Reads as: riskier than 8.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
11
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NV median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.79
3.62
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.25
0.64
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.33
3.46
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.97
3.68
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
22.0
3.79
0.25
0.86
2.68
3.33
0.0%
2025Q2
91
23.2
3.51
0.15
0.66
2.70
3.67
0.0%
2025Q1
90
22.4
3.49
0.17
0.74
2.58
3.91
0.0%
2024Q4
92
22.6
3.51
0.22
0.62
2.68
3.73
0.0%
2024Q3
92
20.7
3.82
0.24
0.67
2.91
4.13
0.0%
2024Q2
91
19.3
3.85
0.25
0.68
2.92
3.50
0.0%
2024Q1
91
21.1
3.62
0.24
0.60
2.78
3.50
0.0%
2023Q3
92
23.0
3.26
0.45
0.22
2.59
3.23
0.0%
2022Q4
92
23.0
3.65
0.22
0.81
2.62
3.66
0.0%
2022Q2
91
23.4
3.61
0.58
0.37
2.66
3.34
0.0%
2022Q1
90
23.1
3.64
0.38
0.54
2.73
3.52
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
31
C × 4D × 26F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-02-06
Health
F0552
Ensure that residents are fully informed and understand their health status, care and treatments.
D
2025-03-14
2025-02-06
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
C
2025-03-03
2025-02-06
Health
F0642
Ensure a qualified health professional conducts resident assessments.
C
2025-03-03
2025-02-06
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-03-14
2025-02-06
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-03-14
2025-02-06
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2025-03-14
2025-02-06
Health
F0731
Request a waiver if it can't meet the nurse staffing requirements.
C
2025-03-14
2025-02-06
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
C
2025-03-03
2025-02-06
Health
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
F
2025-03-03
2024-01-11
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2024-02-09
2024-01-11
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-02-09
2024-01-11
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-02-09
2024-01-11
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2024-02-09
2024-01-11
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-02-09
2024-01-11
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-02-09
2024-01-11
Health
F0791
Provide or obtain dental services for each resident.
D
2024-02-09
2024-01-11
Health
F0826
Provide specialized rehabilitative services by qualified personnel, when ordered for a resident by a doctor.
D
2024-02-09
2024-01-11
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-02-09
2022-11-03
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2022-12-02
2022-11-03
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2022-12-02
2022-11-03
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2022-12-16
2022-11-03
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2022-12-02
2022-11-03
Health
F0727
Have a registered nurse on duty 8 hours a day; and select a registered nurse to be the director of nurses on a full time basis.
D
2022-12-02
2022-11-03
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2022-12-02
2022-11-03
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2022-12-02
2022-11-03
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2022-12-08
2022-11-03
Health
F0865
Have a plan that describes the process for conducting QAPI and QAA activities.
D
2022-12-02
2022-11-03
Health
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
D
2022-12-02
2022-11-03
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2022-12-08
2022-11-03
Health
F0882
Designate a qualified infection preventionist to be responsible for the infection prevent and control program in the nursing home.
D
2022-12-02
2022-11-03
Health
F0887
Educate residents and staff on COVID-19 vaccination, offer the COVID-19 vaccine to eligible residents and staff after education, and properly document each resident and staff member's vaccination status.
D
2022-12-02
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
0
No ownership edges on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
30
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 32015
fmr
0
$936
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 32015
fmr
1
$942
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 32015
acs median gross
2
$821
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 32015
fmr
2
$1,236
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 32015
acs median gross
3
$959
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 32015
fmr
3
$1,570
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 32015
acs median gross
4
$1,158
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 32015
fmr
4
$2,073
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 32015
acs median gross
$902
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 32015
acs recent mover gross
$965
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 89820
acs median gross
2
$804
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 89820
acs median gross
3
$959
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 89820
acs median gross
4
$1,158
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 89820
acs median gross
$886
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 89820
acs recent mover gross
$965
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 89820
payment standard 110
0
$1,023
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
payment standard 90
0
$837
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
safmr
0
$930
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
payment standard 110
1
$1,034
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
payment standard 90
1
$846
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
safmr
1
$940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
payment standard 110
2
$1,353
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
payment standard 90
2
$1,107
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
safmr
2
$1,230
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
payment standard 110
3
$1,716
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
payment standard 90
3
$1,404
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
safmr
3
$1,560
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
payment standard 110
4
$2,266
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
payment standard 90
4
$1,854
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 89820
safmr
4
$2,060
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.