Reads as: riskier than 36.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NC median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.73
3.08
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.15
0.30
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.71
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.73
3.14
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
62.9
2.73
0.15
0.70
1.88
2.71
0.0%
2025Q3
92
63.1
2.65
0.16
0.66
1.84
2.44
0.0%
2025Q2
91
65.2
2.50
0.08
0.76
1.66
2.35
0.0%
2025Q1
90
63.0
1.95
0.11
0.54
1.30
1.82
0.0%
2024Q4
92
54.9
2.50
0.13
0.74
1.63
2.28
0.0%
2024Q3
92
58.7
2.34
0.16
0.72
1.46
2.14
0.0%
2024Q2
91
59.9
2.52
0.14
0.80
1.57
2.23
0.0%
2024Q1
91
61.4
2.12
0.08
0.75
1.29
1.88
0.0%
2023Q4
92
60.8
2.34
0.10
0.75
1.50
2.15
0.0%
2023Q3
92
61.5
2.40
0.10
0.72
1.59
2.32
0.0%
2023Q2
91
55.8
2.53
0.07
0.75
1.71
2.45
0.0%
2023Q1
90
58.7
2.46
0.13
0.73
1.61
2.35
0.0%
2022Q4
92
55.7
2.75
0.23
0.79
1.74
2.52
0.0%
2022Q3
92
49.9
2.90
0.19
0.95
1.76
2.74
0.6%
2022Q2
91
40.9
3.13
0.27
1.03
1.83
2.78
20.4%
2022Q1
90
46.5
2.58
0.21
0.81
1.56
2.43
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2026-03-07
2026-02-19
Health
F0577
Allow residents to easily view the nursing home's survey results and communicate with advocate agencies.
C
2026-03-06
2026-02-19
Health · complaint
F0602
Protect each resident from the wrongful use of the resident's belongings or money.
D
2026-03-06
2026-02-19
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2026-03-06
2026-02-19
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2026-03-06
2026-02-19
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
B
2026-03-06
2026-02-19
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
C
2026-03-06
2026-02-19
Health
F0742
Provide the appropriate treatment and services to a resident who displays or is diagnosed with mental disorder or psychosocial adjustment difficulty, or who has a history of trauma and/or post-traumatic stress disorder.
D
2026-03-06
2026-02-19
Health
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2026-03-06
2026-02-19
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2026-03-06
2026-02-19
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2026-03-06
2025-11-07
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2025-11-10
2024-11-21
Health · complaint
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
D
2024-12-18
2024-11-21
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
B
2024-12-18
2024-11-21
Health
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
C
2024-12-18
2024-11-21
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2024-12-18
2024-11-21
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-12-18
2024-11-21
Health · complaint
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2024-12-18
2024-11-21
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2024-12-18
2024-11-21
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
B
2024-12-18
2024-11-21
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-12-18
2024-08-22
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2024-05-27
2024-01-30
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
B
2024-02-08
2023-08-16
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
B
2023-09-07
2023-08-16
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2023-09-07
2023-08-16
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-09-07
2023-08-16
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
D
2023-09-07
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
24
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ARCHDALE PARENTCO LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
BERNARDINI, HOLLY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
FC ENCORE ARCHDALE LLC
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
FREEMAN, EVELYN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
HOBACK, TIFFANY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
JONES, TEQUILLA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH, DAWSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
NCOP HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
NU C II IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
NU C IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
RANDOLPH HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SEMONES, BRANDI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
SNF CARE CENTERS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SNF MGR LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-19
current
pecos_ownership
SNF MGR LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZENITH HOLDCO II LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZENITH HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
BRANDI SEMONES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAWSON JOSEPH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
EVELYN FREEMAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HOLLY BERNARDINI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
HOLLY LAYMAN-BERNARDINI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TEQUILLA JONES
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIFFANY HOBACK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$333,790
—
—
—
—
3
—
2023-12-31
$300,416
—
—
—
—
3
—
2022-12-31
$258,584
—
—
—
—
4
—
2021-12-31
$240,090
—
—
—
—
4
—
2020-12-31
$264,008
—
—
—
—
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 37081
acs median gross
0
$1,077
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37081
fmr
0
$1,159
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37081
acs median gross
1
$1,040
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37081
fmr
1
$1,213
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37081
acs median gross
2
$1,122
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37081
fmr
2
$1,330
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37081
acs median gross
3
$1,358
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37081
fmr
3
$1,703
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37081
acs median gross
4
$1,655
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37081
fmr
4
$1,960
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37081
acs median gross
5
$2,116
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37081
acs median gross
$1,163
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37081
acs recent mover gross
$1,374
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 27263
acs median gross
0
$846
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 27263
acs median gross
1
$833
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 27263
acs median gross
2
$903
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 27263
acs median gross
3
$1,151
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 27263
acs median gross
$973
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 27263
acs recent mover gross
$1,022
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 27263
payment standard 110
0
$1,122
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
payment standard 90
0
$918
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
safmr
0
$1,020
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
payment standard 110
1
$1,177
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
payment standard 90
1
$963
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
safmr
1
$1,070
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
payment standard 110
2
$1,287
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
payment standard 90
2
$1,053
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
safmr
2
$1,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
payment standard 110
3
$1,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
payment standard 90
3
$1,350
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
safmr
3
$1,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
payment standard 110
4
$1,892
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
payment standard 90
4
$1,548
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 27263
safmr
4
$1,720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.