Reads as: riskier than 77.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.15
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.18
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.12
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.16
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
162.0
3.15
0.18
0.82
2.15
3.12
0.5%
2025Q3
92
154.5
3.28
0.16
0.93
2.19
3.24
0.2%
2025Q2
91
159.6
3.30
0.20
0.93
2.18
3.15
0.3%
2025Q1
90
161.4
3.22
0.18
1.05
1.99
3.03
0.7%
2024Q4
92
160.8
2.94
0.16
1.00
1.78
2.72
0.0%
2024Q3
92
146.3
3.05
0.22
0.97
1.86
2.86
0.3%
2024Q2
91
148.7
3.02
0.19
0.96
1.87
2.91
0.3%
2024Q1
91
146.5
2.95
0.18
0.98
1.79
2.95
0.5%
2023Q4
92
141.2
3.02
0.24
0.93
1.85
2.91
1.3%
2023Q3
92
136.1
3.18
0.22
1.04
1.91
2.98
18.1%
2023Q2
91
133.4
3.09
0.35
1.20
1.54
2.84
32.6%
2023Q1
90
135.7
2.95
0.36
1.05
1.54
2.82
28.4%
2022Q4
92
120.7
3.26
0.36
1.17
1.73
3.28
41.5%
2022Q3
92
119.5
2.94
0.44
1.00
1.50
2.93
45.9%
2022Q2
91
121.2
3.11
0.61
0.99
1.52
2.77
52.5%
2022Q1
90
82.8
4.18
0.88
0.82
2.47
3.97
42.5%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
32
B × 1D × 16E × 6F × 4G × 4J × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-02-07
Health · complaint
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
E
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health
F0565
Honor the resident's right to organize and participate in resident/family groups in the facility.
D
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
G
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health · complaint
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
E
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health
F0676
Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.
E
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
E
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health · complaint
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
D
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health · complaint
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
F
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health · complaint
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health
F0847
Inform resident or representatives choice to enter into binding arbitration agreement and right to refuse.
F
2025-03-25
2025-02-07
Health
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
F
2025-03-25
2023-05-20
Health
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0676
Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
G
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0770
Provide timely, quality laboratory services/tests to meet the needs of residents.
D
2023-06-27
2023-05-20
Health
F0808
Ensure therapeutic diets are prescribed by the attending physician and may be delegated to a registered or licensed dietitian, to the extent allowed by State law.
J
2023-06-27
2021-05-12
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
B
2021-05-19
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
32
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
MOUNT HOLLY PROPERTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
79%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
MOUNT HOLLY PROPERTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
79%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BAUER, GARY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
BOLLAMPALLY, SOUMYA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
DALLOS, TIMOTHY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
HARMAN, DINA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
MARQUIS LIMITED LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
MARQUIS LIMITED LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-13
current
pecos_ownership
MOUNT HOLLY REAL PROPERTY LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
NFR 2020 IRRV TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
NUTRACO LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-09-12
current
pecos_ownership
NUTRACO LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-13
current
pecos_ownership
POSEN, MINDEE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
QUINTO NEXGEN LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
RELIANT PRO REHAB LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
RELIANT PRO REHAB LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-13
current
pecos_ownership
RSBRMK HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
SK NEXGEN TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
TD BANK N.A.
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
TRYKO NEXGEN HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
UAK 2020 IRRV TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
UKR NEXGEN LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
VIROJA, YOGESH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
YK NEXGEN TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
YR NEXGEN TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
current
pecos_ownership
MOUNT HOLLY PROPERTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-04-28
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
DINA HARMAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2022-04-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GARY BAUER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MINDEE POSEN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-04-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SOUMYA BOLLAMPALLY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIMOTHY DALLOS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
YOGESH VIROJA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-04-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$4,586,531
$2,575,618
—
—
$262,800
10
propco
2023-12-31
$4,154,133
$2,295,417
—
—
$262,800
10
propco
2022-12-31
$1,809,234
$1,120,838
—
—
—
2
propco
2022-04-27
$895,586
—
—
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$3,522,380
—
$105,191
—
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$4,324,052
—
—
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
1
Close date
Price
Buyer
Seller
Evidence
2022-04-28
—
MOUNT HOLLY OPERATOR LLC
VIRTUA HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER AT MOUNT. HOLLY, INC.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34005
acs median gross
0
$1,308
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
fmr
0
$1,397
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34005
acs median gross
1
$1,438
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
fmr
1
$1,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34005
acs median gross
2
$1,861
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
fmr
2
$1,810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34005
acs median gross
3
$2,220
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
fmr
3
$2,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34005
acs median gross
4
$2,520
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
fmr
4
$2,423
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34005
acs median gross
5
$2,797
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
acs median gross
$1,745
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34005
acs recent mover gross
$2,219
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08048
acs median gross
0
$1,677
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08048
acs median gross
1
$1,386
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08048
acs median gross
2
$1,896
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08048
acs median gross
3
$2,010
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08048
acs median gross
$1,664
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 08048
payment standard 110
0
$1,837
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
payment standard 90
0
$1,503
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
safmr
0
$1,670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
payment standard 110
1
$1,991
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
payment standard 90
1
$1,629
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
safmr
1
$1,810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
payment standard 110
2
$2,376
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
payment standard 90
2
$1,944
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
safmr
2
$2,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
payment standard 110
3
$2,849
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
payment standard 90
3
$2,331
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
safmr
3
$2,590
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
payment standard 110
4
$3,179
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
payment standard 90
4
$2,601
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08048
safmr
4
$2,890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.