Composite
64.7 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 80.5 | 53.3 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 18.58 | in index |
| financial risk | 59.0 | 51.6 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 13.62 | in index |
| regulatory risk | 41.6 | 30.5 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 9.60 | in index |
| chow risk | 80.7 | 61.5 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 9.31 | in index |
| staffing risk | 14.3 | 14.4 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 2.75 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 53.3 | C | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 55.0 | C | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 67.9 | D | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 51.6 | C | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.0 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 0.1 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 30.5 | B | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 14.4 | A | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 62.2 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 42.2 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 53.4 | C | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 55.2 | C | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 30.4 | B | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 30.4 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 14.4 | A | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 14.4 | A | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Never sold on record | 0.00 | -1.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 8.13 | -1.06 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Contract staffing share | 0.34 | +0.43 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Total nurse staffing (HPRD) | 4.13 | -0.22 | |
| Occupancy | 0.77 | -0.21 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| Chain size (log) | 2.83 | -0.45 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 10.00 | -0.43 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Total nurse staffing (HPRD) | 4.13 | -0.38 | |
| Contract staffing share | 0.34 | +0.29 | |
| Never sold on record | 0.00 | -0.28 | |
| Staffing trend, last 4 quarters | 0.62 | +0.26 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | NJ median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 4.13 | 3.31 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.20 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 3.83 | 3.21 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 4.25 | 3.37 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 134.1 | 4.13 | 0.20 | 1.59 | 2.33 | 3.83 | 33.8% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 130.3 | 3.97 | 0.24 | 1.45 | 2.29 | 3.93 | 30.1% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 128.7 | 3.94 | 0.27 | 1.46 | 2.22 | 3.86 | 23.6% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 136.2 | 3.71 | 0.27 | 1.48 | 1.96 | 3.48 | 22.5% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 126.4 | 3.51 | 0.25 | 1.34 | 1.91 | 3.51 | 17.4% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 134.4 | 3.65 | 0.28 | 1.39 | 1.98 | 3.57 | 22.8% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 131.7 | 3.28 | 0.59 | 1.01 | 1.67 | 3.04 | 11.9% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 135.2 | 3.87 | 0.28 | 1.51 | 2.08 | 3.59 | 23.4% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 139.0 | 3.36 | 0.43 | 1.14 | 1.79 | 3.37 | 9.1% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 140.7 | 3.45 | 0.48 | 1.16 | 1.80 | 3.41 | 8.8% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 132.9 | 3.61 | 0.45 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 3.44 | 10.3% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 133.7 | 3.68 | 0.43 | 1.34 | 1.92 | 3.59 | 12.9% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 133.1 | 3.51 | 0.17 | 1.42 | 1.92 | 3.19 | 5.0% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 122.6 | 3.94 | 0.24 | 1.48 | 2.22 | 3.62 | 7.7% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 124.7 | 3.83 | 0.25 | 1.30 | 2.28 | 3.48 | 7.8% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 117.2 | 4.00 | 0.38 | 1.27 | 2.35 | 3.58 | 6.8% |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | E | 2026-03-30 |
| 2026-02-19 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2026-03-30 |
| 2026-02-19 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2026-03-30 |
| 2026-02-19 | Health | F0688 | Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason. | D | 2026-03-30 |
| 2026-02-19 | Health | F0698 | Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services. | D | 2026-03-30 |
| 2026-02-19 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2026-03-30 |
| 2026-02-19 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | F | 2026-03-30 |
| 2026-02-19 | Health | F0814 | Dispose of garbage and refuse properly. | F | 2026-03-30 |
| 2026-02-19 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | E | 2026-03-30 |
| 2026-02-19 | Health | F0945 | Include as part of its infection prevention and control program, mandatory training that includes written standards, policies, and procedures for the program. | D | 2026-03-30 |
| 2024-10-09 | Health · complaint | F0610 | Respond appropriately to all alleged violations. | D | 2024-11-15 |
| 2024-10-09 | Health · complaint | F0657 | Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals. | D | 2024-11-15 |
| 2024-10-09 | Health · complaint | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2024-11-15 |
| 2024-10-09 | Health · complaint | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2024-11-15 |
| 2024-10-09 | Health | F0756 | Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures. | E | 2024-11-15 |
| 2024-10-09 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2024-11-15 |
| 2024-10-09 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | F | 2024-11-15 |
| 2024-10-09 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | 2024-11-15 |
| 2023-12-29 | Health · complaint | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2024-01-26 |
| 2023-12-29 | Health · complaint | F0690 | Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections. | D | 2024-01-26 |
| 2023-12-29 | Health · complaint | F0725 | Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift. | E | 2024-01-26 |
| 2023-12-29 | Health · complaint | F0919 | Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area. | D | 2024-01-26 |
| 2023-05-19 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2023-06-30 |
| 2023-05-19 | Health | F0576 | Ensure residents have reasonable access to and privacy in their use of communication methods. | E | 2023-06-30 |
| 2023-05-19 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2023-06-30 |
| 2023-05-19 | Health | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | E | 2023-06-30 |
| 2023-05-19 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2023-06-30 |
| 2023-05-19 | Health | F0801 | Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician. | F | 2023-06-30 |
| 2023-05-19 | Health | F0802 | Provide sufficient support personnel to safely and effectively carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service. | E | 2023-06-30 |
| 2023-05-19 | Health | F0804 | Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature. | E | 2023-06-30 |
| 2023-05-19 | Health | F0809 | Ensure meals and snacks are served at times in accordance with resident’s needs, preferences, and requests. Suitable and nourishing alternative meals and snacks must be provided for residents who want to eat at non-traditional times or outside of scheduled meal times. | E | 2023-06-30 |
| 2023-05-19 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | E | 2023-06-30 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LINWOOD REALTY | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 59% | 2024-01-01 | current | hcris_a_8_1 |
| LINWOOD REALTY | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 59% | 2023-01-01 | current | hcris_a_8_1 |
| PEACE CAPITAL LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 59% | 2018-06-13 | current | pecos_ownership |
| EEF CAPITAL LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 40% | 2018-06-13 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SCHLAFF, BENNY | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 20% | 2018-06-13 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SCHLAFF, NACHUM | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 20% | 2018-06-13 | current | pecos_ownership |
| STEIN, SHALOM | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | — | 2018-06-13 | current | pecos_ownership |
| LINWOOD REALTY | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 59% | 2022-01-01 | ended 2022-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| LINWOOD REALTY | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 59% | 2020-01-01 | ended 2020-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| SHALOM STEIN | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 59% | 2018-06-13 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| BENNY SCHLAFF | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 20% | 2018-06-13 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| NACHUM SCHLAFF | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 20% | 2018-06-13 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| LINWOOD REALTY | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | — | 2021-01-01 | ended 2021-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| Close date | Price | Buyer | Seller | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018-06-13 | — | COMPLETE CARE AT LINWOOD LLC | 201 NEW ROAD OPERATIONS LLC | chow |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-06 | RIVERSIDE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER LLC | — | — | — | 141 | RIVERSIDE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER LLC |
| 2024-04-01 | ATLAS REHABILITATION & HEALTHCARE AT WEST DEPTFOR | — | — | — | 156 | WEST DEPTFORD SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-04-01 | ATLAS REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE AT WASHINGTON | — | — | — | 120 | SEWELL SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-04-01 | ACCELERATE SKILLED NURSING AND REHAB PISCATAWAY | — | — | — | 124 | SKILES AVENUE AND STERLING DRIVE URBAN RENEWAL OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | MEADOWBROOK RESPIRATORY AND NURSING CENTER | — | — | — | 130 | MATAWAN SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | ATLAS POST ACUTE AT WOODBURY COUNTRY CLUB | — | — | — | 124 | WOODBURY SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-02-01 | THE SUBACUTE AT AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE | — | — | — | 124 | 113 SOUTH ROUTE 73 OPCO LLC |
| 2024-02-01 | MOHAWK MEADOWS | — | — | — | 159 | BEMET LLC |
| 2024-01-08 | TOTAL REHAB MOORESTOWN | — | — | — | 124 | MOORESTOWN OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-01-01 | AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE AT VOORHEES | — | — | — | 120 | 1086 DUMONT CIRCLE OPCO LLC |
| 2024-01-01 | HARTWYCK AT OAK TREE | — | — | — | 120 | HACKENSACK MERIDIAN AMBULATORY CARE, INC. |
| 2023-12-27 | MOUNTAINSIDE SKILLED NURSING AND REHAB | — | — | — | 151 | MOUNTAINSIDE NURSING AND REHAB BHC OPERATIONS |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 34001 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,009 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34001 | fmr | 0 | $1,346 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 34001 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,123 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34001 | fmr | 1 | $1,537 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 34001 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,430 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34001 | fmr | 2 | $1,867 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 34001 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,782 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34001 | fmr | 3 | $2,586 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 34001 | acs median gross | 4 | $2,007 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34001 | fmr | 4 | $2,851 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 34001 | acs median gross | 5 | $2,097 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34001 | acs median gross | $1,376 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 34001 | acs recent mover gross | $1,722 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 08221 | acs median gross | 2 | $2,086 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 08221 | acs median gross | 3 | $2,307 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 08221 | acs median gross | $2,188 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 08221 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $2,189 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $1,791 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | safmr | 0 | $1,990 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $2,497 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $2,043 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | safmr | 1 | $2,270 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $3,036 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $2,484 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | safmr | 2 | $2,760 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $4,202 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $3,438 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | safmr | 3 | $3,820 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $4,631 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $3,789 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 08221 | safmr | 4 | $4,210 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |