Composite
85.7 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 88.3 | 58.4 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 20.38 | in index |
| financial risk | 61.8 | 53.5 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 14.26 | in index |
| staffing risk | 70.9 | 70.9 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 13.63 | in index |
| chow risk | 70.9 | 49.3 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 8.18 | in index |
| regulatory risk | 31.4 | 21.7 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 7.25 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 58.4 | C | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 44.7 | B | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 53.9 | C | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 53.5 | C | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.1 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 0.1 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 21.7 | A | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 70.9 | D | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 65.9 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 45.9 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 58.0 | C | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 56.0 | C | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 21.5 | A | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 21.5 | A | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 70.9 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 70.9 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Never sold on record | 0.00 | -1.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 10.32 | -0.85 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Occupancy | 0.90 | -0.58 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 1.00 | -0.15 | |
| Chain size (log) | 1.39 | -0.11 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 1.00 | +1.24 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| Occupancy | 0.90 | -0.62 | |
| Chain size (log) | 1.39 | +0.39 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Staffing trend, last 4 quarters | -0.57 | -0.29 | |
| Never sold on record | 0.00 | -0.28 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | CT median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 2.96 | 3.46 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 2.73 | 3.25 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.06 | 3.51 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 132.6 | 2.96 | 0.45 | 0.67 | 1.84 | 2.73 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 139.6 | 2.96 | 0.44 | 0.71 | 1.81 | 2.69 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 134.0 | 3.19 | 0.43 | 0.72 | 2.04 | 2.90 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 129.2 | 3.37 | 0.49 | 0.75 | 2.13 | 3.11 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 129.6 | 3.54 | 0.50 | 0.74 | 2.30 | 3.33 | 0.7% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 121.3 | 3.71 | 0.53 | 0.77 | 2.42 | 3.52 | 1.5% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 126.4 | 3.51 | 0.47 | 0.83 | 2.20 | 3.32 | 2.1% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 127.5 | 3.43 | 0.44 | 0.90 | 2.09 | 3.26 | 6.3% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 117.8 | 3.40 | 0.55 | 0.80 | 2.05 | 3.14 | 3.2% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 117.2 | 3.55 | 0.55 | 0.76 | 2.24 | 3.36 | 4.0% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 122.8 | 3.52 | 0.49 | 0.89 | 2.15 | 3.29 | 15.5% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 122.4 | 3.27 | 0.52 | 0.82 | 1.94 | 3.15 | 11.7% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 121.4 | 3.59 | 0.55 | 0.84 | 2.20 | 3.48 | 22.1% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 117.5 | 3.64 | 0.56 | 0.74 | 2.34 | 3.46 | 21.9% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 114.0 | 3.27 | 0.55 | 0.81 | 1.91 | 3.09 | 9.5% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 115.3 | 3.22 | 0.56 | 0.88 | 1.79 | 2.99 | 0.2% |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-27 | Health · complaint | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2026-05-21 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health · complaint | F0573 | Let each resident or the resident's legal representative access or purchase copies of all the resident's records. | B | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | E | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | D | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0686 | Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing. | D | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0758 | Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited. | D | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | E | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0806 | Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options. | D | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health · complaint | F0836 | Ensure the facility is licensed under applicable State and local law and operates and provides services in compliance with all applicable Federal, State, and local laws, regulations, and codes, and with accepted professional standards. | B | 2024-07-12 |
| 2024-06-07 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | E | 2024-07-12 |
| 2023-09-25 | Health · complaint | F0690 | Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections. | E | 2023-10-18 |
| 2021-10-20 | Health | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-10-20 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-10-20 | Health | F0604 | Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment. | D | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-10-20 | Health | F0607 | Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft. | D | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-10-20 | Health | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | D | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-10-20 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-10-20 | Health | F0698 | Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services. | D | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-10-20 | Health | F0756 | Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures. | D | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-10-20 | Health | F0842 | Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards. | D | 2021-12-01 |
| 2021-10-20 | Health | F0908 | Keep all essential equipment working safely. | D | 2021-12-01 |
| 2019-05-23 | Health | F0693 | Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube. | D | 2019-07-04 |
| 2019-05-23 | Health | F0758 | Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited. | D | 2019-07-04 |
| 2019-05-23 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | 2019-07-04 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GREENWICH WOODS HOLDINGS LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 54% | 2016-04-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| BERNSTEIN, MOSHE | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 28% | 2016-04-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| BLASS, MORDECHAI | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 28% | 2016-04-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| WCTHC LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 25% | 2016-04-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| IK GREENWICH LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 7% | 2016-04-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SJJJ LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 7% | 2016-04-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| WEISS, YITZCHOCK | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 7% | 2017-08-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| YWM CT LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 7% | 2017-08-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| NOONAN, JAMES | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | — | 2022-02-28 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MORDECHAI BLASS | CORPORATE OFFICER | 28% | 2016-04-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MOSHE BERNSTEIN | CORPORATE OFFICER | 28% | 2016-04-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| YITZCHOCK WEISS | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 7% | 2017-08-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| JAMES NOONAN | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2022-02-28 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close date | Price | Buyer | Seller | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-04-01 | — | NEW MILFORD REHABILITATION LLC | CANDLEWOOD NEW MILFORD LLC | chow |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 | INGRAHAM MANOR REHAB AND NURSING | — | — | — | 128 | IM OPCO LLC |
| 2025-05-15 | HAVENCARE AT LITCHFIELD WOODS | — | — | — | 160 | LITCHFIELD OPCO LLC |
| 2025-05-15 | HAVENCARE AT VALERIE MANOR | — | — | — | 151 | VALERIE OPCO LLC |
| 2024-10-10 | SHADY KNOLL CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 128 | SHADY KNOLL ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-10-10 | MAEFAIR CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 134 | MAEFAIR ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-10-10 | GLASTONBURY CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 105 | GLASTONBURY ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-08-01 | MANSFIELD CENTER FOR NURSING AND REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 98 | MANSFIELD ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | EVERGREEN CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 180 | EVERGREEN ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | MONTOWESE CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 120 | MONTOWESE ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | SHARON CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 88 | SHARON ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | BEACON BROOK CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 126 | BEACON BROOK ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | STONE BRIDGE CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 154 | NEWTOWN ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 09190 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,351 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09190 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,863 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09190 | acs median gross | 2 | $2,221 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09190 | acs median gross | 3 | $2,425 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09190 | acs median gross | 4 | $3,163 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09190 | acs median gross | 5 | $3,501 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09190 | acs median gross | $2,110 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 09190 | acs recent mover gross | $2,374 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 06776 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,350 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06776 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,768 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06776 | acs median gross | 3 | $2,148 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06776 | acs median gross | 4 | $2,714 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06776 | acs median gross | $1,614 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 06776 | acs recent mover gross | $1,442 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 06776 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $2,013 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $1,647 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | safmr | 0 | $1,830 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $2,453 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $2,007 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | safmr | 1 | $2,230 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $2,926 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $2,394 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | safmr | 2 | $2,660 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $3,542 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $2,898 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | safmr | 3 | $3,220 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $4,191 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $3,429 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06776 | safmr | 4 | $3,810 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |