Reads as: riskier than 56.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
20
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+25.8 vs natl
BAUDER WILLIAM
37 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.7 vs natl
BAUDER MADISON
22 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.1 vs natl
BAUDER KELLY
22 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+23.1 vs natl
BAUDER PARKER
22 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.2 vs natl
BOULWARE ST JAMES LLC
20 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.0 vs natl
BOULWARE THOMAS
24 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+21.0 vs natl
WALKER KATIE
24 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+20.7 vs natl
BAUDER FAMILY INVESTMENTS LLC
20 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
10 chains
BAUDER WILLIAM
35 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
9 chains
BOULWARE STEVEN
40 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC
36 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BAUDER MADISON
21 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BAUDER PARKER
21 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BAUDER KELLY
21 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
WALKER KATIE
23 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BOULWARE THOMAS
23 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
7 chains
BOULWARE DOUGLAS
38 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
PROGRESSIVE REHAB SOLUTIONS LLC
33 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
BOULWARE ST JAMES LLC
19 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
5 chains
BAUDER FAMILY INVESTMENTS LLC
19 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
LA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.71
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.00
0.10
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.50
3.09
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.79
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
128.1
3.71
0.00
1.31
2.40
3.50
6.4%
2025Q3
92
133.9
3.72
0.00
1.29
2.43
3.48
14.4%
2025Q2
91
132.7
3.62
0.00
1.24
2.38
3.29
22.5%
2025Q1
90
134.3
3.59
0.03
1.22
2.35
3.39
23.0%
2024Q4
92
136.9
3.51
0.04
1.13
2.34
3.25
17.0%
2024Q3
92
133.1
3.43
0.04
1.18
2.21
3.12
14.7%
2024Q2
91
128.3
3.41
0.00
1.26
2.15
3.14
17.2%
2024Q1
91
127.5
2.99
0.00
1.11
1.87
2.78
14.0%
2023Q4
92
132.1
3.53
0.04
1.35
2.13
3.27
16.6%
2023Q3
92
132.0
3.39
0.02
1.24
2.13
3.15
8.8%
2023Q2
91
129.8
3.32
0.00
1.23
2.09
3.14
15.0%
2023Q1
90
130.0
3.46
0.04
1.29
2.13
3.26
21.3%
2022Q4
92
129.4
3.46
0.07
1.26
2.13
3.31
24.2%
2022Q3
92
127.9
3.18
0.12
0.92
2.15
3.03
20.6%
2022Q2
91
129.7
3.51
0.15
0.95
2.41
3.40
35.6%
2022Q1
90
119.4
2.32
0.11
0.62
1.59
2.00
57.9%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
33
D × 17E × 12F × 4
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-04
Health · complaint
F0568
Properly hold, secure, and manage each resident's personal money which is deposited with the nursing home.
D
2026-03-16
2026-03-04
Health · complaint
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2026-03-16
2026-03-04
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
E
2026-03-16
2026-03-04
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2026-03-16
2025-02-04
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2025-03-07
2025-02-04
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-04
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
E
2025-03-07
2025-02-04
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2025-03-07
2025-02-04
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-04-08
2025-02-04
Health
F0732
Post nurse staffing information every day.
D
2025-03-07
2025-02-04
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2025-03-07
2025-02-04
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2025-03-07
2025-02-04
Health
F0865
Have a plan that describes the process for conducting QAPI and QAA activities.
F
2025-03-07
2025-02-04
Health
F0867
Set up an ongoing quality assessment and assurance group to review quality deficiencies and develop corrective plans of action.
F
2025-03-07
2025-02-04
Health
F0868
Have the Quality Assessment and Assurance group have the required members and meet at least quarterly
F
2025-03-07
2025-02-04
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
E
2025-03-07
2025-02-04
Health
F0924
Put firmly secured handrails on each side of hallways.
D
2025-03-07
2024-01-31
Health · complaint
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2024-02-26
2024-01-31
Health · complaint
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
D
2024-02-26
2024-01-31
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2024-02-26
2024-01-31
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2024-02-26
2024-01-31
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2024-02-26
2024-01-31
Health
F0727
Have a registered nurse on duty 8 hours a day; and select a registered nurse to be the director of nurses on a full time basis.
D
2024-02-26
2024-01-31
Health
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2024-02-26
2024-01-31
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
E
2024-02-26
2024-01-31
Health
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
D
2024-02-26
2023-11-21
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2023-12-18
2023-11-21
Health · complaint
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2023-12-18
2023-11-21
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2023-12-18
2023-11-21
Health · complaint
F0838
Conduct and document a facility-wide assessment to determine what resources are necessary to care for residents competently during both day-to-day operations (including nights and weekends) and emergencies.
F
2023-12-18
2023-11-21
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2023-12-18
2023-09-19
Health · complaint
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
E
2023-10-12
2023-09-19
Health · complaint
F0691
Provide appropriate colostomy, urostomy, or ileostomy care/services for a resident who requires such services.
E
2023-10-12
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
32
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
PMG REALCO - LAFAYETTE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
33%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
PMG REALCO - LAFAYETTE LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
33%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BAUDER FAMILY INVESTMENTS, LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOULWARE ST JAMES LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAUDER, KELLY
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAUDER, MADISON
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAUDER, PARKER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOULWARE, THOMAS
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WALKER, KATIE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BAUDER, WILLIAM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOULWARE, DOUGLAS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-18
current
pecos_ownership
BOULWARE, STEVEN
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
GRUBB, TERRA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNSON, SEAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-18
current
pecos_ownership
PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-27
current
pecos_ownership
PRIORITY MANAGEMENT GROUP, LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PROGRESSIVE REHAB SOLUTIONS, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
REED, DAVID
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-18
current
pecos_ownership
HC PROP OF LA
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
49%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
STEVEN BOULWARE
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
42%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PMG REALCO - LAFAYETTE LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
33%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
WILLIAM BAUDER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
33%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HC PROP OF LA
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
28%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
KATIE WALKER
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
8%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KELLY BAUDER
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
8%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MADISON BAUDER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PARKER BAUDER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THOMAS BOULWARE
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
8%
2022-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID REED
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DOUGLAS BOULWARE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SEAN JOHNSON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-04-18
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TERRA GRUBB
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$4,470,777
$1,983,304
$12,088
$1,912,222
$172,403
16
propco
2023-12-31
$4,473,900
$2,588,317
—
$1,407,997
$150,529
16
propco
2022-12-31
$3,479,217
$2,059,555
—
$987,279
$132,649
16
propco
2021-12-31
$2,104,670
$1,113,742
—
$59,820
$87,459
13
propco
2020-12-31
$1,713,017
$806,940
—
$30,024
$75,958
10
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 22055
acs median gross
0
$848
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22055
fmr
0
$779
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22055
acs median gross
1
$895
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22055
fmr
1
$898
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22055
acs median gross
2
$1,028
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22055
fmr
2
$1,019
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22055
acs median gross
3
$1,216
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22055
fmr
3
$1,301
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22055
acs median gross
4
$1,405
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22055
fmr
4
$1,581
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22055
acs median gross
$1,057
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22055
acs recent mover gross
$1,080
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 70506
acs median gross
0
$820
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 70506
acs median gross
1
$895
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 70506
acs median gross
2
$1,061
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 70506
acs median gross
3
$1,353
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 70506
acs median gross
4
$1,750
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 70506
acs median gross
$1,042
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 70506
acs recent mover gross
$1,113
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 70506
payment standard 110
0
$913
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
payment standard 90
0
$747
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
safmr
0
$830
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
payment standard 110
1
$1,056
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
payment standard 90
1
$864
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
safmr
1
$960
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
payment standard 110
2
$1,199
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
payment standard 90
2
$981
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
safmr
2
$1,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
payment standard 110
3
$1,529
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
payment standard 90
3
$1,251
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
safmr
3
$1,390
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
payment standard 110
4
$1,859
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
payment standard 90
4
$1,521
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 70506
safmr
4
$1,690
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.