Ownership-change pipeline

CHOW Radar

p(change of ownership, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

16,900

active SNFs, scored

Model

p_chow_12m v0.1

deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

49.6%

of actual next-12m sales on holdout

Base rate

2.4%

observed 12m CHOW rate, training panels

Ranked by sale probability

1,951–2,000

#	Facility	p(CHOW 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
1951	Three Rivers Health and Rehabilitation Center	4.8%	88.5	B	NC	Windsor	60	LIBERTY HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
1952	ALDEN POPLAR CREEK REHAB & HCC	4.8%	88.4	F	IL	HOFFMAN ESTATES	217	ALDEN MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
1953	Green House Living for Sheridan	4.8%	88.4	A	WY	Sheridan	48	MEMORIAL HOSPITAL OF SHERIDAN COUNTY
1954	HILLTOP PARK REHABILITATION AND CARE CENTER	4.8%	88.4	D	TX	WEATHERFORD	0	PARKER COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
1955	BLACKFEET CARE CENTER	4.8%	88.4	D	MT	BROWNING	47	—
1956	ELBA NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER, LLC	4.8%	88.4	A	AL	ELBA	111	NORBERT A BENNETT IRRV TR FBO CHILDREN
1957	Riverpoint Crest Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	4.8%	88.4	A	NC	New Bern	105	PRINCIPLE LONG TERM CARE INC
1958	THE HILLCREST OF NORTH DALLAS	4.8%	88.4	F	TX	DALLAS	0	DALLAS COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
1959	Westport Place Health Campus	4.8%	88.4	A	KY	Louisville	64	TRILOGY HEALTHCARE HOLDINGS INC
1960	CLARKSVILLE HEALTH & REHAB CENTER	4.8%	88.4	B	VA	CLARKSVILLE	168	BNV DYNASTY LLC
1961	COLUMBUS HEALTHCARE CENTER	4.8%	88.4	A	OH	COLUMBUS	100	RRW LLC
1962	MARQUIS WILSONVILLE POST ACUTE REHAB	4.8%	88.4	B	OR	WILSONVILLE	50	MARQUIS COMPANIES I INC
1963	LAURELS OF STEUBENVILLE THE	4.8%	88.4	B	OH	STEUBENVILLE	98	MOHAMMAD A QAZI LIVING TRUST DATED 09 26 97
1964	PruittHealth- Ridgeway	4.8%	88.4	C	SC	Ridgeway	150	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
1965	Pruitthealth-Crystal Coast	4.8%	88.4	C	NC	Beaufort	104	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
1966	POTOSI MANOR	4.8%	88.4	C	MO	POTOSI	90	—
1967	SLOAN'S LAKE REHABILITATION CENTER	4.8%	88.4	B	CO	DENVER	42	THE ENSIGN GROUP INC
1968	HERITAGE CENTER	4.8%	88.4	B	WV	HUNTINGTON	160	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
1969	LIFE CARE CENTER OF ST LOUIS	4.7%	88.3	B	MO	SAINT LOUIS	100	LIFE CARE CENTERS OF AMERICA INC
1970	GRANBURY REHAB & NURSING	4.7%	88.3	B	TX	GRANBURY	0	CORYELL COUNTY MEMORIAL HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
1971	NELSON MANOR	4.7%	88.3	C	IA	NEWTON	0	—
1972	ASTORIA PLACE LIVING & REHAB	4.7%	88.3	D	IL	CHICAGO	164	CHAIM RAJCHENBACH DESCENDANTS TR UA 04282008
1973	SANTA FE HEIGHTS HEALTHCARE CENTER, LLC	4.7%	88.3	C	CA	COMPTON	99	RENEW HEALTH CONSULTING SERVICES LLC
1974	WHITE BLOSSOM CARE CENTER	4.7%	88.3	B	CA	SAN JOSE	153	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
1975	ARLINGTON PLACE HEALTH CAMPUS	4.7%	88.3	D	IN	INDIANAPOLIS	84	WITHAM MEMORIAL HOSPITAL
1976	COLLEGE PARK REHABILITATION CENTER	4.7%	88.3	A	NV	NORTH LAS VEGAS	188	—
1977	ROCKY RIVER GARDENS REHAB AND NURSING CTR	4.7%	88.3	C	OH	CLEVELAND	120	BRAUNSTEIN BEARS 2016 TRUST
1978	PREMIER CADBURY OF CHERRY HILL	4.7%	88.3	D	NJ	CHERRY HILL	118	—
1979	SEVEN HILLS HEALTH & REHAB CENTER	4.7%	88.3	C	OH	SEVEN HILLS	80	BNV DYNASTY LLC
1980	Mount Washington Care Center	4.7%	88.3	C	OH	CINCINNATI	129	NURSING CARE MANAGEMENT OF AMERICA
1981	Senior Care of Marion	4.7%	88.3	D	SC	Marion	95	—
1982	IGNITE MEDICAL RESORT KATY, LLC	4.7%	88.3	C	TX	KATY	70	ISRAEL FAMILY INVESTMENT TRUST
1983	Autumn Care of Myrtle Grove	4.7%	88.3	C	NC	Wilmington	90	BNV DYNASTY LLC
1984	Hansford County Hospital District DBA Lakeridge Nu	4.7%	88.3	F	TX	LUBBOCK	90	HANSFORD COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
1985	RESTORE HEALTH REHABILITATION CENTER	4.7%	88.3	C	MD	WHITE PLAINS	80	HUNT VALLEY HOLDINGS LLC
1986	EASTVIEW MANOR CARE CENTER	4.7%	88.2	C	MO	TRENTON	90	RELIANT CARE MANAGEMENT COMPANY LLC
1987	PRUITTHEALTH - ROME	4.7%	88.2	A	GA	ROME	100	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
1988	Mayfair Manor	4.7%	88.2	D	KY	Lexington	98	WHEATEN LLC
1989	PRUITTHEALTH - MARIETTA	4.7%	88.2	C	GA	MARIETTA	119	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
1990	ROSEVILLE CARE CENTER	4.7%	88.2	A	CA	ROSEVILLE	210	PACS HOLDINGS LLC
1991	GULFPORT CARE CENTER	4.7%	88.2	B	MS	GULFPORT	90	PROVIDER PROFESSIONAL SERVICES INC
1992	HIGHLAND PARK SKILLED NURSING AND WELLNESS CENTER	4.7%	88.2	C	CA	LOS ANGELES	59	ROCKPORT ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES LLC
1993	STONECREEK NURSING & REHABILITATION	4.7%	88.2	B	TX	SAN AUGUSTINE	0	—
1994	CHARDON CENTER	4.7%	88.2	B	OH	CHARDON	99	RRW LLC
1995	PruittHealth- Estill	4.7%	88.2	C	SC	Estill	88	UHS PRUITT HOLDINGS INC
1996	AROOSTOOK HEALTH CENTER	4.7%	88.2	B	ME	MARS HILL	66	—
1997	BELLWAY HEALTH AND REHABILITATION CENTER	4.7%	88.1	C	AL	SELMA	172	GNH IRRV TR
1998	CENTRAL NURSING HOME	4.7%	88.1	D	IL	CHICAGO	245	TEN CHICAGO LLC
1999	Liberty Commons Nursing & Rehabilitation Center of	4.7%	88.1	C	NC	Benson	100	LIBERTY HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
2000	CHESTNUT WOODS REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CTR	4.7%	88.1	B	MA	SAUGUS	88	NFR 2020 IRRV TR

Showing 1,951–2,000 of 16,900 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.