Reads as: riskier than 37.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.63
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.42
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.55
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.66
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
142.6
3.63
0.42
0.82
2.38
3.55
3.6%
2025Q3
92
142.2
3.56
0.42
0.77
2.37
3.38
3.1%
2025Q2
91
142.1
3.48
0.45
0.88
2.15
3.31
1.1%
2025Q1
90
141.5
3.31
0.40
0.90
2.02
3.16
0.0%
2024Q4
92
134.5
3.48
0.50
0.86
2.12
3.39
0.1%
2024Q3
92
140.2
3.60
0.51
0.84
2.24
3.52
0.1%
2024Q2
91
139.9
3.44
0.48
0.78
2.17
3.33
1.6%
2024Q1
91
141.1
3.11
0.49
0.69
1.93
2.92
4.6%
2023Q4
92
148.8
2.88
0.45
0.69
1.74
2.68
13.0%
2023Q3
92
155.0
2.68
0.46
0.65
1.57
2.56
0.1%
2023Q2
91
156.5
3.00
0.46
0.78
1.77
2.88
0.0%
2023Q1
90
165.1
2.88
0.41
0.72
1.74
2.68
0.9%
2022Q4
92
163.4
2.91
0.39
0.77
1.76
2.73
1.2%
2022Q3
92
163.6
4.31
0.48
1.24
2.59
3.77
2.3%
2022Q2
91
152.3
3.02
0.30
0.82
1.89
2.75
2.1%
2022Q1
90
146.1
3.23
0.33
0.80
2.10
2.84
0.8%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2025-03-31
2025-02-25
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
E
2025-03-31
2025-02-25
Health
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2025-03-12
2025-02-25
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-03-31
2025-02-25
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-03-31
2025-02-25
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2025-03-31
2025-02-25
Health
F0836
Ensure the facility is licensed under applicable State and local law and operates and provides services in compliance with all applicable Federal, State, and local laws, regulations, and codes, and with accepted professional standards.
C
2025-03-12
2025-02-25
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-03-31
2024-04-05
Health · complaint
F0711
Ensure the resident's doctor reviews the resident's care, writes, signs and dates progress notes and orders, at each required visit.
E
2024-05-10
2023-07-20
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2023-08-11
2023-07-20
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
J
2023-08-11
2022-12-21
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
D
2023-01-30
2022-12-21
Health
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
D
2023-01-30
2022-12-21
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2023-01-30
2022-12-21
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
D
2023-01-30
2022-12-21
Health
F0711
Ensure the resident's doctor reviews the resident's care, writes, signs and dates progress notes and orders, at each required visit.
E
2023-01-30
2022-12-21
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2023-01-30
2020-10-14
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2020-10-21
2020-10-14
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2020-10-21
2020-10-14
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2020-10-21
2020-10-14
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2020-10-21
2020-10-14
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2020-10-21
2020-10-14
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2020-10-21
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
14
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
KBWB OPERATIONS-ATRIUM
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
KHAWLY, MARY
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
20%
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
TUFARIELLO, VINCENT
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
20%
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
ZOIS, ELIA
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
20%
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
BURRIS, WILLIAM
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
15%
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
HOOK, GREGORY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
ATRIUM AT MATAWAN REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
ATRIUM AT MATAWAN REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
ELIA ZOIS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
20%
2016-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARY KHAWLY
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
20%
2016-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VINCENT TUFARIELLO
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
20%
2016-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM BURRIS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
15%
2016-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM BURRIS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
—
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GREGORY HOOK
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2016-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
4
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$681,827
—
—
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$621,067
—
—
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$2,660,800
$1,880,658
—
—
$97,288
2
propco
2020-12-31
$2,695,117
$1,943,172
—
—
$59,426
2
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34031
acs median gross
0
$1,057
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031
fmr
0
$1,778
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34031
acs median gross
1
$1,362
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031
fmr
1
$2,024
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34031
acs median gross
2
$1,663
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031
fmr
2
$2,324
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34031
acs median gross
3
$1,869
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031
fmr
3
$2,835
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34031
acs median gross
4
$2,191
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031
fmr
4
$3,618
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34031
acs median gross
5
$2,154
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031
acs median gross
$1,621
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34031
acs recent mover gross
$1,888
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07470
acs median gross
1
$1,874
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07470
acs median gross
2
$2,324
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07470
acs median gross
3
$3,501
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07470
acs median gross
4
$2,581
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07470
acs median gross
$2,164
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07470
acs recent mover gross
$2,235
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 07470
payment standard 110
0
$2,244
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
payment standard 90
0
$1,836
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
safmr
0
$2,040
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
payment standard 110
1
$2,552
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
payment standard 90
1
$2,088
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
safmr
1
$2,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
payment standard 110
2
$2,926
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
payment standard 90
2
$2,394
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
safmr
2
$2,660
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
payment standard 110
3
$3,564
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
payment standard 90
3
$2,916
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
safmr
3
$3,240
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
payment standard 110
4
$4,554
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
payment standard 90
4
$3,726
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07470
safmr
4
$4,140
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.