Reads as: riskier than 68.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
5
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
MILLER ROBERT
31 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
LIBERTY HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT INC
30 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
OLIVER ANNA
25 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
MCNEILL JOHN
31 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
MCNEILL RONALD
29 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
1
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NC median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
8.98
3.08
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
2.18
0.30
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
7.07
2.93
3.11
—
Weekday total
9.73
3.14
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
4.0
8.98
2.18
4.91
1.89
7.07
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2025-06-04
2025-05-06
Health
F0851
Electronically submit to CMS complete and accurate direct care staffing information, based on payroll and other verifiable and auditable data.
F
2025-06-04
2025-01-22
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-02-06
2024-03-07
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
B
2024-03-22
2024-03-07
Health
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
B
2024-03-22
2024-03-07
Health
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
G
2024-03-22
2024-03-07
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
G
2024-03-22
2024-03-07
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-03-22
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
64
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BARCLAY DEVELOPERS SOUTHPARK, LLC
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
BARCLAY PROPERTIES OF SOUTHPARK LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
BARCLAY SENIOR LIVING SOUTHPARK LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
BARCLAY SENIOR LIVING SOUTHPARK LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-05
current
pecos_ownership
BORK, MATTHEW
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
CANNELLA, BRIAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
CHARLOTTE SP SENIOR HOUSING JV OPCO, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-07-24
current
pecos_ownership
CHARLOTTE SP SENIOR HOUSING JV OPCO, LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
CHARLOTTE SP SR HOUSING MEMBER LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
CYR, CAROL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-05
current
pecos_ownership
CYR, CAROL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
JOHN A MCNEILL JR 2012 IRRV TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-31
current
pecos_ownership
JOHN A MCNEILL JR 2012 IRRV TR
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
JOHN A MCNEILL JR 2014 IRREVOCABLE TRUST
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
KAREP V PARALLEL SL REIT LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
KAREP V SENIOR HOUSING REOC JV LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
KAREP V SL REIT, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
KAYNE ANDERSON REAL ESTATE PARTNERS V LP (KAREP V)
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
KAYNE ANDERSON REAL ESTATE PARTNERS V PARALLEL FUND LP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
LDP PROPERTIES I LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-31
current
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY HEALTHCARE MANAGEMENT INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY HEALTHCARE PROPERTIES OF KERNERSVILLE LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-04-04
current
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY LIVING MANAGEMENT LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY LONG TERM CARE LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY PROPERTIES
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
—
2023-10-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
LIBERTY PROPERTIES
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
—
2022-10-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
LIBERTY REAL PROPERTIES II LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-04
current
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY REAL PROPERTIES V LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY REAL PROPERTIES VI LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-24
current
pecos_ownership
MCNEILL, JOHN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
MCNEILL, ROBERT
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
MCNEILL, RONALD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
MILLER, ROBERT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
MILLER, ROBERT
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
OLIVER, ANNA
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
PURVIS, JENNY
TRUSTEE OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
PURVIS, WILLIAM
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
REITER, RUSSELL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
RONALD B AND CYNTHIA J MCNEIL 2014 IRREVOCABLE TRUST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-04
current
pecos_ownership
RONALD B AND CYNTHIA J MCNEIL 2014 IRREVOCABLE TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
SENIOR HOUSING INTERVENING COMPANY V LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
WAIN, JOHN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
WILSON, JEFFREY
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-05
current
pecos_ownership
WILSON, JEFFREY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-08
current
pecos_ownership
KAREP V SENIOR HOUSING REOC JV LLC
OTHER
100%
2018-07-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAYNE ANDERSON REAL ESTATE PARTNERS V LP (KAREP V)
OTHER
100%
2018-07-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAYNE ANDERSON REAL ESTATE PARTNERS V PARALLEL FUND LP
OTHER
100%
2018-07-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY PROPERTIES
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-04-19
ended 2021-09-30
hcris_a_8_1
LIBERTY REAL PROPERTIES VI LLC
OTHER
100%
2018-07-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAREP V SL REIT, LLC
OTHER
89%
2018-07-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SENIOR HOUSING INTERVENING COMPANY V LLC
OTHER
78%
2018-07-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BARCLAY DEVELOPERS SOUTHPARK, LLC
OTHER
11%
2018-07-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAREP V PARALLEL SL REIT LLC
OTHER
11%
2018-07-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ALBERT RABIL
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2020-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANGELA CARNEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
0%
2020-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID SELZNICK
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2020-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY WILSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
0%
2020-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN WAIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2020-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH CALCUTT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
0%
2020-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PENNY PURIFOY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
0%
2020-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RUSSELL REITER
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2020-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LIBERTY PROPERTIES
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
—
2021-10-01
ended 2022-09-30
hcris_a_8_1
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
4
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-09-30
$20,026,400
—
$827,923
$1,535
$214,747
5
propco
2023-09-30
$17,224,623
—
—
—
—
4
propco
2022-09-30
$9,058,666
—
—
—
—
11
propco
2021-09-30
$5,151,598
—
—
—
—
11
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 37119
acs median gross
0
$1,489
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
fmr
0
$1,469
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37119
acs median gross
1
$1,457
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
fmr
1
$1,538
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37119
acs median gross
2
$1,621
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
fmr
2
$1,686
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37119
acs median gross
3
$1,792
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
fmr
3
$2,076
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37119
acs median gross
4
$2,139
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
fmr
4
$2,637
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 37119
acs median gross
5
$2,796
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
acs median gross
$1,627
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 37119
acs recent mover gross
$1,783
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28210
acs median gross
0
$1,367
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28210
acs median gross
1
$1,355
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28210
acs median gross
2
$1,641
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28210
acs median gross
3
$1,736
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28210
acs median gross
4
$2,076
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28210
acs median gross
$1,554
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 28210
acs recent mover gross
$1,728
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 28210
payment standard 110
0
$1,804
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
payment standard 90
0
$1,476
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
safmr
0
$1,640
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
payment standard 110
1
$1,892
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
payment standard 90
1
$1,548
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
safmr
1
$1,720
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
payment standard 110
2
$2,068
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
payment standard 90
2
$1,692
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
safmr
2
$1,880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
payment standard 110
3
$2,552
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
payment standard 90
3
$2,088
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
safmr
3
$2,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
payment standard 110
4
$3,234
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
payment standard 90
4
$2,646
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 28210
safmr
4
$2,940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.