Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

3,951–4,000

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
3951	MADO HEALTHCARE - UPTOWN	0.5%	74.0	F	IL	CHICAGO	132	—
3952	Timbercreek Rehab and Health Care Center	0.5%	74.0	C	IL	PEKIN	202	—
3953	THE PLAZA HEALTH SERVICES AT SANTA MARTA	0.5%	74.0	A	KS	OLATHE	50	GREYSTONE MANAGEMENT SERVICES COMPANY LLC
3954	FALLBROOK SKILLED NURSING	0.5%	74.0	C	CA	FALLBROOK	93	—
3955	Valle Verde Health Facility	0.5%	74.0	A	CA	Santa Barbara	80	HUMANGOOD
3956	ALGART HEALTH CARE	0.5%	74.0	A	OH	CLEVELAND	78	—
3957	Clapps Nursing Center Inc	0.5%	74.0	B	NC	Pleasant Garden	118	—
3958	HOMESTEAD NURSING AND REHABILITATION OF BAIRD	0.5%	74.0	B	TX	BAIRD	0	STEPHENS MEMORIAL HOSPITAL DISTRICT
3959	INNISFREE HEALTH AND REHAB, LLC	0.5%	74.0	C	AR	ROGERS	104	—
3960	Princeton Nursing & Rehabilitation	0.5%	74.0	A	KY	Princeton	104	—
3961	Tradewater Pointe	0.5%	74.0	A	KY	Dawson Springs	60	JAMES LOWRY FAMILY IRRV TR
3962	Highland Park Care Center	0.5%	74.0	A	NE	Alliance	60	VETTER SENIOR LIVING
3963	ROSEWALK VILLAGE AT LAFAYETTE	0.5%	74.0	B	IN	LAFAYETTE	141	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
3964	Pleasanton South Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.5%	74.0	D	TX	Pleasanton	0	MAVERICK COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
3965	FOOTHILL ACRES REHABILITATION & NURSING CENTER	0.5%	74.0	B	NJ	HILLSBOROUGH	200	—
3966	LAUREL MEADOWS WELLNESS & REHABILITATION	0.5%	74.0	B	MO	SAINT CHARLES	103	—
3967	Sibley Specialty Care	0.5%	74.0	B	IA	Sibley	46	CARE INITIATIVES
3968	STEUBENVILLE COUNTRY CLUB MANOR	0.5%	74.0	B	OH	STEUBENVILLE	54	—
3969	SAN FRANCISCO TOWERS	0.5%	74.0	A	CA	SAN FRANCISCO	27	FRONT PORCH COMMUNITIES AND SERVICES
3970	MAPLE WINDS HEALTHCARE AND REHABILITATION, LLC	0.5%	74.0	C	PA	PORTAGE	50	—
3971	Sheboygan Senior Community Inc	0.5%	74.0	A	WI	Sheboygan	60	—
3972	ASHTON MEDICAL LODGE	0.5%	74.0	F	TX	MIDLAND	144	JEC GS TRUST
3973	Healthsource Saginaw, Inc	0.5%	74.0	C	MI	Saginaw	213	—
3974	REGENCY AT NORTHPOINTE	0.5%	74.0	B	WA	SPOKANE	120	—
3975	LINCOLN COUNTY NURSING & REHAB	0.5%	74.0	D	MO	TROY	90	—
3976	ALLIANCE HEALTH AT ROSEWOOD	0.5%	74.0	B	MA	PEABODY	135	ALLIANCE HEALTH INC
3977	MANOR OF THE PLAINS	0.5%	74.0	B	KS	DODGE CITY	50	PRESBYTERIAN MANORS OF MID AMERICA INC
3978	WI Veterans Home Moses Hall	0.5%	74.0	B	WI	King	192	STATE OF WISCONSIN
3979	The Brightonian, Inc	0.5%	74.0	A	NY	Rochester	54	—
3980	MAPLEWOOD PARK PLACE	0.5%	74.0	A	MD	BETHESDA	31	—
3981	Alice Hyde Medical Center	0.5%	74.0	A	NY	MALONE	135	THE UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT HEALTH NETWORK INC
3982	Karen Acres Care Center	0.5%	74.0	A	IA	Urbandale	35	—
3983	SOUTHERN HEALTH AND REHAB OF VERNON	0.5%	74.0	A	AL	VERNON	158	—
3984	MASONIC CARE COMMUNITY OF NEW YORK	0.5%	74.0	C	NY	UTICA	320	—
3985	MANGUM SKILLED NURSING AND THERAPY	0.5%	74.0	F	OK	MANGUM	140	BRIDGES ESOP INC
3986	RIVERVIEW VILLAGE	0.5%	74.0	B	IN	CLARKSVILLE	130	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
3987	PREFERRED CARE AT WALL	0.5%	74.0	B	NJ	ALLENWOOD	135	—
3988	Mansion Nursing and Rehab Center	0.5%	74.0	A	RI	Central Falls	62	—
3989	DEVONSHIRE OAKS NURSING CENTER	0.5%	74.0	B	CA	REDWOOD CITY	38	—
3990	Bowling Green Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.5%	73.7	C	KY	Bowling Green	66	—
3991	SKILLED NURSING AT FELLOWSHIP VILLAGE	0.5%	73.7	A	NJ	BASKING RIDGE	67	—
3992	IVY HALL NURSING HOME	0.5%	73.7	C	TN	ELIZABETHTON	101	—
3993	PRAIRIE CROSSING LVG & REHAB	0.5%	73.7	C	IL	SHABBONA	91	MOMENTUM HEALTHCARE LLC
3994	BOSTICK NURSING CENTER	0.5%	73.7	B	GA	MILLEDGEVILLE	280	—
3995	EL PASO HEALTH & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.5%	73.7	D	TX	EL PASO	0	WEST WHARTON COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
3996	WINTER HAVEN HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.5%	73.7	D	FL	WINTER HAVEN	140	CONSULTING SUPPORT SERVICES LLC
3997	Benedictine Living Community \| Mother of Mercy	0.5%	73.7	A	MN	ALBANY	76	BENEDICTINE HEALTH SYSTEM
3998	PRAIRIE VILLAGE NURSING AND REHABILITATION	0.5%	73.7	B	IN	WASHINGTON	65	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
3999	Tuscola County Medical Care Facility	0.5%	73.7	A	MI	Caro	159	—
4000	Northwest Nursing Center	0.5%	73.7	D	OK	Oklahoma City	100	QUALITY CARE GIVERS INC

Showing 3,951–4,000 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.