Reads as: riskier than 37.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
3
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
HERZKA YISROEL
70 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
MORRIS CHRISTOPHER
18 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
42% fined
MORRIS CHRISTOPHER
19 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
OR median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.19
4.20
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.11
0.41
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
4.00
3.99
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.27
4.27
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
47.9
4.19
0.11
0.96
3.12
4.00
4.0%
2025Q3
92
47.6
4.35
0.07
1.10
3.18
4.24
12.5%
2025Q2
91
44.7
4.49
0.05
1.21
3.23
4.40
10.1%
2025Q1
90
43.7
4.58
0.18
1.07
3.33
4.35
9.4%
2024Q4
92
42.3
4.62
0.25
1.05
3.32
4.32
13.9%
2024Q3
92
37.4
4.25
0.27
0.71
3.27
4.17
11.9%
2024Q2
91
31.4
4.68
0.19
0.78
3.71
4.60
7.4%
2024Q1
91
29.5
5.16
0.43
0.64
4.08
4.90
11.3%
2023Q4
92
29.0
5.23
0.50
0.69
4.04
4.77
15.7%
2023Q3
92
27.0
5.16
0.58
0.67
3.92
5.03
8.7%
2023Q2
91
25.4
5.54
0.90
0.63
4.02
5.51
15.5%
2023Q1
90
27.1
4.35
0.73
0.38
3.24
4.55
14.6%
2022Q4
92
29.7
3.32
0.33
0.30
2.69
3.47
2.6%
2022Q3
92
28.6
3.33
0.08
0.35
2.89
3.51
0.0%
2022Q2
91
29.6
3.52
0.23
0.42
2.87
3.74
3.8%
2022Q1
90
30.7
3.42
0.30
0.35
2.77
3.67
6.9%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
20
D × 17E × 2F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-17
Health · complaint
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2026-04-15
2026-03-17
Health · complaint
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
D
2026-04-15
2026-02-24
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2026-03-31
2026-02-24
Health · complaint
F0603
Protect each resident from separation (from other residents, his/her room, or confinement to his/her room).
D
2026-03-31
2026-02-24
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2026-03-31
2026-02-24
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2026-03-31
2025-07-03
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-08-01
2025-03-14
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-05-03
2025-03-14
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2025-05-03
2025-03-14
Health
F0694
Provide for the safe, appropriate administration of IV fluids for a resident when needed.
D
2025-05-03
2025-03-14
Health
F0730
Observe each nurse aide's job performance and give regular training.
E
2025-05-03
2025-03-14
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2025-05-03
2025-03-14
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-05-03
2025-03-14
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-05-03
2025-03-14
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-05-03
2025-03-14
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
D
2025-05-03
2023-11-16
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2023-12-08
2023-06-02
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2023-06-21
2023-06-02
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-06-21
2023-06-02
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2023-06-21
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 41047
acs median gross
0
$1,161
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 41047
fmr
0
$1,181
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 41047
acs median gross
1
$1,101
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 41047
fmr
1
$1,201
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 41047
acs median gross
2
$1,419
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 41047
fmr
2
$1,560
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 41047
acs median gross
3
$1,771
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 41047
fmr
3
$2,159
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 41047
acs median gross
4
$1,908
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 41047
fmr
4
$2,338
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 41047
acs median gross
5
$1,908
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 41047
acs median gross
$1,414
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 41047
acs recent mover gross
$1,673
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 97301
acs median gross
0
$958
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 97301
acs median gross
1
$983
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 97301
acs median gross
2
$1,353
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 97301
acs median gross
3
$1,747
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 97301
acs median gross
4
$1,830
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 97301
acs median gross
5
$1,448
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 97301
acs median gross
$1,278
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 97301
acs recent mover gross
$1,304
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 97301
payment standard 110
0
$1,243
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
payment standard 90
0
$1,017
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
safmr
0
$1,130
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
payment standard 110
1
$1,265
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
payment standard 90
1
$1,035
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
safmr
1
$1,150
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
payment standard 110
2
$1,639
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
payment standard 90
2
$1,341
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
safmr
2
$1,490
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
payment standard 110
3
$2,266
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
payment standard 90
3
$1,854
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
safmr
3
$2,060
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
payment standard 110
4
$2,453
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
payment standard 90
4
$2,007
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 97301
safmr
4
$2,230
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.