3025 Fourth Street, Jonesville, LA 71343 · CCN 195478 · chain M MELB OPCO LLC
Composite
49.8 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
140
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 49.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
LA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.02
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.02
0.10
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.65
3.09
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.16
3.48
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
87.6
3.02
0.02
0.79
2.21
2.65
0.0%
2025Q3
92
95.2
3.12
0.01
0.69
2.42
2.73
0.8%
2025Q2
91
93.6
3.04
0.03
0.79
2.22
2.81
12.7%
2025Q1
90
84.5
3.02
0.01
0.81
2.21
2.73
5.5%
2024Q4
92
85.6
3.07
0.00
0.78
2.29
2.82
1.3%
2024Q3
92
88.7
2.99
0.00
0.77
2.22
2.80
5.2%
2024Q2
91
86.6
2.87
0.00
0.74
2.13
2.67
9.4%
2024Q1
91
82.6
2.75
0.00
0.76
1.99
2.70
8.2%
2023Q4
92
85.5
2.99
0.14
0.71
2.15
2.64
3.4%
2023Q3
92
89.0
2.94
0.14
0.71
2.09
2.75
6.7%
2023Q2
91
88.5
2.92
0.22
0.55
2.15
2.67
6.4%
2023Q1
90
85.6
3.00
0.19
0.62
2.18
2.73
3.5%
2022Q4
92
83.7
2.72
0.20
0.63
1.89
2.52
3.5%
2022Q3
92
80.9
2.98
0.28
0.61
2.09
2.70
4.5%
2022Q2
91
85.0
2.75
0.31
0.56
1.88
2.53
4.1%
2022Q1
90
81.1
2.67
0.29
0.57
1.81
2.43
7.4%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
25
D × 23E × 1F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-12-03
Health · complaint
F0865
Have a plan that describes the process for conducting QAPI and QAA activities.
F
2025-12-04
2025-05-14
Health
F0558
Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.
D
2025-06-20
2025-05-14
Health
F0582
Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered.
D
2025-06-20
2025-05-14
Health
F0605
Prevent the use of unnecessary psychotropic medications or use medications that may restrain a resident's ability to function.
D
2025-06-20
2025-05-14
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-06-20
2025-05-14
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2025-06-20
2025-05-14
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2025-06-20
2025-05-14
Health
F0687
Provide appropriate foot care.
D
2025-06-20
2025-05-14
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2025-06-20
2025-05-14
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2025-06-20
2025-05-14
Health
F0803
Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.
D
2025-06-20
2025-05-14
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2025-06-20
2025-04-09
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2025-05-11
2024-11-13
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-12-20
2024-08-07
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2024-09-13
2024-03-08
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2024-04-12
2024-03-08
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2024-04-12
2024-03-08
Health
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
D
2024-04-12
2024-03-08
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-04-12
2024-03-08
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2024-04-12
2024-03-08
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2024-04-12
2023-02-08
Health
F0641
Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.
D
2023-02-26
2023-02-08
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-02-26
2023-02-08
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2023-02-26
2023-02-08
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2023-02-26
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
26
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
COMMCARE CATAHOULA
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-07-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
LA2 SNF OPERATIONS HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2023-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
MS LA2 HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2023-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
SS LA2 HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2023-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
CH LA2 HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
22%
2023-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
CW LA2 HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
22%
2023-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
CLARK, CHEYANNE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-07-09
current
pecos_ownership
GOODMAN, MENUCHA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
LA2 OPCO MANAGER LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
MELB OPCO MANAGER LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
MELB OPCO MANAGER LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-29
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, ROGER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-12-28
current
pecos_ownership
STRAUSS, SUSAN
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-13
current
pecos_ownership
VERTEX FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-30
current
pecos_ownership
VERTEX FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
COMMCARE CATAHOULA
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2022-07-01
ended 2023-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
COMMCARE CATAHOULA
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2021-07-01
ended 2022-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
M MELB OPCO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2025-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
M MELB OPCO TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2025-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
S MELB OPCO LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2025-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
S MELB OPCO TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2025-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHAVA WOLOFSKY
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
22%
2023-12-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
YISROEL HERZKA
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
22%
2023-12-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHEYANNE CLARK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-07-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MENUCHA GOODMAN
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROGER SMITH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-12-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$474,296
—
$463,914
—
$2,796
4
—
2023-12-27
$428,399
$303,388
—
$49,001
$32,688
4
propco
2023-06-30
$687,939
$469,841
—
$71,721
$58,743
4
propco
2022-06-30
$440,072
$145,111
—
$87,493
$56,061
3
propco
2021-06-30
$230,923
—
—
$74,027
$57,324
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
28
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 22025
fmr
0
$601
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22025
acs median gross
1
$900
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22025
fmr
1
$647
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22025
acs median gross
2
$629
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22025
fmr
2
$834
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22025
acs median gross
3
$864
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22025
fmr
3
$1,139
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22025
fmr
4
$1,249
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 22025
acs median gross
$821
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 22025
acs recent mover gross
$946
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71343
acs median gross
2
$781
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71343
acs median gross
3
$799
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71343
acs median gross
$895
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 71343
payment standard 110
0
$682
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
payment standard 90
0
$558
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
safmr
0
$620
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
payment standard 110
1
$715
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
payment standard 90
1
$585
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
safmr
1
$650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
payment standard 110
2
$924
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
payment standard 90
2
$756
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
safmr
2
$840
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
payment standard 110
3
$1,276
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
payment standard 90
3
$1,044
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
safmr
3
$1,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
payment standard 110
4
$1,386
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
payment standard 90
4
$1,134
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71343
safmr
4
$1,260
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.