Reads as: riskier than 3.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
CT median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.60
3.46
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.38
0.40
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.44
3.25
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.66
3.51
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
86.8
3.60
0.38
0.90
2.32
3.44
6.7%
2025Q3
92
89.4
3.57
0.43
0.84
2.30
3.42
7.2%
2025Q2
91
91.2
3.48
0.55
0.75
2.18
3.35
12.1%
2025Q1
90
93.0
3.37
0.50
0.72
2.15
3.24
11.5%
2024Q4
92
93.0
3.47
0.50
0.74
2.23
3.33
12.0%
2024Q3
92
93.4
3.43
0.53
0.74
2.16
3.29
10.0%
2024Q2
91
90.7
3.44
0.49
0.81
2.14
3.23
4.7%
2024Q1
91
92.1
3.63
0.52
0.87
2.24
3.40
9.6%
2023Q4
92
92.3
3.69
0.63
0.82
2.24
3.51
11.7%
2023Q3
92
87.9
3.51
0.55
0.68
2.28
3.41
13.8%
2023Q2
91
86.7
3.77
0.63
0.81
2.34
3.61
13.8%
2023Q1
90
83.3
3.77
0.62
0.86
2.29
3.72
12.5%
2022Q4
92
83.1
3.68
0.63
0.80
2.25
3.63
13.7%
2022Q3
92
73.7
3.78
0.71
0.82
2.24
3.60
1.1%
2022Q2
91
75.9
4.01
0.72
0.77
2.52
3.88
0.0%
2022Q1
90
70.0
4.42
0.70
0.83
2.88
4.26
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
17
B × 1C × 1D × 13E × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-05-01
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-06-05
2025-05-01
Health
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2025-06-05
2025-05-01
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2025-06-05
2025-05-01
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2025-06-05
2025-05-01
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2025-06-05
2025-05-01
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-06-05
2024-08-06
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-09-03
2024-01-29
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2024-03-15
2023-12-13
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2024-01-23
2023-04-13
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
B
2023-05-12
2023-04-13
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2023-05-12
2023-04-13
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2023-05-12
2020-03-12
Health
F0576
Ensure residents have reasonable access to and privacy in their use of communication methods.
C
2020-03-13
2020-03-12
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2020-09-18
2020-03-12
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2020-09-20
2020-03-12
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2020-09-20
2020-03-12
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2020-09-20
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
16
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
DANBURY OPCO LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2023-09-12
current
pecos_ownership
FILOSA VENTURES LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-09-12
current
hcris_a_8_1
STAPLES REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
50%
2022-10-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
JEK IRRV TR II
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
26%
2023-09-12
current
pecos_ownership
NMJ IRRV TR II
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
23%
2023-09-12
current
pecos_ownership
JAKOBOVITS, NATHAN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-09-12
current
pecos_ownership
KAGAN, JEFFREY
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-09-12
current
pecos_ownership
SHAPIRO, YITZCHOK
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-09-12
current
pecos_ownership
STAPLES REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
50%
2019-10-01
ended 2020-09-30
hcris_a_8_1
STAPLES REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
50%
2020-10-01
ended 2021-09-30
hcris_a_8_1
JEK HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
27%
2023-09-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NMJ HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
27%
2023-09-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
YITZCHOK SHAPIRO
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
15%
2023-09-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY KAGAN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-09-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NATHAN JAKOBOVITS
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-09-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STAPLES REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
—
2021-10-01
ended 2022-09-30
hcris_a_8_1
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-09-30
$1,710,221
—
—
—
$-112,360
7
propco
2023-09-11
$300,551
$298,769
—
—
—
16
propco
2022-09-30
$311,491
$299,567
—
—
—
16
propco
2021-09-30
$375,165
$219,994
—
—
—
16
propco
2020-09-30
$474,654
$339,654
—
—
—
16
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
31
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 09190
acs median gross
0
$1,351
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 09190
acs median gross
1
$1,863
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 09190
acs median gross
2
$2,221
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 09190
acs median gross
3
$2,425
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 09190
acs median gross
4
$3,163
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 09190
acs median gross
5
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 09190
acs median gross
$2,110
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 09190
acs recent mover gross
$2,374
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 06810
acs median gross
0
$1,069
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 06810
acs median gross
1
$1,466
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 06810
acs median gross
2
$1,988
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 06810
acs median gross
3
$2,128
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 06810
acs median gross
4
$2,389
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 06810
acs median gross
5
$2,509
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 06810
acs median gross
$1,868
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 06810
acs recent mover gross
$2,207
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 06810
payment standard 110
0
$1,870
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
payment standard 90
0
$1,530
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
safmr
0
$1,700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
payment standard 110
1
$2,266
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
payment standard 90
1
$1,854
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
safmr
1
$2,060
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
payment standard 110
2
$2,706
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
payment standard 90
2
$2,214
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
safmr
2
$2,460
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
payment standard 110
3
$3,267
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
payment standard 90
3
$2,673
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
safmr
3
$2,970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
payment standard 110
4
$3,883
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
payment standard 90
4
$3,177
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 06810
safmr
4
$3,530
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.