2720 South 17th Avenue, Central City, NE 68826 · CCN 285147 · chain BRASS NE TRUST
Composite
44.5 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
63
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 44.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
23
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+28.6 vs natl
COPPER NE TRUST
9 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+28.6 vs natl
NE 11 HOLDINGS OPCO LLC
9 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.7 vs natl
BSD BEIS HEALTH TRUST
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.7 vs natl
DOURO VALLEY INVESTMENT LLC
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.7 vs natl
GOLD NE TRUST
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.7 vs natl
NE SNF HOLDINGS LLC
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.7 vs natl
SF 4140 OLDE WASHINGTON BOULEVARD REAL PROPERTY LLC
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.7 vs natl
SILVER NE TRUST
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.7 vs natl
BRASS NE TRUST
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+26.7 vs natl
TULIP INVESTMENTS NE LLC
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.9 vs natl
SILBERSTEIN ARI
31 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
SILBERSTEIN ARI
22 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
52% fined
SILBERSTEIN ARI
31 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
46% fined
BSD BEIS HEALTH TRUST
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
46% fined
DOURO VALLEY INVESTMENT LLC
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
46% fined
GOLD NE TRUST
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
46% fined
BRASS NE TRUST
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
46% fined
SILVER NE TRUST
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
46% fined
TULIP INVESTMENTS NE LLC
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
46% fined
NE SNF HOLDINGS LLC
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
46% fined
SF 4140 OLDE WASHINGTON BOULEVARD REAL PROPERTY LLC
11 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
44% fined
NE 11 HOLDINGS OPCO LLC
9 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
44% fined
COPPER NE TRUST
9 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NE median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
1.78
2.88
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.26
0.42
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
1.68
2.75
3.11
—
Weekday total
1.82
2.96
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
59.3
1.78
0.26
0.56
0.96
1.68
22.7%
2025Q3
92
60.4
1.80
0.29
0.45
1.05
1.64
25.2%
2025Q2
91
60.6
1.83
0.29
0.54
0.99
1.62
35.8%
2025Q1
90
59.8
1.83
0.27
0.53
1.04
1.65
37.7%
2024Q4
92
61.4
1.81
0.26
0.48
1.08
1.80
33.2%
2024Q3
92
61.5
1.73
0.23
0.46
1.03
1.70
27.8%
2024Q2
91
61.8
1.90
0.20
0.42
1.27
1.71
32.6%
2024Q1
91
60.7
1.93
0.18
0.51
1.24
1.81
51.8%
2023Q4
92
62.1
1.64
0.26
0.44
0.94
1.51
0.0%
2023Q3
92
59.4
1.86
0.29
0.35
1.21
1.63
18.3%
2023Q2
91
60.3
1.77
0.25
0.43
1.10
1.64
39.2%
2023Q1
90
61.1
1.75
0.32
0.40
1.04
1.63
30.2%
2022Q4
92
59.9
1.54
0.37
0.36
0.80
1.47
18.8%
2022Q3
92
60.0
1.68
0.43
0.34
0.91
1.62
16.1%
2022Q2
91
60.2
1.74
0.33
0.56
0.85
1.60
22.3%
2022Q1
90
59.4
1.59
0.30
0.35
0.94
1.50
0.8%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
19
D × 14E × 2F × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-12-03
Health · complaint
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2026-01-02
2025-07-31
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2025-09-02
2025-07-31
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2025-09-02
2025-07-31
Health
F0628
Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies.
D
2025-09-02
2025-07-31
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2025-09-02
2025-07-31
Health
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
D
2025-09-02
2025-07-31
Health
F0726
Ensure that nurses and nurse aides have the appropriate competencies to care for every resident in a way that maximizes each resident's well being.
E
2025-09-02
2025-07-31
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-09-02
2025-02-27
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-04-10
2025-02-27
Health · complaint
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2025-04-10
2025-02-27
Health · complaint
F0622
Not transfer or discharge a resident without an adequate reason; and must provide documentation and convey specific information when a resident is transferred or discharged.
D
2025-04-10
2025-02-27
Health · complaint
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
F
2025-04-10
2025-02-27
Health · complaint
F0806
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options.
F
2025-04-10
2024-08-01
Health · complaint
F0645
PASARR screening for Mental disorders or Intellectual Disabilities
D
2024-09-13
2024-08-01
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-09-13
2024-08-01
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-09-13
2023-09-14
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2023-10-20
2023-09-14
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-10-20
2023-09-14
Health
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2023-10-20
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
19
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
NE 11 HOLDINGS OPCO LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
BRASS NE TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
BSD BEIS HEALTH TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
CENTRAL CITY REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
COPPER NE TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
DOURO VALLEY INVESTMENT, LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
FOWLER, ANDREA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
GOLD NE TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
NE SNF HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
SF 4140 OLDE WASHINGTON BOULEVARD REAL PROPERTY LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
SILBERSTEIN, ARI
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
SILVER NE TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
TULIP INVESTMENTS NE LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-08-02
current
pecos_ownership
DAVID WEISZ
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2023-08-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANDREA FOWLER
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2023-08-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ARI SILBERSTEIN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-08-02
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CENTRAL CITY REALTY
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
NE CENTRAL CITY PROPCO LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
NE CENTRAL CITY PROPCO LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
—
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$620,028
$620,028
—
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$332,855
$305,836
—
—
—
2
—
2023-08-01
$517,445
$165,813
—
—
$238,227
3
propco
2022-12-31
$663,601
$207,509
—
—
$307,145
3
propco
2021-12-31
$291,939
$107,106
—
—
—
2
propco
2020-12-31
$320,611
$85,420
—
—
—
2
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
28
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 31121
fmr
0
$689
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 31121
fmr
1
$732
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 31121
acs median gross
2
$757
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31121
fmr
2
$961
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 31121
acs median gross
3
$1,149
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31121
fmr
3
$1,323
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 31121
acs median gross
4
$625
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31121
fmr
4
$1,612
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 31121
acs median gross
$750
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31121
acs recent mover gross
$2,103
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 68826
acs median gross
2
$697
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 68826
acs median gross
3
$1,217
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 68826
acs median gross
$678
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 68826
payment standard 110
0
$759
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
payment standard 90
0
$621
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
safmr
0
$690
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
payment standard 110
1
$803
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
payment standard 90
1
$657
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
safmr
1
$730
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
payment standard 110
2
$1,056
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
payment standard 90
2
$864
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
safmr
2
$960
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
payment standard 110
3
$1,452
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
payment standard 90
3
$1,188
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
safmr
3
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
payment standard 110
4
$1,771
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
payment standard 90
4
$1,449
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68826
safmr
4
$1,610
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.