Composite
47.2 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 82.7 | 54.7 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 19.08 | in index |
| financial risk | 51.9 | 46.7 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 11.98 | in index |
| regulatory risk | 29.5 | 20.1 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 6.81 | in index |
| staffing risk | 32.1 | 32.2 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 6.17 | in index |
| chow risk | 29.4 | 35.1 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 3.39 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 54.6 | C | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 23.6 | A | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 46.7 | C | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 46.7 | C | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.3 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 0.0 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 20.1 | A | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 32.2 | B | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 92.0 | F | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 72.0 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 42.8 | B | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 52.1 | C | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 20.0 | A | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 20.0 | A | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 32.2 | B | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 32.2 | B | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Never sold on record | 0.00 | -1.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 6.37 | -1.23 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | -0.40 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Facility size (log beds) | 5.66 | -0.20 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 0.00 | -0.17 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 0.00 | +1.43 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | +1.20 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Never sold on record | 0.00 | -0.28 | |
| Facility size (log beds) | 5.66 | -0.27 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 6.37 | -0.20 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | NJ median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 3.61 | 3.31 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 3.27 | 3.21 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.74 | 3.37 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 210.2 | 3.61 | 0.47 | 0.78 | 2.35 | 3.27 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 200.3 | 3.63 | 0.43 | 0.89 | 2.32 | 3.35 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 198.3 | 3.56 | 0.39 | 0.93 | 2.24 | 3.23 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 203.3 | 3.58 | 0.33 | 1.06 | 2.19 | 3.35 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 212.5 | 3.45 | 0.26 | 1.10 | 2.09 | 3.20 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 198.1 | 3.60 | 0.30 | 1.13 | 2.17 | 3.30 | 2.6% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 193.3 | 3.73 | 0.39 | 1.08 | 2.26 | 3.40 | 10.1% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 211.4 | 3.81 | 0.38 | 1.19 | 2.25 | 3.51 | 29.4% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 198.9 | 4.11 | 0.29 | 1.40 | 2.41 | 3.89 | 37.7% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 196.0 | 4.41 | 0.35 | 1.40 | 2.66 | 4.06 | 40.3% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 189.9 | 4.35 | 0.37 | 1.27 | 2.71 | 3.94 | 37.1% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 198.8 | 3.94 | 0.46 | 1.03 | 2.45 | 3.60 | 30.9% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 177.5 | 3.72 | 0.36 | 1.02 | 2.34 | 3.43 | 21.3% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 180.1 | 3.90 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 2.39 | 3.58 | 20.0% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 167.1 | 3.98 | 0.47 | 0.99 | 2.53 | 3.64 | 15.6% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 174.7 | 3.92 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 2.51 | 3.48 | 18.1% |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-27 | Health | F0577 | Allow residents to easily view the nursing home's survey results and communicate with advocate agencies. | D | 2025-08-29 |
| 2025-06-27 | Health | F0688 | Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason. | E | 2025-08-29 |
| 2025-06-27 | Health | F0742 | Provide the appropriate treatment and services to a resident who displays or is diagnosed with mental disorder or psychosocial adjustment difficulty, or who has a history of trauma and/or post-traumatic stress disorder. | E | 2025-08-29 |
| 2025-06-27 | Health | F0755 | Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist. | E | 2025-08-29 |
| 2025-03-08 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | F | 2025-04-10 |
| 2025-03-08 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | F | 2025-04-10 |
| 2024-11-07 | Health · complaint | F0773 | Provide or obtain laboratory tests/services when ordered and promptly tell the ordering practitioner of the results. | E | 2024-12-03 |
| 2024-08-30 | Health · complaint | F0690 | Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections. | D | 2024-09-18 |
| 2024-01-09 | Health | F0644 | Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed. | D | 2024-01-23 |
| 2024-01-09 | Health | F0645 | PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities | D | 2024-01-23 |
| 2024-01-09 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2024-01-23 |
| 2024-01-09 | Health | F0693 | Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube. | D | 2024-01-23 |
| 2024-01-09 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | 2024-01-23 |
| 2023-10-25 | Health · complaint | F0837 | Establish a governing body that is legally responsible for establishing and implementing policies for managing and operating the facility and appoints a properly licensed administrator responsible for managing the facility. | D | 2023-11-14 |
| 2023-06-23 | Health · complaint | F0573 | Let each resident or the resident's legal representative access or purchase copies of all the resident's records. | D | 2023-07-17 |
| 2023-06-23 | Health · complaint | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2023-07-17 |
| 2023-06-23 | Health · complaint | F0623 | Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights. | E | 2023-07-17 |
| 2023-06-23 | Health · complaint | F0657 | Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals. | E | 2023-07-17 |
| 2023-06-23 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2023-07-17 |
| 2023-06-23 | Health · complaint | F0806 | Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options. | D | 2023-07-17 |
| 2023-06-23 | Health · complaint | F0919 | Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area. | D | 2023-07-17 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | E | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0607 | Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft. | E | 2021-09-15 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | F | 2022-02-03 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | E | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0686 | Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing. | E | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0690 | Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections. | D | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0698 | Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services. | E | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0725 | Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift. | E | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0760 | Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors. | E | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0808 | Ensure therapeutic diets are prescribed by the attending physician and may be delegated to a registered or licensed dietitian, to the extent allowed by State law. | E | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | F | 2021-09-20 |
| 2021-08-06 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | F | 2022-02-03 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 MADISON PROPCO LLC | Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider | 99% | 2024-01-01 | current | hcris_a_8_1 |
| 77 MADISON PROPCO LLC | Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider | 99% | 2023-01-01 | current | hcris_a_8_1 |
| FREUND, ELIYAHU | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | — | 2020-03-17 | current | pecos_ownership |
| KURLAND, BENJAMIN | CORPORATE DIRECTOR | — | 2020-03-17 | current | pecos_ownership |
| 77 MADISON PROPCO LLC | Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider | 99% | 2021-01-01 | ended 2021-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| 77 MADISON PROPCO LLC | Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider | 99% | 2022-01-01 | ended 2022-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| BENJAMIN KURLAND | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 99% | 2020-03-17 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| ELIYAHU FREUND | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | — | 2020-03-17 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close date | Price | Buyer | Seller | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-17 | — | MORRISTOWN POST ACUTE REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER | COMPLETE CARE AT MORRIS HILLS LLC | chow |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-06 | RIVERSIDE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER LLC | — | — | — | 141 | RIVERSIDE HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER LLC |
| 2024-04-01 | ATLAS REHABILITATION & HEALTHCARE AT WEST DEPTFOR | — | — | — | 156 | WEST DEPTFORD SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-04-01 | ATLAS REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE AT WASHINGTON | — | — | — | 120 | SEWELL SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-04-01 | ACCELERATE SKILLED NURSING AND REHAB PISCATAWAY | — | — | — | 124 | SKILES AVENUE AND STERLING DRIVE URBAN RENEWAL OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | MEADOWBROOK RESPIRATORY AND NURSING CENTER | — | — | — | 130 | MATAWAN SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | ATLAS POST ACUTE AT WOODBURY COUNTRY CLUB | — | — | — | 124 | WOODBURY SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-02-01 | THE SUBACUTE AT AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE | — | — | — | 124 | 113 SOUTH ROUTE 73 OPCO LLC |
| 2024-02-01 | MOHAWK MEADOWS | — | — | — | 159 | BEMET LLC |
| 2024-01-08 | TOTAL REHAB MOORESTOWN | — | — | — | 124 | MOORESTOWN OPERATOR LLC |
| 2024-01-01 | AUTUMN LAKE HEALTHCARE AT VOORHEES | — | — | — | 120 | 1086 DUMONT CIRCLE OPCO LLC |
| 2024-01-01 | HARTWYCK AT OAK TREE | — | — | — | 120 | HACKENSACK MERIDIAN AMBULATORY CARE, INC. |
| 2023-12-27 | MOUNTAINSIDE SKILLED NURSING AND REHAB | — | — | — | 151 | MOUNTAINSIDE NURSING AND REHAB BHC OPERATIONS |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 34027 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,553 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34027 | fmr | 0 | $1,612 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 34027 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,669 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34027 | fmr | 1 | $1,822 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 34027 | acs median gross | 2 | $2,183 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34027 | fmr | 2 | $2,205 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 34027 | acs median gross | 3 | $2,471 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34027 | fmr | 3 | $2,761 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 34027 | acs median gross | 4 | $3,102 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34027 | fmr | 4 | $3,137 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 34027 | acs median gross | 5 | $2,632 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 34027 | acs median gross | $1,904 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 34027 | acs recent mover gross | $2,253 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 07960 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,721 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 07960 | acs median gross | 1 | $2,096 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 07960 | acs median gross | 2 | $2,609 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 07960 | acs median gross | 3 | $2,576 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 07960 | acs median gross | 4 | $3,197 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 07960 | acs median gross | $2,306 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 07960 | acs recent mover gross | $2,495 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 07960 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $2,607 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $2,133 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | safmr | 0 | $2,370 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $2,948 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $2,412 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | safmr | 1 | $2,680 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $3,564 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $2,916 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | safmr | 2 | $3,240 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $4,466 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $3,654 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | safmr | 3 | $4,060 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $5,071 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $4,149 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 07960 | safmr | 4 | $4,610 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |