Reads as: riskier than 60.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
CAPITAL ONE NA
29 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.45
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.25
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.40
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.46
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
192.3
3.45
0.25
0.79
2.42
3.40
37.9%
2025Q3
92
183.7
3.59
0.25
0.83
2.50
3.42
45.0%
2025Q2
91
185.9
3.74
0.42
0.81
2.51
3.32
48.6%
2025Q1
90
183.2
3.49
0.34
0.77
2.39
3.09
43.0%
2024Q4
92
172.1
3.74
0.44
0.90
2.40
3.32
40.3%
2024Q3
92
171.9
3.74
0.53
0.80
2.41
3.25
41.7%
2024Q2
91
172.6
3.63
0.56
0.79
2.27
3.11
38.8%
2024Q1
91
174.2
3.36
0.47
0.82
2.07
2.82
34.3%
2023Q4
92
167.1
3.33
0.47
0.86
2.00
2.76
29.9%
2023Q3
92
169.2
3.23
0.48
0.81
1.94
2.75
29.0%
2023Q2
91
175.0
3.06
0.50
0.81
1.75
2.63
23.6%
2023Q1
90
171.2
3.16
0.52
0.80
1.84
2.74
23.8%
2022Q4
92
173.5
3.19
0.55
0.71
1.92
2.79
24.6%
2022Q3
92
174.5
3.16
0.57
0.68
1.91
2.74
23.7%
2022Q2
91
181.0
3.05
0.43
0.74
1.88
2.52
24.2%
2022Q1
90
178.4
3.11
0.40
0.81
1.91
2.62
19.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
21
B × 1D × 17E × 1F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-20
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2026-04-30
2026-03-20
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2026-04-30
2026-03-20
Health
F0604
Ensure that each resident is free from the use of physical restraints, unless needed for medical treatment.
D
2026-04-30
2026-03-20
Health
F0628
Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies.
D
2026-05-01
2026-03-20
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2026-05-04
2026-03-20
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2026-05-04
2026-03-20
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2026-05-01
2026-03-20
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2026-05-01
2024-10-11
Health · complaint
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
D
2024-11-30
2024-10-11
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-11-30
2024-10-11
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
D
2024-11-30
2023-05-12
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2023-07-07
2023-05-12
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
B
2023-06-29
2023-05-12
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2023-07-07
2023-05-12
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
D
2023-06-30
2023-05-12
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2023-06-29
2023-05-12
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2023-06-29
2023-05-12
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2023-06-29
2023-05-12
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2023-06-29
2023-05-12
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-06-30
2023-05-12
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-07-06
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
25
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
RLC HOLDINGS LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
RLC HOLDINGS LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BRODT, NECHAMA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2005-01-06
current
pecos_ownership
BRODT, NECHAMA
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2020-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
CAPITAL ONE NA
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2013-02-06
current
pecos_ownership
JR FAMILY HOLDINGS I LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
JR FAMILY TRUST I
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LEISURE CHATEAU ACQUISITION LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2005-01-06
current
pecos_ownership
LEISURE CHATEAU ACQUISITION LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
LEISURE CHATEAU ACQUISITION LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-25
current
pecos_ownership
LEMPEL, ALLEN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-25
current
pecos_ownership
LEMPEL, ALLEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
ROSENBAUM, JOSEPH
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2005-01-06
current
pecos_ownership
SCHWARTZ, MOSHE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-29
current
pecos_ownership
SCHWARTZ, MOSHE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
962 RIVER AVE
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
962 RIVER AVE
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
962 RIVER AVE
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
NECHAMA BRODT
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
99%
2020-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH ROSENBAUM
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
1%
2005-01-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALLEN LEMPEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALLEN LEMPEL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-25
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MOSHE SCHWARTZ
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MOSHE SCHWARTZ
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NECHAMA BRODT
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2005-01-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$2,382,365
$771,376
—
—
—
3
propco
2023-12-31
$2,379,331
$784,320
—
—
—
3
propco
2022-12-31
$1,136,898
$797,985
—
—
—
1
propco
2021-12-31
$1,130,526
$811,234
—
—
—
1
propco
2020-12-31
$1,135,198
$824,079
—
—
—
1
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34029
acs median gross
0
$1,634
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
fmr
0
$1,676
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34029
acs median gross
1
$1,316
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
fmr
1
$1,889
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34029
acs median gross
2
$1,747
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
fmr
2
$2,328
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34029
acs median gross
3
$1,982
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
fmr
3
$3,043
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34029
acs median gross
4
$2,289
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
fmr
4
$3,371
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34029
acs median gross
5
$2,298
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
acs median gross
$1,755
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
acs recent mover gross
$1,903
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08701
acs median gross
0
$1,220
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08701
acs median gross
1
$1,183
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08701
acs median gross
2
$1,730
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08701
acs median gross
3
$1,773
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08701
acs median gross
4
$2,232
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08701
acs median gross
5
$2,278
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08701
acs median gross
$1,774
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08701
acs recent mover gross
$2,148
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 08701
payment standard 110
0
$1,606
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
payment standard 90
0
$1,314
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
safmr
0
$1,460
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
payment standard 110
1
$1,815
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
payment standard 90
1
$1,485
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
safmr
1
$1,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
payment standard 110
2
$2,233
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
payment standard 90
2
$1,827
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
safmr
2
$2,030
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
payment standard 110
3
$2,915
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
payment standard 90
3
$2,385
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
safmr
3
$2,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
payment standard 110
4
$3,234
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
payment standard 90
4
$2,646
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08701
safmr
4
$2,940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.