10456 US Highway 62, Calvert City, KY 42029 · CCN 185195 · chain WHEATEN LLC
Composite
82.9 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
100
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 82.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
6 chains
HARRISON JOHN
71 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
KY median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.06
3.11
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.29
0.41
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.04
3.01
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.07
3.16
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
80.1
3.06
0.29
0.95
1.82
3.04
5.7%
2025Q3
92
76.8
3.18
0.34
0.94
1.90
3.02
9.3%
2025Q2
91
78.6
3.29
0.22
1.03
2.03
3.25
13.2%
2025Q1
90
81.3
3.17
0.21
1.06
1.90
3.07
19.3%
2024Q4
92
76.2
3.29
0.17
1.10
2.02
3.22
23.8%
2024Q3
92
80.7
3.36
0.33
0.92
2.11
3.28
33.9%
2024Q2
91
77.4
0.89
0.09
0.26
0.54
0.94
37.3%
2024Q1
91
81.9
2.95
0.37
0.81
1.76
2.78
15.0%
2023Q4
92
80.7
3.46
0.38
0.90
2.17
3.36
24.4%
2023Q3
92
78.2
3.28
0.25
1.03
1.99
3.17
20.1%
2023Q2
91
80.2
3.31
0.21
1.09
2.01
3.15
22.0%
2023Q1
90
71.4
3.28
0.16
1.17
1.95
3.18
19.0%
2022Q4
92
73.7
2.97
0.23
0.99
1.75
2.89
20.2%
2022Q3
92
72.0
2.94
0.32
0.92
1.70
2.74
22.9%
2022Q2
91
73.1
2.99
0.46
0.85
1.68
2.86
19.5%
2022Q1
90
73.6
3.14
0.67
0.59
1.89
2.98
12.4%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
J
2024-07-04
2024-06-13
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
J
2024-07-04
2024-06-13
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-07-04
2024-06-13
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-07-04
2024-06-13
Health
F0925
Make sure there is a pest control program to prevent/deal with mice, insects, or other pests.
F
2024-07-04
2021-08-13
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2021-09-24
2021-08-13
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2021-09-24
2021-08-13
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2021-09-24
2021-08-13
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2021-09-24
2021-08-13
Health
F0676
Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.
D
2021-09-24
2021-08-13
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2021-09-24
2021-08-13
Health
F0679
Provide activities to meet all resident's needs.
D
2021-09-24
2021-08-13
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2021-09-24
2021-08-13
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2021-09-24
2021-08-13
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
F
2021-09-24
2021-08-13
Health
F0883
Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations.
D
2021-09-24
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
16
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
SHC KY HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2013-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHC LP HOLDINGS II LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
SHC LP HOLDINGS III LLC
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
ASBR HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2018-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
BULLOCK, STACEY
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2024-08-26
current
pecos_ownership
HARRISON, JOHN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2013-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
JJLA LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2013-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
LPSNF LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2013-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHC LP HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2013-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
STEIER III, ELMER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2013-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
WHEATEN LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2013-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
ELMER STEIER III
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
20%
2013-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
IRA SMEDRA
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
12%
2013-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SIGNATURE HEALTHCARE LLC
OTHER
0%
2013-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN HARRISON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2013-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STACEY BULLOCK
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2024-08-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,504,454
—
$553,941
$705,347
$162,457
32
propco
2023-12-31
$1,353,746
—
$522,522
$689,488
$4,200
25
—
2022-12-31
$1,180,674
—
$466,469
$577,153
$5,301
25
—
2021-12-31
$992,261
—
$381,468
$540,774
$5,428
23
—
2020-12-31
$983,995
—
$378,907
$533,120
$5,442
20
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
32
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 21157
acs median gross
0
$479
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21157
fmr
0
$632
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21157
acs median gross
1
$486
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21157
fmr
1
$772
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21157
acs median gross
2
$767
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21157
fmr
2
$884
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21157
acs median gross
3
$959
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21157
fmr
3
$1,191
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21157
acs median gross
4
$990
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21157
fmr
4
$1,269
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21157
acs median gross
$798
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21157
acs recent mover gross
$653
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42029
acs median gross
1
$550
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42029
acs median gross
2
$733
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42029
acs median gross
3
$1,248
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42029
acs median gross
$983
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42029
acs recent mover gross
$630
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 42029
payment standard 110
0
$737
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
payment standard 90
0
$603
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
safmr
0
$670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
payment standard 110
1
$902
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
payment standard 90
1
$738
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
safmr
1
$820
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
payment standard 110
2
$1,034
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
payment standard 90
2
$846
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
safmr
2
$940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
payment standard 110
3
$1,397
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
payment standard 90
3
$1,143
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
safmr
3
$1,270
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
payment standard 110
4
$1,683
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
payment standard 90
4
$1,377
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42029
safmr
4
$1,530
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.