Screener / 315229

Phoenix Center for Rehabilitation and Pediatrics

snfNJ

1433 RINGWOOD AVE, HASKELL, NJ 07420 · CCN 315229

Composite

53.4 / 100 percentile

Peer group

snf n = 14,684

Evidence depth

deep

Certified beds

227

Model

v1.2

Reads as: riskier than 53.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.

Score model5 Components16 CHOW radar1 Distress radar1 Staffing16 Penalties1 Deficiencies30 Licensure0 Ownership11 Related party5 Transactions1 Comps12 Market rent32

Composite explanation

Component	Percentile	Raw	Weight	Weight share	Contribution	Counts
financial risk	79.4	66.4	0.30	0.2308	18.32	in index
regulatory risk	62.8	54.6	0.30	0.2308	14.49	in index
billing conduct	49.4	39.1	0.30	0.2308	11.40	in index
chow risk	26.6	25.6	0.15	0.1154	3.07	in index
staffing risk	12.2	12.3	0.25	0.1923	2.35	in index

weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.

Component scores and registry models

Score type	Score	Grade	Model	Status	Registry model notes
billing conduct	39.1	B	v0.1-pacpuf-snf	default · in composite	R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup.
chow risk	25.0	B	v0.1-pos	default · in composite	Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
chow risk	26.3	B	v0.6	default · in composite
financial risk	66.4	D	v0.5	default · in composite	R18.
p adverse action 12m	0.1	—	v0.1	default · in composite	R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
p chow 12m	0.0	—	v0.1	default · in composite	R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
regulatory risk	54.6	C	v0.3	default · in composite	Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos.
staffing risk	12.3	A	v0.3	default · in composite	Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS.
financial risk	78.8	D	v0.1	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
financial risk	58.8	C	v0.2	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
financial risk	68.4	D	v0.3	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
financial risk	65.9	D	v0.4	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
regulatory risk	54.4	C	v0.1	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
regulatory risk	54.4	C	v0.2	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
staffing risk	12.3	A	v0.1	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
staffing risk	12.3	A	v0.2	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.

Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.

CHOW radar — 12-month sale probability

full board →

p(CHOW, 12m)

0.0%

model v0.1 · computed 2026-07-29

Percentile among SNFs

7.0

100 = most likely to sell

Holdout AUC

0.874

evaluated before shipping, never refit

Driver	Value	Pull on odds
Never sold on record	0.00	-1.62
Current owner tenure (years)	6.57	-1.21
For-profit ownership	1.00	+0.69
Occupancy	0.92	-0.64
No PBJ staffing report	0.00	+0.42
Chain size (log)	0.00	-0.40
Total nurse staffing (HPRD)	4.23	-0.24
Ownership changes, last 5 years	0.00	+0.20

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.

Distress radar — 12-month termination probability

full board →

p(termination, 12m)

0.1%

model v0.1 · computed 2026-07-29

Percentile among SNFs

47.1

100 = most likely to lose certification

Holdout AUC

0.971

top decile caught 95% of actual exits

Driver	Value	Pull on odds
Chain size (log)	0.00	+1.20
Deficiencies, last 12 months	2.00	+1.06
Occupancy	0.92	-0.72
For-profit ownership	1.00	-0.69
Total nurse staffing (HPRD)	4.23	-0.43
No PBJ staffing report	0.00	+0.39
Never sold on record	0.00	-0.28
Facility size (log beds)	5.43	-0.22

Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.

Staffing vs peers

2025Q4 HPRD	This facility	NJ median	National median	National p25–p75
Total nurse	4.23	3.31	3.28	2.90–3.77
RN	0.56	0.35	0.39	0.25–0.58
Weekend total	3.66	3.21	3.11	—
Weekday total	4.46	3.37	3.35	—

Quarter	Days	Avg census	Total HPRD	RN	LPN	CNA	Weekend	Contract %
2025Q4	92	208.7	4.23	0.56	1.33	2.35	3.66	2.1%
2025Q3	92	208.2	3.95	0.51	1.35	2.08	3.47	1.9%
2025Q2	91	203.7	3.88	0.51	1.36	2.01	3.33	4.1%
2025Q1	90	205.9	3.84	0.47	1.38	1.98	3.29	4.4%
2024Q4	92	208.0	3.86	0.47	1.39	1.99	3.36	5.2%
2024Q3	92	206.1	3.92	0.49	1.34	2.09	3.39	6.7%
2024Q2	91	204.9	3.80	0.41	1.39	2.00	3.16	6.8%
2024Q1	91	198.8	3.82	0.38	1.24	2.20	3.29	7.0%
2023Q4	92	193.5	4.00	0.40	1.28	2.32	3.52	13.5%
2023Q3	92	193.3	3.77	0.38	1.18	2.21	3.35	21.4%
2023Q2	91	191.3	3.73	0.29	1.28	2.16	3.40	22.9%
2023Q1	90	188.7	3.53	0.26	1.28	1.99	3.30	22.1%
2022Q4	92	179.8	3.63	0.24	1.27	2.12	3.35	22.3%
2022Q3	92	181.4	3.75	0.16	1.21	2.38	3.50	26.6%
2022Q2	91	186.6	3.71	0.13	1.17	2.41	3.45	24.9%
2022Q1	90	180.4	3.36	0.17	1.16	2.03	3.03	20.5%

HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.

Penalties

Date	Type	Fine	Source
2023-10-06	Fine	$7,900	CMS provider data

Total fines on record: $7,900

Deficiencies

C × 1D × 23E × 4F × 1G × 1

deficiencies by survey year

Survey	Type	Tag	Deficiency	Scope	Corrected
2025-11-03	Health · complaint	F0732	Post nurse staffing information every day.	D	2025-11-04
2025-08-06	Health · complaint	F0695	Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.	D	2025-09-04
2025-01-28	Health	F0550	Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.	D	2025-03-24
2025-01-28	Health	F0558	Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.	D	2025-03-24
2025-01-28	Health	F0656	Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.	D	2025-03-24
2025-01-28	Health	F0658	Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.	D	2025-03-24
2025-01-28	Health · complaint	F0677	Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.	D	2025-03-24
2025-01-28	Health	F0690	Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.	D	2025-03-24
2025-01-28	Health	F0698	Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.	E	2025-03-24
2025-01-28	Health	F0880	Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.	D	2025-03-24
2024-05-15	Health · complaint	F0609	Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.	D	2024-06-19
2023-12-15	Health · complaint	F0609	Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.	D	2024-02-12
2023-10-25	Health	F0640	Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.	D	2023-12-08
2023-10-25	Health	F0641	Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.	D	2023-12-08
2023-10-25	Health	F0698	Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.	D	2023-12-08
2023-10-25	Health	F0711	Ensure the resident's doctor reviews the resident's care, writes, signs and dates progress notes and orders, at each required visit.	E	2023-12-08
2023-10-25	Health	F0712	Ensure that the resident and his/her doctor meet face-to-face at all required visits.	E	2023-12-08
2023-10-06	Health · complaint	F0609	Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.	D	2023-11-20
2023-10-06	Health · complaint	F0689	Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.	G	2023-11-20
2023-10-06	Health · complaint	F0842	Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.	D	2023-11-20
2022-08-31	Health	F0641	Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.	D	2022-11-11
2022-08-31	Health	F0658	Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.	E	2022-11-11
2022-08-31	Health	F0686	Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.	D	2022-11-11
2022-08-31	Health	F0688	Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.	D	2022-11-11
2022-08-31	Health	F0695	Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.	D	2022-11-11
2022-08-31	Health	F0761	Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.	D	2022-11-11
2022-08-31	Health	F0880	Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.	F	2022-11-11
2022-08-31	Health	F0886	Perform COVID19 testing on residents and staff.	D	2022-11-11
2022-08-31	Health	F0888	Ensure staff are vaccinated for COVID-19	C	2022-11-11
2022-08-31	Health	F0921	Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.	D	2022-11-11

scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.

Licensure actions

No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.

Ownership

Owner	Role	Pct	From	Status	Source
NORTH JERSEY REALTY	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2024-01-01	current	hcris_a_8_1
NORTH JERSEY REALTY	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2023-01-01	current	hcris_a_8_1
KRAUS, ABRAHAM	5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	50%	2020-01-01	current	pecos_ownership
PHILIPSON, BENT	5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	50%	2020-01-01	current	pecos_ownership
ISLAM, NATASHA	OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL	—	2020-01-01	current	pecos_ownership
NATASHA ISLAM	OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL	100%	2020-01-01	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
NEW JERSEY PEDISTRIC PROPCO	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2021-01-01	ended 2021-12-31	hcris_a_8_1
NORTH JERSEY REALTY	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2022-01-01	ended 2022-12-31	hcris_a_8_1
WANAQUE REALTY	Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider	100%	2020-01-01	ended 2020-12-31	hcris_a_8_1
ABRAHAM KRAUS	5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	50%	2020-01-01	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
BENT PHILIPSON	5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	50%	2020-01-01	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership

PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.

Related-party costs

FY end	Total allowable	Rent	Home office	Therapy	Staffing	Counterparties	PropCo
2024-12-31	$4,096,951	—	—	—	—	1	propco
2023-12-31	$4,373,295	—	—	—	—	1	propco
2022-12-31	$2,833,031	—	—	—	—	1	propco
2021-12-31	$2,266,144	—	—	—	—	1	propco
2020-12-31	$2,468,759	—	—	—	—	1	propco

Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.

Transactions

Close date	Price	Buyer	Seller	Evidence
2020-01-01	—	NORTH JERSEY PEDIATRIC AND ADULT NURSING AND WELLNESS CENTER, LLC	WANAQUE NURSING & REHABILITATION LLC	chow

Comparable trades — NJ snf

Close	Facility	Price	$/bed	Cap rate	Beds	Buyer
2024-05-06	RIVERSIDE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER LLC	—	—	—	141	RIVERSIDE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER LLC
2024-04-01	ATLAS REHABILITATION & HEALTHCARE AT WEST DEPTFOR	—	—	—	156	WEST DEPTFORD SNF OPERATIONS LLC
2024-04-01	ATLAS REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE AT WASHINGTON	—	—	—	120	SEWELL SNF OPERATIONS LLC
2024-04-01	ACCELERATE SKILLED NURSING AND REHAB PISCATAWAY	—	—	—	124	SKILES AVENUE AND STERLING DRIVE URBAN RENEWAL OPERATIONS LLC
2024-03-01	MEADOWBROOK RESPIRATORY AND NURSING CENTER	—	—	—	130	MATAWAN SNF OPERATIONS LLC
2024-03-01	ATLAS POST ACUTE AT WOODBURY COUNTRY CLUB	—	—	—	124	WOODBURY SNF OPERATIONS LLC
2024-02-01	THE SUBACUTE AT AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE	—	—	—	124	113 SOUTH ROUTE 73 OPCO LLC
2024-02-01	MOHAWK MEADOWS	—	—	—	159	BEMET LLC
2024-01-08	TOTAL REHAB MOORESTOWN	—	—	—	124	MOORESTOWN OPERATOR LLC
2024-01-01	AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE AT VOORHEES	—	—	—	120	1086 DUMONT CIRCLE OPCO LLC
2024-01-01	HARTWYCK AT OAK TREE	—	—	—	120	HACKENSACK MERIDIAN AMBULATORY CARE, INC.
2023-12-27	MOUNTAINSIDE SKILLED NURSING AND REHAB	—	—	—	151	MOUNTAINSIDE NURSING AND REHAB BHC OPERATIONS

Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.

Market rent context

Geo	Kind	BR	Amount	As of	Source
county 34031	acs median gross	0	$1,057	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031	fmr	0	$1,778	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 34031	acs median gross	1	$1,362	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031	fmr	1	$2,024	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 34031	acs median gross	2	$1,663	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031	fmr	2	$2,324	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 34031	acs median gross	3	$1,869	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031	fmr	3	$2,835	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 34031	acs median gross	4	$2,191	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031	fmr	4	$3,618	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 34031	acs median gross	5	$2,154	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031	acs median gross		$1,621	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031	acs recent mover gross		$1,888	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07420	acs median gross	1	$1,393	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07420	acs median gross	2	$1,837	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07420	acs median gross	3	$1,623	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07420	acs median gross		$1,593	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zip 07420	payment standard 110	0	$2,046	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	payment standard 90	0	$1,674	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	safmr	0	$1,860	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	payment standard 110	1	$2,332	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	payment standard 90	1	$1,908	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	safmr	1	$2,120	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	payment standard 110	2	$2,673	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	payment standard 90	2	$2,187	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	safmr	2	$2,430	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	payment standard 110	3	$3,256	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	payment standard 90	3	$2,664	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	safmr	3	$2,960	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	payment standard 110	4	$4,158	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	payment standard 90	4	$3,402	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07420	safmr	4	$3,780	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR

ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.