Reads as: riskier than 77.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
5
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
anomaly
Federal penalty spike
35.9x prior
this facility
2026-07-29
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
14 chains
BRAND SONNENSCHINE LLP
42 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
9 chains
SCHWARTZ MARK
40 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
STERN ARYEH
29 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
STERN SAMUEL
14 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.17
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.26
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.08
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.20
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
113.0
4.17
0.26
1.69
2.22
4.08
35.2%
2025Q3
92
115.6
4.10
0.23
1.64
2.23
3.98
30.4%
2025Q2
91
111.1
4.34
0.33
1.67
2.35
4.16
39.7%
2025Q1
90
113.7
4.07
0.30
1.75
2.03
3.89
45.1%
2024Q4
92
102.2
4.14
0.33
1.72
2.09
4.12
40.8%
2024Q3
92
87.4
3.94
0.22
1.79
1.94
3.78
32.8%
2024Q2
91
84.4
3.89
0.34
1.52
2.04
3.57
28.6%
2024Q1
91
98.6
3.96
0.30
1.55
2.10
3.95
43.7%
2023Q4
92
91.1
3.64
0.31
1.28
2.04
3.68
38.2%
2023Q3
92
74.3
3.28
0.39
1.14
1.76
3.38
31.7%
2023Q2
91
72.8
3.97
0.59
1.03
2.36
4.14
41.4%
2023Q1
90
79.0
4.07
0.85
1.54
1.68
4.08
46.9%
2022Q4
92
69.2
3.57
0.88
1.32
1.36
3.48
21.0%
2022Q3
92
67.0
3.76
0.94
1.49
1.34
3.51
18.2%
2022Q2
91
61.7
3.87
0.99
1.08
1.80
3.77
20.3%
2022Q1
90
78.6
4.26
0.95
1.37
1.93
4.19
43.9%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Protect each resident from the wrongful use of the resident's belongings or money.
E
2026-04-10
2026-03-24
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2026-04-10
2026-03-24
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
D
2026-04-10
2026-03-24
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
E
2026-04-10
2026-03-24
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2026-04-10
2026-03-24
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2026-04-15
2026-03-24
Health
F0806
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options.
D
2026-04-10
2026-03-24
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2026-04-15
2025-12-10
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2026-01-20
2025-09-26
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
J
2025-09-24
2025-09-26
Health · complaint
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
J
2025-09-26
2025-09-26
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
J
2025-09-26
2025-09-26
Health · complaint
F0865
Have a plan that describes the process for conducting QAPI and QAA activities.
F
2025-11-11
2025-09-26
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-11-10
2024-11-27
Health · complaint
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2024-12-24
2024-11-27
Health · complaint
F0808
Ensure therapeutic diets are prescribed by the attending physician and may be delegated to a registered or licensed dietitian, to the extent allowed by State law.
J
2024-11-13
2024-10-30
Health · complaint
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
D
2024-11-30
2024-10-30
Health · complaint
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2024-11-30
2024-10-30
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2024-11-30
2024-10-30
Health · complaint
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
D
2024-11-30
2024-07-30
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-08-29
2024-01-22
Health · complaint
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
E
2024-03-04
2023-06-23
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2023-08-08
2023-06-23
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2023-08-08
2023-06-23
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2023-08-08
2023-06-23
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2023-08-08
2023-06-23
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-08-08
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
17
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
113 S ROUTE 73 HOLDCO
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
95%
2023-02-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
113 S ROUTE 73 HOLDCO
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
95%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
113 SOUTH ROUTE 73 HOLDCO LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
113 SOUTH ROUTE 73 PROPCO LLC
—
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BRAND SONNENSCHINE LLP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
PECORA, ANDREW
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
RABINOVITS, ZACKARY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCHWARTZ, MARK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
SCHWARTZ, MARK
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
STERN, ARYEH
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
STERN, SAMUEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
ARYEH STERN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
95%
2024-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK SCHWARTZ
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2025-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANDREW PECORA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK SCHWARTZ
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SAMUEL STERN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZACKARY RABINOVITS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
7
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$4,508,698
$2,891,282
—
$1,436,500
—
6
propco
2024-01-31
$388,332
$251,100
—
$121,500
—
6
propco
2023-12-31
$4,540,805
$2,802,600
$36,621
$1,541,860
—
6
propco
2022-12-31
$556,945
—
$556,945
—
—
2
—
2021-12-31
$46,074
—
$46,074
—
—
2
—
2021-11-28
$1,570,477
—
$288,462
$703,906
$564,707
5
—
2020-12-31
$4,634,916
—
$1,027,112
$2,640,484
$916,177
9
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34007
acs median gross
0
$1,114
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34007
fmr
0
$1,397
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34007
acs median gross
1
$1,177
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34007
fmr
1
$1,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34007
acs median gross
2
$1,499
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34007
fmr
2
$1,810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34007
acs median gross
3
$1,763
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34007
fmr
3
$2,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34007
acs median gross
4
$1,802
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34007
fmr
4
$2,423
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34007
acs median gross
5
$1,981
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34007
acs median gross
$1,402
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34007
acs recent mover gross
$1,567
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08043
acs median gross
0
$1,455
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08043
acs median gross
1
$1,678
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08043
acs median gross
2
$1,824
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08043
acs median gross
3
$2,238
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08043
acs median gross
$1,754
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08043
acs recent mover gross
$1,956
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 08043
payment standard 110
0
$1,892
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
payment standard 90
0
$1,548
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
safmr
0
$1,720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
payment standard 110
1
$2,057
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
payment standard 90
1
$1,683
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
safmr
1
$1,870
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
payment standard 110
2
$2,453
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
payment standard 90
2
$2,007
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
safmr
2
$2,230
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
payment standard 110
3
$2,937
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
payment standard 90
3
$2,403
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
safmr
3
$2,670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
payment standard 110
4
$3,289
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
payment standard 90
4
$2,691
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08043
safmr
4
$2,990
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.