415 JACK MARTIN BLVD, BRICK, NJ 08724 · CCN 315342 · chain SMS 2021 TRUST
Composite
86.6 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
137
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 86.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
5
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+28.7 vs natl
PC HMH PROPCO HOLDINGS LLC
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+28.2 vs natl
PC HMH PROPCO INTERMEDIATE 9 LLC
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.3 vs natl
PC HMH HOLDINGS LLC
8 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.3 vs natl
PC HMH OPCO HOLDNGS LLC
8 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.1 vs natl
SOLARZ JEFFREY
5 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NJ median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.63
3.31
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.37
0.35
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.37
3.21
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.74
3.37
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
77.6
3.63
0.37
1.02
2.25
3.37
33.6%
2025Q3
92
76.7
3.70
0.40
1.04
2.26
3.49
36.4%
2025Q2
91
82.2
3.63
0.40
1.03
2.21
3.43
29.7%
2025Q1
90
77.0
3.48
0.35
0.94
2.20
3.50
26.8%
2024Q4
92
81.6
3.54
0.20
1.07
2.27
3.50
37.1%
2024Q3
92
83.7
3.72
0.16
1.23
2.32
3.57
53.5%
2024Q2
91
80.9
3.54
0.53
1.00
2.01
3.25
41.4%
2024Q1
91
89.7
4.07
0.56
1.13
2.38
3.75
46.5%
2023Q4
92
88.3
3.44
0.32
1.15
1.97
3.26
47.4%
2023Q3
92
101.5
3.12
0.50
0.95
1.68
2.78
49.2%
2023Q2
91
90.6
3.52
0.36
1.09
2.07
3.05
46.5%
2023Q1
90
75.9
4.44
0.64
1.27
2.53
4.09
50.5%
2022Q4
92
66.8
5.29
0.83
1.32
3.13
4.40
46.0%
2022Q3
92
76.8
4.64
0.82
1.10
2.72
3.95
42.4%
2022Q2
91
79.9
4.32
0.77
1.04
2.51
3.73
36.6%
2022Q1
90
72.9
4.61
0.75
1.18
2.68
3.84
33.4%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
30
D × 22E × 8
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-09-12
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-10-17
2025-09-12
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2025-10-17
2025-09-12
Health
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2025-10-17
2025-09-12
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-10-17
2025-09-12
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-10-17
2025-09-12
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-10-17
2025-09-12
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-10-17
2025-09-12
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2025-10-17
2025-09-12
Health
F0700
Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail.
D
2025-10-17
2025-09-12
Health
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
2025-10-17
2024-06-06
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health
F0676
Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.
D
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health
F0693
Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube.
D
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health · complaint
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
E
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
E
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
E
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
D
2024-07-14
2024-06-06
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2024-07-14
2023-08-31
Health · complaint
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2023-10-20
2023-08-31
Health · complaint
F0725
Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift.
E
2023-10-20
2023-08-31
Health · complaint
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2023-10-20
2022-07-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2022-07-07
2022-07-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2022-09-30
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
29
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
PC HMH OPCO HOLDNGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
PC HMH PROPCO HOLDING LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-03-16
current
hcris_a_8_1
PC HMH PROPCO HOLDING LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BRICK PROPCO HOLDCO LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
BRICK PROPCO LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
EEF CAPITAL LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
HILLER, JOSEPH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
HOCH, ROBERT
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
LOZOWSKI, THOMAS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
MERCADO, WANDA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
PC HMH HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
PC HMH PROPCO HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
PC HMH PROPCO INTERMEDIATE 9 LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
PEACE CAPITAL HOLDINGS LLC (DE)
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
PULIZZANO, MICHELE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
SCHLAFF, BENNY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
SCHLAFF, NACHUM
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
SMS 2021 TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
SOLARZ, JEFFREY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
STEIN, SHALOM
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-03-16
current
pecos_ownership
SHALOM STEIN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BENNY SCHLAFF
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY SOLARZ
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH HILLER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHELE PULIZZANO
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
NACHUM SCHLAFF
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT HOCH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS LOZOWSKI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WANDA MERCADO
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$3,438,794
—
—
—
—
2
propco
2023-12-31
$2,876,813
$2,549,507
—
—
—
2
propco
2023-03-15
$581,146
—
—
$183,290
$5,324
11
—
2022-12-31
$3,890,395
—
$944,652
$273,510
$1,501,080
11
—
2021-12-31
$3,751,632
—
—
$145,617
$1,674,526
11
—
2020-12-31
$2,035,188
—
$1,057,963
$105,436
$33,375
11
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 34029
acs median gross
0
$1,634
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
fmr
0
$1,676
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34029
acs median gross
1
$1,316
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
fmr
1
$1,889
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34029
acs median gross
2
$1,747
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
fmr
2
$2,328
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34029
acs median gross
3
$1,982
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
fmr
3
$3,043
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34029
acs median gross
4
$2,289
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
fmr
4
$3,371
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 34029
acs median gross
5
$2,298
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
acs median gross
$1,755
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 34029
acs recent mover gross
$1,903
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08724
acs median gross
0
$1,808
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08724
acs median gross
1
$1,549
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08724
acs median gross
2
$1,840
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08724
acs median gross
3
$2,015
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08724
acs median gross
4
$2,478
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08724
acs median gross
$1,813
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 08724
acs recent mover gross
$1,935
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 08724
payment standard 110
0
$1,892
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
payment standard 90
0
$1,548
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
safmr
0
$1,720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
payment standard 110
1
$2,134
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
payment standard 90
1
$1,746
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
safmr
1
$1,940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
payment standard 110
2
$2,629
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
payment standard 90
2
$2,151
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
safmr
2
$2,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
payment standard 110
3
$3,432
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
payment standard 90
3
$2,808
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
safmr
3
$3,120
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
payment standard 110
4
$3,806
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
payment standard 90
4
$3,114
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 08724
safmr
4
$3,460
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.