Reads as: riskier than 23.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NC median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.75
3.08
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.44
0.30
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.76
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.74
3.14
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
60.1
2.75
0.44
0.66
1.65
2.76
0.0%
2025Q3
92
59.4
2.78
0.34
0.79
1.65
2.81
0.0%
2025Q2
91
58.6
2.73
0.30
0.84
1.59
2.74
0.0%
2025Q1
90
58.0
2.68
0.30
0.86
1.51
2.79
0.0%
2024Q4
92
57.4
2.64
0.23
0.83
1.58
2.71
0.0%
2024Q3
92
57.4
2.66
0.21
0.83
1.62
2.55
0.0%
2024Q2
91
58.7
2.60
0.21
0.83
1.56
2.54
0.0%
2024Q1
91
58.3
2.76
0.24
0.85
1.67
2.75
0.0%
2023Q4
92
58.5
2.75
0.27
0.80
1.68
2.73
0.0%
2023Q3
92
60.8
2.67
0.24
0.63
1.80
2.58
0.0%
2023Q2
91
60.2
2.64
0.17
0.81
1.66
2.66
0.0%
2023Q1
90
60.7
2.62
0.13
0.75
1.74
2.58
0.1%
2022Q4
92
58.7
2.51
0.09
0.82
1.60
2.51
1.6%
2022Q3
92
58.3
2.21
0.10
0.85
1.26
2.18
4.2%
2022Q2
91
56.3
2.02
0.09
0.74
1.20
1.95
26.4%
2022Q1
90
55.8
2.64
0.12
0.82
1.71
2.50
38.8%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
11
B × 1D × 8E × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-05-08
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2025-06-03
2025-05-08
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-06-03
2025-05-08
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-06-03
2024-03-14
Health
F0553
Allow resident to participate in the development and implementation of his or her person-centered plan of care.
D
2024-04-10
2024-03-14
Health
F0561
Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice.
E
2024-04-10
2024-03-14
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2024-04-10
2024-03-14
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
E
2024-04-10
2022-08-31
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
B
2022-10-04
2022-08-31
Health
F0745
Provide medically-related social services to help each resident achieve the highest possible quality of life.
D
2022-10-04
2022-08-31
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
D
2022-10-04
2022-08-31
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2022-10-04
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
22
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
CAPOROSSI, LISA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
HAWKINS, XAVIER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
HOBACK, TIFFANY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
JONES, TEQUILLA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
LINCOLNTON PARENTCO LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
NCOP HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
NU C II IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
NU C IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
PHILLIPS, ALLEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
QUEEN METRO HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SEMONES, BRANDI
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
SNF CARE CENTERS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SNF MGR LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-19
current
pecos_ownership
SNF MGR LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZENITH HOLDCO II LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZENITH HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
ALLEN PHILLIPS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRANDI SEMONES
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LISA CAPOROSSI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TEQUILLA JONES
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIFFANY HOBACK
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
XAVIER HAWKINS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$360,970
—
—
—
—
3
—
2023-12-31
$342,763
—
—
—
—
3
—
2022-12-31
$297,957
—
—
—
—
3
—
2021-12-31
$264,489
—
—
—
—
4
—
2020-12-31
$302,794
—
—
—
—
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 37109
acs median gross
0
$909
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37109
fmr
0
$917
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37109
acs median gross
1
$936
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37109
fmr
1
$953
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37109
acs median gross
2
$883
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37109
fmr
2
$1,054
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37109
acs median gross
3
$1,172
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37109
fmr
3
$1,461
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37109
acs median gross
4
$1,867
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37109
fmr
4
$1,728
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37109
acs median gross
5
$2,536
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37109
acs median gross
$1,015
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37109
acs recent mover gross
$1,106
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28092
acs median gross
0
$921
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28092
acs median gross
1
$952
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28092
acs median gross
2
$912
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28092
acs median gross
3
$1,155
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28092
acs median gross
4
$1,675
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28092
acs median gross
$996
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28092
acs recent mover gross
$1,139
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 28092
payment standard 110
0
$979
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
payment standard 90
0
$801
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
safmr
0
$890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
payment standard 110
1
$1,012
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
payment standard 90
1
$828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
safmr
1
$920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
payment standard 110
2
$1,111
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
payment standard 90
2
$909
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
safmr
2
$1,010
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
payment standard 110
3
$1,540
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
payment standard 90
3
$1,260
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
safmr
3
$1,400
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
payment standard 110
4
$1,848
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
payment standard 90
4
$1,512
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28092
safmr
4
$1,680
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.