Reads as: riskier than 18.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NC median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.03
3.08
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.45
0.30
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.92
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.07
3.14
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
104.8
3.03
0.45
0.76
1.82
2.92
5.5%
2025Q3
92
106.0
3.23
0.49
0.77
1.97
3.11
18.7%
2025Q2
91
101.0
3.36
0.62
0.68
2.05
3.19
29.7%
2025Q1
90
106.5
3.07
0.56
0.68
1.83
2.90
25.5%
2024Q4
92
102.5
3.21
0.62
0.69
1.90
3.05
24.9%
2024Q3
92
104.4
3.30
0.43
0.86
2.01
3.07
28.6%
2024Q2
91
99.3
3.30
0.31
0.98
2.01
3.21
32.1%
2024Q1
91
104.0
3.12
0.38
0.87
1.88
2.94
12.4%
2023Q4
92
101.6
3.08
0.28
0.95
1.86
2.97
6.7%
2023Q3
92
95.5
3.14
0.29
0.98
1.87
3.02
2.5%
2023Q2
91
99.3
3.25
0.38
0.90
1.99
3.16
19.9%
2023Q1
90
78.1
4.46
0.31
1.39
2.76
4.54
39.7%
2022Q4
92
94.3
2.42
0.15
0.66
1.60
2.78
69.8%
2022Q3
92
88.3
2.78
0.40
0.80
1.58
1.39
5.7%
2022Q2
91
81.9
5.01
0.55
1.51
2.94
4.19
41.6%
2022Q1
90
78.1
5.13
0.44
1.65
3.04
4.40
34.3%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
15
B × 1D × 12E × 1G × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-12-11
Health · complaint
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2026-01-07
2025-12-11
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2026-01-07
2025-12-11
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2026-01-07
2025-12-11
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2026-01-07
2024-09-27
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-27
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2024-10-18
2024-09-27
Health · complaint
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2024-02-28
2024-09-27
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-10-18
2023-08-08
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2023-09-05
2023-05-25
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2023-06-19
2023-05-25
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
B
2023-06-19
2023-05-25
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2023-06-19
2023-05-25
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-06-19
2023-05-25
Health
F0791
Provide or obtain dental services for each resident.
G
2023-06-19
2023-05-25
Health
F0914
Provide bedrooms that don't allow residents to see each other when privacy is needed.
D
2023-06-19
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
30
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
CITRIN COOPERMAN ADVISORS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
HOPPING, DARIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
JONES, JOYCE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-16
current
pecos_ownership
NICOLUZAKIS, GREGORY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
OHL ASSET (NC) HUNTERSVILLE SNF, LP
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2022-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
PATEL, SANDEEP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
SABER GOVERNANCE LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
SABER HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
SABER HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-24
current
pecos_ownership
SHG BOA LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-24
current
pecos_ownership
SHG MANAGEMENT LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHG MT, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-24
current
pecos_ownership
TCF NATIONAL BANK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
VOLPE, BENJAMIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
WALKER & ASSOCIATES PC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-12-18
current
pecos_ownership
WEISBERG, WILLIAM
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
WEISBERG, WILLIAM
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-24
current
pecos_ownership
WEISBERG, WILLIAM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
SABER HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WIW DYNASTY LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
78%
2022-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DECANTED WILLIAM I. WEISBERG FAMILY DYNASTY TRUST (DATED SEPT 30, 2020
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
67%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BENJAMIN VOLPE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
50%
2022-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM WEISBERG
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
50%
2022-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BENJAMIN N. VOLPE FAMILY DYNASTY TRUST (DATED DECEMBER 29, 2020)
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2022-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BNV DYNASTY LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2022-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DARIN HOPPING
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GREGORY NICOLUZAKIS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOYCE JONES
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-06-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SANDEEP PATEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM WEISBERG
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
2
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,946,497
—
—
$1,131,528
$245,935
5
—
2023-12-31
$1,713,588
—
—
$1,206,178
$4,045
5
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 37119
acs median gross
0
$1,489
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
fmr
0
$1,469
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37119
acs median gross
1
$1,457
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
fmr
1
$1,538
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37119
acs median gross
2
$1,621
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
fmr
2
$1,686
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37119
acs median gross
3
$1,792
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
fmr
3
$2,076
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37119
acs median gross
4
$2,139
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
fmr
4
$2,637
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37119
acs median gross
5
$2,796
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
acs median gross
$1,627
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
acs recent mover gross
$1,783
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28078
acs median gross
0
$1,383
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28078
acs median gross
1
$1,455
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28078
acs median gross
2
$1,780
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28078
acs median gross
3
$2,089
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28078
acs median gross
4
$2,525
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28078
acs median gross
5
$2,492
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28078
acs median gross
$1,820
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28078
acs recent mover gross
$1,840
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 28078
payment standard 110
0
$2,002
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
payment standard 90
0
$1,638
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
safmr
0
$1,820
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
payment standard 110
1
$2,101
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
payment standard 90
1
$1,719
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
safmr
1
$1,910
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
payment standard 110
2
$2,299
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
payment standard 90
2
$1,881
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
safmr
2
$2,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
payment standard 110
3
$2,827
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
payment standard 90
3
$2,313
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
safmr
3
$2,570
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
payment standard 110
4
$3,597
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
payment standard 90
4
$2,943
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28078
safmr
4
$3,270
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.