Reads as: riskier than 77.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.49
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.68
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.22
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.60
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
115.1
4.49
0.68
1.28
2.54
4.22
0.0%
2025Q3
92
111.2
5.13
0.70
1.77
2.66
4.63
2.4%
2025Q2
91
110.9
5.18
0.65
1.56
2.97
5.23
12.3%
2025Q1
90
111.6
5.07
0.45
1.72
2.91
5.14
16.2%
2024Q4
92
111.8
4.93
0.47
1.59
2.87
5.06
12.2%
2024Q3
92
113.9
4.70
0.49
1.49
2.71
4.69
8.7%
2024Q2
91
112.5
4.60
0.48
1.41
2.70
4.61
9.8%
2024Q1
91
107.3
4.74
0.54
1.44
2.77
4.78
6.7%
2023Q4
92
108.5
4.74
0.51
1.41
2.82
4.80
16.2%
2023Q3
92
90.4
4.68
0.53
1.43
2.73
4.59
7.6%
2023Q2
91
82.8
4.32
0.43
1.35
2.54
4.25
5.1%
2023Q1
90
85.0
4.24
0.52
1.20
2.52
4.17
2.1%
2022Q4
92
88.1
4.85
0.57
1.45
2.83
4.48
1.8%
2022Q3
92
96.0
5.17
0.67
1.47
3.03
4.75
5.4%
2022Q2
91
96.0
5.00
0.62
1.26
3.12
4.54
1.1%
2022Q1
90
93.2
5.12
0.58
1.36
3.17
4.75
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2026-02-23
2026-01-28
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2026-02-25
2025-03-28
Health
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
K
2025-04-21
2025-03-28
Health
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
K
2025-04-21
2025-03-28
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
E
2025-04-21
2025-03-28
Health
F0712
Ensure that the resident and his/her doctor meet face-to-face at all required visits.
E
2025-04-21
2025-03-28
Health · complaint
F0808
Ensure therapeutic diets are prescribed by the attending physician and may be delegated to a registered or licensed dietitian, to the extent allowed by State law.
K
2025-04-21
2025-03-28
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-04-21
2024-10-15
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
J
2024-10-15
2024-10-15
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2024-10-15
2024-10-15
Health · complaint
F0808
Ensure therapeutic diets are prescribed by the attending physician and may be delegated to a registered or licensed dietitian, to the extent allowed by State law.
J
2024-10-15
2023-06-30
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2023-07-28
2023-06-30
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-07-28
2023-06-30
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2023-07-28
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
37
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
MASONIC CHARITY FOUNDATION OF NEW JERSEY
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
—
current
pecos_ownership
DORWORTH, DAVID
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
DURSO, ANDA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-06-30
current
pecos_ownership
GRAHAM, BRUCE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
HACKER, DOUGLAS
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-10-15
current
pecos_ownership
HARTEL, BRIAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
HERMAN, KEITH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
JACOBS, ELLIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
MANDEL, BRIAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
MONACELLI, ROBERT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
OLSEN, GARY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
PASTUZYN, MICHAEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
PHILLIPS, JEREMIAH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
QUINTANA, ROGER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
SCOTT, GREGORY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
SPOSATO, ROBERT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-01-13
current
pecos_ownership
TUCKER, DAVID
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
VANDERHORN, LEONARD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
VONDERHEIDE, WILLIAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2020-11-18
current
pecos_ownership
ANDA DURSO
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
0%
2021-06-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN HARTEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN MANDEL
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRUCE GRAHAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID DORWORTH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID TUCKER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELLIS JACOBS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARY OLSEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GREGORY SCOTT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEREMIAH PHILLIPS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KEITH HERMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LEONARD VANDERHORN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL PASTUZYN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT MONACELLI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT SPOSATO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-01-13
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROGER QUINTANA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM VONDERHEIDE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2020-11-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DOUGLAS HACKER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-10-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34005
acs median gross
0
$1,308
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
fmr
0
$1,397
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34005
acs median gross
1
$1,438
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
fmr
1
$1,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34005
acs median gross
2
$1,861
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
fmr
2
$1,810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34005
acs median gross
3
$2,220
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
fmr
3
$2,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34005
acs median gross
4
$2,520
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
fmr
4
$2,423
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34005
acs median gross
5
$2,797
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
acs median gross
$1,745
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
acs recent mover gross
$2,219
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08016
acs median gross
1
$1,305
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08016
acs median gross
2
$1,630
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08016
acs median gross
3
$2,185
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08016
acs median gross
4
$2,052
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08016
acs median gross
$1,396
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08016
acs recent mover gross
$1,791
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 08016
payment standard 110
0
$1,452
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
payment standard 90
0
$1,188
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
safmr
0
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
payment standard 110
1
$1,584
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
payment standard 90
1
$1,296
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
safmr
1
$1,440
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
payment standard 110
2
$1,881
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
payment standard 90
2
$1,539
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
safmr
2
$1,710
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
payment standard 110
3
$2,255
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
payment standard 90
3
$1,845
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
safmr
3
$2,050
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
payment standard 110
4
$2,519
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
payment standard 90
4
$2,061
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08016
safmr
4
$2,290
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.