Composite
53.3 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| regulatory risk | 77.9 | 74.4 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 17.98 | in index |
| financial risk | 56.9 | 50.1 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 13.13 | in index |
| staffing risk | 46.2 | 46.2 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 8.88 | in index |
| billing conduct | 21.1 | 26.1 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 4.87 | in index |
| chow risk | 41.4 | 47.9 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 4.78 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 26.1 | B | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 22.8 | A | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 73.1 | D | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 50.1 | C | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.1 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 1.6 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 74.4 | D | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 46.2 | C | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 80.6 | F | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 60.6 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 66.4 | D | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 50.1 | C | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 74.4 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 74.4 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 46.2 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 46.2 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Occupancy | 0.95 | -0.74 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 0.00 | -0.17 | |
| Chain size (log) | 1.10 | -0.17 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 0.00 | +1.43 | |
| Occupancy | 0.95 | -0.86 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| Chain size (log) | 1.10 | +0.56 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.12 | |
| Staffing trend, last 4 quarters | -0.19 | -0.11 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | CT median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 3.34 | 3.46 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.67 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 3.24 | 3.25 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.38 | 3.51 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 67.7 | 3.34 | 0.67 | 0.65 | 2.02 | 3.24 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 65.7 | 3.61 | 0.73 | 0.61 | 2.28 | 3.47 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 66.5 | 3.40 | 0.54 | 0.65 | 2.21 | 3.34 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 66.6 | 3.55 | 0.55 | 0.66 | 2.34 | 3.29 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 67.4 | 3.53 | 0.65 | 0.67 | 2.20 | 3.22 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 66.6 | 3.54 | 0.66 | 0.72 | 2.16 | 3.15 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 65.9 | 3.54 | 0.58 | 0.71 | 2.25 | 3.13 | 6.0% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 66.0 | 3.48 | 0.63 | 0.67 | 2.17 | 3.22 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 62.8 | 3.65 | 0.76 | 0.67 | 2.22 | 3.47 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 62.6 | 3.59 | 0.73 | 0.65 | 2.20 | 3.41 | 21.5% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 66.8 | 3.49 | 0.70 | 0.63 | 2.16 | 3.22 | 8.3% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 65.8 | 3.46 | 0.69 | 0.65 | 2.12 | 3.05 | 4.5% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 66.3 | 3.34 | 0.66 | 0.63 | 2.06 | 3.04 | 7.5% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 66.1 | 3.24 | 0.68 | 0.56 | 2.00 | 2.97 | 1.4% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 64.2 | 3.49 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 2.00 | 3.35 | 5.9% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 63.3 | 3.56 | 0.67 | 0.76 | 2.13 | 3.31 | 5.5% |
| Date | Type | Fine | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-23 | Fine | $13,627 | CMS provider data |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-02 | Health · complaint | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | E | 2025-07-07 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0553 | Allow resident to participate in the development and implementation of his or her person-centered plan of care. | B | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | D | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0645 | PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities | B | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | E | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0842 | Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards. | D | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-05-13 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | 2025-06-19 |
| 2025-03-26 | Health · complaint | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2025-05-05 |
| 2025-03-26 | Health · complaint | F0842 | Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards. | D | 2025-05-05 |
| 2025-01-22 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | D | 2025-02-10 |
| 2024-02-23 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | J | 2024-04-03 |
| 2024-02-23 | Health · complaint | F0726 | Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being. | D | 2024-04-03 |
| 2024-02-23 | Health · complaint | F0730 | Observe each nurse aide's job performance and give regular training. | D | 2024-04-03 |
| 2024-02-23 | Health · complaint | F0802 | Provide sufficient support personnel to safely and effectively carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service. | D | 2024-04-03 |
| 2024-02-23 | Health · complaint | F0805 | Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs. | J | 2024-04-03 |
| 2023-09-13 | Health | F0572 | Give residents a notice of rights, rules, services and charges. | C | 2023-11-30 |
| 2023-09-13 | Health | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2023-11-30 |
| 2023-09-13 | Health | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2023-11-30 |
| 2023-09-13 | Health | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2023-11-30 |
| 2023-09-13 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2023-11-30 |
| 2023-09-13 | Health | F0687 | Provide appropriate foot care. | D | 2023-11-30 |
| 2023-09-13 | Health | F0730 | Observe each nurse aide's job performance and give regular training. | C | 2023-11-30 |
| 2023-09-13 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | C | 2023-11-30 |
| 2023-09-13 | Health | F0804 | Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature. | D | 2023-11-30 |
| 2023-09-13 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | 2023-11-30 |
| 2023-07-17 | Health · complaint | F0602 | Protect each resident from the wrongful use of the resident's belongings or money. | D | 2023-08-28 |
| 2023-07-17 | Health · complaint | F0697 | Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services. | D | 2023-08-28 |
| 2021-09-17 | Health | F0578 | Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive. | D | 2021-10-29 |
| 2021-09-17 | Health | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2021-10-29 |
| 2021-09-17 | Health | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2021-10-29 |
| 2021-09-17 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | E | 2021-10-29 |
| 2021-09-17 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2021-10-29 |
| 2021-09-17 | Health | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | D | 2021-10-29 |
| 2021-09-17 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2021-10-29 |
| 2021-09-17 | Health | F0883 | Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations. | D | 2021-10-29 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SBRIGLIO, MARTIN | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 50% | 2005-01-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| DR. ROBERT SBRIGLIO 2009 TRUST | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 25% | 2018-07-17 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MARTIN SBRIGLIO 2009 TRUST | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 25% | 2018-07-17 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SBRIGLIO, MARTIN | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 25% | 2018-07-17 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SBRIGLIO, ROBERT | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 25% | 2018-07-17 | current | pecos_ownership |
| FARMER, MICHELLE | CORPORATE DIRECTOR | — | 2018-11-14 | current | pecos_ownership |
| SBRIGLIO, ROBERT | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | — | 2007-05-04 | current | pecos_ownership |
| MARTIN SBRIGLIO | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | 75% | 2005-01-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MARTIN SBRIGLIO | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 25% | 2018-07-17 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| ROBERT SBRIGLIO | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 25% | 2018-07-17 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| ROBERT SBRIGLIO | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | 25% | 2007-05-04 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| MICHELLE FARMER | CORPORATE DIRECTOR | — | 2018-11-14 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-21 | INGRAHAM MANOR REHAB AND NURSING | — | — | — | 128 | IM OPCO LLC |
| 2025-05-15 | HAVENCARE AT LITCHFIELD WOODS | — | — | — | 160 | LITCHFIELD OPCO LLC |
| 2025-05-15 | HAVENCARE AT VALERIE MANOR | — | — | — | 151 | VALERIE OPCO LLC |
| 2024-10-10 | SHADY KNOLL CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 128 | SHADY KNOLL ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-10-10 | MAEFAIR CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 134 | MAEFAIR ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-10-10 | GLASTONBURY CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 105 | GLASTONBURY ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-08-01 | MANSFIELD CENTER FOR NURSING AND REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 98 | MANSFIELD ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | EVERGREEN CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 180 | EVERGREEN ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | MONTOWESE CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 120 | MONTOWESE ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | SHARON CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 88 | SHARON ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | BEACON BROOK CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 126 | BEACON BROOK ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-06-07 | STONE BRIDGE CENTER FOR HEALTH & REHABILITATION | — | — | — | 154 | NEWTOWN ACQUISITION OPERATOR LLC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 09110 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,036 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09110 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,183 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09110 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,532 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09110 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,594 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09110 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,851 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09110 | acs median gross | 5 | $2,536 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 09110 | acs median gross | $1,411 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 09110 | acs recent mover gross | $1,678 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 06111 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,335 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06111 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,376 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06111 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,629 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06111 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,869 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06111 | acs median gross | 4 | $3,501 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 06111 | acs median gross | $1,524 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 06111 | acs recent mover gross | $1,508 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 06111 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $1,529 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $1,251 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | safmr | 0 | $1,390 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $1,760 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $1,440 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | safmr | 1 | $1,600 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $2,222 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $1,818 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | safmr | 2 | $2,020 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $2,662 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $2,178 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | safmr | 3 | $2,420 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $3,025 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $2,475 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 06111 | safmr | 4 | $2,750 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |