Reads as: riskier than 5.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
15
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
WV median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.06
3.14
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.83
0.37
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.74
2.97
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.19
3.20
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
33.0
4.06
0.83
0.49
2.74
3.74
0.0%
2025Q3
92
36.4
3.53
0.73
0.61
2.19
3.25
0.0%
2025Q2
91
33.3
4.05
0.72
0.77
2.57
4.00
0.0%
2025Q1
90
30.0
4.40
0.95
0.92
2.53
4.00
0.0%
2024Q4
92
31.3
4.61
0.88
0.88
2.86
4.31
0.0%
2024Q3
92
32.8
4.57
0.44
0.99
3.13
4.34
0.0%
2024Q1
91
34.5
4.24
0.42
1.03
2.78
3.86
0.0%
2023Q4
92
29.5
4.97
0.67
1.12
3.18
4.23
0.0%
2023Q3
92
26.5
4.83
0.59
1.13
3.12
4.17
0.0%
2023Q2
91
26.4
0.52
0.50
0.00
0.02
0.39
3.9%
2023Q1
90
27.7
4.87
0.76
1.15
2.96
4.16
0.0%
2022Q4
92
30.2
4.41
0.65
1.06
2.70
3.88
0.0%
2022Q3
92
33.1
4.00
0.54
0.93
2.53
3.58
0.0%
2022Q2
91
31.9
4.79
0.61
1.00
3.17
4.00
0.0%
2022Q1
90
37.3
4.33
0.67
0.93
2.74
3.66
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
39
D × 25E × 12F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-05-29
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0628
Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies.
E
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
F
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
D
2025-07-15
2025-05-29
Health
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
E
2025-07-15
2023-11-01
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
E
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0622
Not transfer or discharge a resident without an adequate reason; and must provide documentation and convey specific information when a resident is transferred or discharged.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0679
Provide activities to meet all resident's needs.
E
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
E
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
E
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0851
Electronically submit to CMS complete and accurate direct care staffing information, based on payroll and other verifiable and auditable data.
F
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2023-11-30
2023-11-01
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
E
2023-11-30
2022-04-20
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2022-05-12
2022-04-20
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2022-05-12
2022-04-20
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2022-05-12
2022-04-20
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2022-05-12
2022-04-20
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2022-05-12
2022-04-20
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2022-05-12
2022-04-20
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2022-05-12
2022-04-20
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
D
2022-05-12
2022-04-20
Health
F0885
Report COVID19 data to residents and families.
E
2022-05-12
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
0
No ownership edges on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
33
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 54019
acs median gross
0
$413
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54019
fmr
0
$631
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 54019
acs median gross
1
$579
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54019
fmr
1
$697
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 54019
acs median gross
2
$770
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54019
fmr
2
$915
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 54019
acs median gross
3
$1,022
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54019
fmr
3
$1,195
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 54019
acs median gross
4
$1,202
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54019
fmr
4
$1,535
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 54019
acs median gross
5
$1,094
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54019
acs median gross
$788
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 54019
acs recent mover gross
$1,591
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 25136
acs median gross
1
$561
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 25136
acs median gross
2
$754
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 25136
acs median gross
3
$891
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 25136
acs median gross
$671
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 25136
acs recent mover gross
$819
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 25136
payment standard 110
0
$726
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
payment standard 90
0
$594
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
safmr
0
$660
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
payment standard 110
1
$858
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
payment standard 90
1
$702
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
safmr
1
$780
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
payment standard 110
2
$1,045
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
payment standard 90
2
$855
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
safmr
2
$950
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
payment standard 110
3
$1,353
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
payment standard 90
3
$1,107
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
safmr
3
$1,230
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
payment standard 110
4
$1,474
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
payment standard 90
4
$1,206
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 25136
safmr
4
$1,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.