Reads as: riskier than 60.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.29
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.51
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.97
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.42
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
107.6
4.29
0.51
1.17
2.62
3.97
22.5%
2025Q3
92
112.3
4.40
0.59
1.25
2.56
3.97
26.1%
2025Q2
91
113.1
3.80
0.54
1.07
2.20
3.47
28.3%
2025Q1
90
113.9
3.92
0.52
1.19
2.21
3.43
21.6%
2024Q4
92
116.9
4.72
0.69
1.42
2.61
4.27
20.0%
2024Q3
92
114.3
4.88
0.71
1.45
2.72
4.51
22.4%
2024Q2
91
116.8
4.73
0.77
1.42
2.54
4.26
14.0%
2024Q1
91
114.3
4.47
0.74
1.40
2.33
4.02
11.3%
2023Q4
92
110.0
4.71
0.69
1.43
2.59
4.16
11.5%
2023Q3
92
111.0
4.91
0.70
1.54
2.67
4.37
9.7%
2023Q2
91
103.6
5.01
0.67
1.56
2.78
4.32
9.9%
2023Q1
90
101.5
5.14
0.84
1.58
2.71
4.52
8.1%
2022Q4
92
103.9
5.10
0.83
1.45
2.82
4.46
5.5%
2022Q3
92
101.1
5.20
0.85
1.55
2.80
4.49
8.5%
2022Q2
91
98.7
5.25
0.95
1.45
2.85
4.46
0.0%
2022Q1
90
98.9
5.52
1.06
1.41
3.04
4.73
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies.
D
2026-05-15
2026-03-26
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2026-05-15
2026-03-26
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2026-05-15
2026-03-26
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2026-05-15
2026-03-26
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2026-04-20
2026-03-26
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2026-04-20
2026-03-26
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2026-05-15
2026-03-26
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2026-05-15
2024-08-21
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-10-10
2024-08-21
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2024-10-10
2024-08-21
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
L
2024-10-10
2024-08-21
Health
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
D
2024-10-01
2024-08-21
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
L
2024-10-01
2024-08-21
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-10-01
2024-08-21
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-10-01
2024-08-21
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2024-10-01
2024-08-21
Health
F0809
Ensure meals and snacks are served at times in accordance with resident’s needs, preferences, and requests. Suitable and nourishing alternative meals and snacks must be provided for residents who want to eat at non-traditional times or outside of scheduled meal times.
E
2024-10-10
2024-08-21
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-10-01
2024-03-07
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2024-03-30
2022-12-12
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2023-01-04
2022-12-12
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-01-04
2022-12-12
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2023-01-04
2022-12-12
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2023-01-04
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
26
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BARRACK, DONALD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
1999-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOLDSTEIN, RICHARD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
GOLDSTEIN, RICHARD
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
GOODMAN, DAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
HOROWITZ, HERBERT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2000-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
HUNTER, DEBORAH
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2004-04-26
current
pecos_ownership
KAPLAN, LEON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
MUNIZ, ROBERTO
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2015-07-22
current
pecos_ownership
NORMAN, ROBERT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
1997-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PERLMAN, JEFFREY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
SAINT-LOUIS, MILCHA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
—
current
pecos_ownership
SUSSMAN, JEFF
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZELTT, DOUGLAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2019-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
DEBORAH HUNTER
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
100%
2004-04-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MILCHA SAINT-LOUIS
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
100%
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD GOLDSTEIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2019-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD GOLDSTEIN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
100%
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERTO MUNIZ
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
100%
2015-07-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAN GOODMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2019-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DONALD BARRACK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
1999-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DOUGLAS ZELTT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2019-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFF SUSSMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2019-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LEON KAPLAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
0%
2019-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HERBERT HOROWITZ
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2000-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY PERLMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT NORMAN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
1997-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34021
acs median gross
0
$1,168
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34021
fmr
0
$1,344
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34021
acs median gross
1
$1,309
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34021
fmr
1
$1,545
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34021
acs median gross
2
$1,734
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34021
fmr
2
$1,950
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34021
acs median gross
3
$1,966
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34021
fmr
3
$2,338
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34021
acs median gross
4
$2,113
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34021
fmr
4
$2,670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34021
acs median gross
5
$2,395
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34021
acs median gross
$1,623
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34021
acs recent mover gross
$1,948
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08628
acs median gross
1
$1,670
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08628
acs median gross
2
$1,962
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08628
acs median gross
3
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08628
acs median gross
$1,775
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08628
acs recent mover gross
$2,339
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 08628
payment standard 110
0
$1,474
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
payment standard 90
0
$1,206
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
safmr
0
$1,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
payment standard 110
1
$1,705
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
payment standard 90
1
$1,395
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
safmr
1
$1,550
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
payment standard 110
2
$2,145
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
payment standard 90
2
$1,755
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
safmr
2
$1,950
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
payment standard 110
3
$2,574
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
payment standard 90
3
$2,106
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
safmr
3
$2,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
payment standard 110
4
$2,937
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
payment standard 90
4
$2,403
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08628
safmr
4
$2,670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.