Reads as: riskier than 59.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.94
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.23
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.71
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.03
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
116.7
2.94
0.23
0.76
1.94
2.71
0.0%
2025Q3
92
114.8
3.03
0.31
0.72
2.00
2.80
0.0%
2025Q2
91
114.9
2.91
0.30
0.65
1.96
2.80
0.0%
2025Q1
90
113.1
2.97
0.39
0.61
1.97
2.85
0.0%
2024Q4
92
117.3
2.85
0.35
0.60
1.90
2.72
0.0%
2024Q3
92
117.2
2.85
0.34
0.60
1.90
2.65
0.0%
2024Q2
91
115.3
3.01
0.37
0.58
2.05
2.78
0.0%
2024Q1
91
114.7
2.88
0.39
0.53
1.95
2.69
0.0%
2023Q4
92
112.9
2.92
0.42
0.53
1.98
2.74
0.0%
2023Q3
92
112.9
3.14
0.38
0.68
2.08
2.92
0.0%
2023Q2
91
111.2
3.12
0.32
0.75
2.05
2.81
0.0%
2023Q1
90
113.0
3.27
0.32
0.81
2.13
2.98
0.0%
2022Q4
92
111.1
3.46
0.28
0.92
2.26
3.15
0.0%
2022Q3
92
111.1
3.43
0.34
0.81
2.27
3.19
0.0%
2022Q2
91
113.1
3.37
0.44
0.70
2.22
3.10
0.0%
2022Q1
90
114.0
3.36
0.45
0.68
2.23
3.17
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
17
D × 12E × 4F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-08-25
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-09-30
2025-08-25
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
D
2025-09-30
2025-08-25
Health
F0756
Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.
D
2025-09-30
2025-08-25
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2025-09-30
2025-08-25
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2025-09-30
2025-08-25
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-10-15
2024-03-07
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-04-29
2024-03-07
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
E
2024-04-29
2024-03-07
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-04-29
2024-03-07
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2024-04-29
2024-03-07
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-04-29
2024-03-07
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
E
2024-04-29
2024-03-07
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-04-29
2021-12-09
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
E
2022-01-10
2021-12-09
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2022-01-10
2021-12-09
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2022-01-10
2021-12-09
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2022-01-10
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
9
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BROOKHAVEN CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-05-10
current
pecos_ownership
BROOKHAVEN CENTER OPERATIONS HOLDCO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-05-10
current
pecos_ownership
FIRST AMERICAN CAPITAL GROUP CORPORATION
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2022-05-10
current
pecos_ownership
KRAUS, ABRAHAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2022-05-10
current
pecos_ownership
PARAMOUNT CARE CENTERS LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-05-10
current
pecos_ownership
SCHWARZ, MEIR
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2022-05-10
current
pecos_ownership
MEIR SCHWARZ
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
100%
2022-05-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ABRAHAM KRAUS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
88%
2022-05-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL CZERMEK
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
10%
2022-05-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$442,587
—
—
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$501,044
—
—
—
—
1
—
2022-12-31
$251,747
—
—
—
—
1
—
2022-05-09
$408,194
$408,194
—
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$1,020,145
$1,020,145
—
—
—
1
—
2020-12-31
$1,021,769
$1,021,769
—
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
1
Close date
Price
Buyer
Seller
Evidence
2022-05-10
—
BROOKHAVEN CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE LLC
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34013
acs median gross
0
$1,241
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
fmr
0
$1,612
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34013
acs median gross
1
$1,289
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
fmr
1
$1,822
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34013
acs median gross
2
$1,638
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
fmr
2
$2,205
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34013
acs median gross
3
$1,864
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
fmr
3
$2,761
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34013
acs median gross
4
$2,214
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
fmr
4
$3,137
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34013
acs median gross
5
$2,456
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
acs median gross
$1,531
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34013
acs recent mover gross
$1,871
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07018
acs median gross
0
$1,257
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07018
acs median gross
1
$1,355
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07018
acs median gross
2
$1,598
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07018
acs median gross
3
$2,111
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07018
acs median gross
4
$1,992
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07018
acs median gross
5
$2,114
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07018
acs median gross
$1,532
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 07018
acs recent mover gross
$1,882
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 07018
payment standard 110
0
$1,672
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
payment standard 90
0
$1,368
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
safmr
0
$1,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
payment standard 110
1
$1,892
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
payment standard 90
1
$1,548
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
safmr
1
$1,720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
payment standard 110
2
$2,288
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
payment standard 90
2
$1,872
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
safmr
2
$2,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
payment standard 110
3
$2,860
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
payment standard 90
3
$2,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
safmr
3
$2,600
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
payment standard 110
4
$3,256
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
payment standard 90
4
$2,664
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 07018
safmr
4
$2,960
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.