Reads as: riskier than 90.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
13
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.40
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.23
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.21
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.48
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
91.2
3.40
0.23
0.79
2.38
3.21
15.0%
2025Q3
92
92.3
2.46
0.17
0.55
1.74
2.45
30.0%
2025Q2
91
94.4
3.06
0.26
0.73
2.07
2.75
25.3%
2025Q1
90
86.2
2.80
0.28
0.76
1.76
2.36
13.3%
2024Q4
92
89.0
3.14
0.21
0.88
2.05
2.73
19.7%
2024Q3
92
84.2
3.08
0.23
0.92
1.93
2.78
19.2%
2024Q2
91
86.3
2.83
0.28
0.86
1.70
2.56
11.2%
2024Q1
91
87.4
2.09
0.25
0.62
1.22
1.89
8.5%
2023Q4
92
78.0
3.38
0.37
0.96
2.05
3.05
4.4%
2023Q3
92
101.8
3.01
0.24
0.91
1.85
2.70
17.1%
2022Q3
92
36.0
7.87
0.81
2.63
4.43
7.05
24.1%
2022Q2
91
34.9
8.21
0.89
2.71
4.62
7.14
22.9%
2022Q1
90
33.2
8.41
0.87
2.66
4.88
7.14
0.5%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health · complaint
F0552
Ensure that residents are fully informed and understand their health status, care and treatments.
D
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
D
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0637
Assess the resident when there is a significant change in condition
D
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0638
Assure that each resident’s assessment is updated at least once every 3 months.
D
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
L
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
E
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2025-03-18
2025-02-12
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-03-18
2023-01-11
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-02-03
2023-01-11
Health
F0678
Provide basic life support, including CPR, prior to the arrival of emergency medical personnel , subject to physician orders and the resident’s advance directives.
D
2023-02-24
2023-01-11
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-02-24
2023-01-11
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2023-02-24
2023-01-11
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-02-03
2020-11-13
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2020-12-04
2020-11-13
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2020-12-04
2020-11-13
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2020-12-04
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
12
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
GUITTARI, NICHOLAS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-30
current
pecos_ownership
MBAKAYA, ELIZABETH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2010-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
NEW COMMUNITY CORPORATION
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-30
current
pecos_ownership
NEW COMMUNITY CORPORATION
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
NEW COMMUNITY URC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
NEW COMMUNITY URC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
ONWUNAKA, VERONICA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-30
current
pecos_ownership
ROHMAN, RICHARD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
ELIZABETH MBAKAYA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2010-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NICHOLAS GUITTARI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD ROHMAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2017-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VERONICA ONWUNAKA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,928,904
—
—
—
$91,115
2
propco
2023-12-31
$1,909,783
—
—
—
$97,873
2
propco
2022-12-31
$1,986,837
$996,917
—
—
$81,418
1
—
2021-12-31
$2,079,528
$996,917
—
—
$88,989
1
—
2020-12-31
$2,299,616
$996,916
—
—
$112,000
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34013
acs median gross
0
$1,241
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
fmr
0
$1,612
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34013
acs median gross
1
$1,289
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
fmr
1
$1,822
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34013
acs median gross
2
$1,638
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
fmr
2
$2,205
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34013
acs median gross
3
$1,864
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
fmr
3
$2,761
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34013
acs median gross
4
$2,214
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
fmr
4
$3,137
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34013
acs median gross
5
$2,456
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
acs median gross
$1,531
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
acs recent mover gross
$1,871
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07103
acs median gross
0
$1,234
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07103
acs median gross
1
$522
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07103
acs median gross
2
$1,348
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07103
acs median gross
3
$1,690
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07103
acs median gross
4
$1,911
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07103
acs median gross
$1,323
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07103
acs recent mover gross
$1,676
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 07103
payment standard 110
0
$1,551
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
payment standard 90
0
$1,269
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
safmr
0
$1,410
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
payment standard 110
1
$1,760
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
payment standard 90
1
$1,440
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
safmr
1
$1,600
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
payment standard 110
2
$2,123
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
payment standard 90
2
$1,737
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
safmr
2
$1,930
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
payment standard 110
3
$2,673
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
payment standard 90
3
$2,187
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
safmr
3
$2,430
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
payment standard 110
4
$3,036
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
payment standard 90
4
$2,484
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07103
safmr
4
$2,760
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.