3161 KENNEDY BLVD, NORTH BERGEN, NJ 07047 · CCN 315525
Composite
71.1 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
60
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 71.1% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
2
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
STERN SAMUEL
14 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
42% fined
ROSENBERG AVRAHAM
12 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
15
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
5.86
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.47
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
5.33
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
6.07
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
57.2
5.86
0.47
1.72
3.67
5.33
1.3%
2025Q3
92
56.1
5.86
0.56
1.47
3.84
5.40
2.4%
2025Q2
91
56.7
5.87
0.44
1.32
4.12
5.41
1.8%
2025Q1
90
58.6
5.92
0.41
1.51
4.01
5.57
1.5%
2024Q4
92
58.6
6.05
0.40
1.46
4.19
5.71
1.5%
2024Q3
92
57.8
6.46
0.42
1.43
4.61
5.96
1.4%
2024Q2
91
56.9
6.58
0.38
1.33
4.87
6.11
4.1%
2023Q4
92
56.6
6.96
0.47
1.55
4.94
6.31
6.8%
2023Q3
92
58.1
6.42
0.42
1.49
4.51
5.91
6.7%
2023Q2
91
57.7
6.28
0.61
1.34
4.32
5.76
8.3%
2023Q1
90
56.3
6.52
0.57
1.08
4.86
5.96
14.2%
2022Q4
92
55.0
6.71
0.57
1.10
5.04
6.01
12.2%
2022Q3
92
57.6
5.51
0.62
1.00
3.90
4.61
0.1%
2022Q2
91
57.9
3.74
0.53
0.60
2.60
3.55
0.0%
2022Q1
90
55.4
4.12
0.47
0.81
2.84
4.24
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2025-09-05
2025-08-21
Health
F0636
Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.
D
2025-09-05
2025-08-21
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2025-09-05
2025-08-21
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-09-05
2025-08-21
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-09-05
2025-08-21
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
G
2025-08-25
2025-08-21
Health
F0730
Observe each nurse aide's job performance and give regular training.
E
2025-09-05
2025-08-21
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2025-09-05
2025-08-21
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-09-05
2025-08-21
Health
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
E
2025-09-09
2025-08-21
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-09-05
2025-08-21
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
E
2025-09-12
2025-08-21
Health
F0947
Ensure nurse aides have the skills they need to care for residents, and give nurse aides education in dementia care and abuse prevention.
E
2025-09-12
2024-03-05
Health · complaint
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
C
2024-03-15
2024-03-05
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2024-03-15
2023-08-01
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2023-08-02
2023-08-01
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2023-08-02
2023-08-01
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2023-08-02
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
12
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
3161 KENNEY BLVD LLC
Director, officer, administrator or key person of related organization, or relative, has financial interest in provider
25%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
3161 KENNEY BLVD LLC
Director, officer, administrator or key person of related organization, or relative, has financial interest in provider
25%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
3161 KENNEY BLVD LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
FREY, REBECCA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-04-10
current
pecos_ownership
GOLDSTEIN, MARC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROSENBERG, AVRAHAM
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
STERN, SAMUEL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
AVRAHAM ROSENBERG
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
100%
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LIBBI MENDELOVITZ
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SAMUEL STERN
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARC GOLDSTEIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
REBECCA FREY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-04-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,808,902
$1,112,241
—
—
—
6
propco
2023-12-31
$2,394,456
$1,802,889
—
$16,749
$177,682
7
propco
2022-12-31
$871,114
$871,114
—
—
—
0
propco
2021-12-31
$871,114
$871,114
—
—
—
2
propco
2020-12-31
$865,909
$764,596
—
$101,313
—
3
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34017
acs median gross
0
$1,716
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34017
fmr
0
$2,407
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34017
acs median gross
1
$1,766
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34017
fmr
1
$2,458
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34017
acs median gross
2
$1,883
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34017
fmr
2
$2,763
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34017
acs median gross
3
$2,130
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34017
fmr
3
$3,367
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34017
acs median gross
4
$2,466
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34017
fmr
4
$3,955
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34017
acs median gross
5
$2,460
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34017
acs median gross
$1,894
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34017
acs recent mover gross
$2,643
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07047
acs median gross
0
$959
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07047
acs median gross
1
$1,401
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07047
acs median gross
2
$1,960
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07047
acs median gross
3
$2,291
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07047
acs median gross
4
$2,538
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07047
acs median gross
$1,781
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07047
acs recent mover gross
$2,477
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 07047
payment standard 110
0
$2,849
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
payment standard 90
0
$2,331
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
safmr
0
$2,590
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
payment standard 110
1
$2,904
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
payment standard 90
1
$2,376
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
safmr
1
$2,640
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
payment standard 110
2
$3,267
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
payment standard 90
2
$2,673
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
safmr
2
$2,970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
payment standard 110
3
$3,982
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
payment standard 90
3
$3,258
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
safmr
3
$3,620
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
payment standard 110
4
$4,675
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
payment standard 90
4
$3,825
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07047
safmr
4
$4,250
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.