gross
4
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07410
acs median gross
5
$3,082
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07410
acs median gross
$1,917
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07410
acs recent mover gross
$2,060
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 07410
payment standard 110
0
$2,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
payment standard 90
0
$1,800
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
safmr
0
$2,000
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
payment standard 110
1
$2,508
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
payment standard 90
1
$2,052
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
safmr
1
$2,280
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
payment standard 110
2
$2,882
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
payment standard 90
2
$2,358
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
safmr
2
$2,620
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
payment standard 110
3
$3,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
payment standard 90
3
$2,880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
safmr
3
$3,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
payment standard 110
4
$4,488
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
payment standard 90
4
$3,672
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07410
safmr
4
$4,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.