Composite
76.0 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| regulatory risk | 93.0 | 90.8 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 21.46 | in index |
| staffing risk | 78.7 | 78.7 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 15.13 | in index |
| billing conduct | 52.2 | 40.3 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 12.05 | in index |
| financial risk | 27.8 | 32.5 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 6.42 | in index |
| chow risk | 31.1 | 29.8 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 3.59 | in index |
| Kind | Finding | Signal | Subject | First seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +34.9 vs natl | VDG LLC | 5 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +34.7 vs natl | GUM VICTOR | 6 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet risk far above national | +32.0 vs natl | LEGACY MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC | 7 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet enforcement cluster | 50% fined | GUM VICTOR | 6 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet enforcement cluster | 43% fined | LEGACY MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC | 7 facilities |
| connection | Owner fleet enforcement cluster | 40% fined | VDG LLC | 5 facilities |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 40.3 | B | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 25.0 | B | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 34.6 | B | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 32.5 | B | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.0 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 0.1 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 90.8 | F | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 78.7 | D | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 77.5 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 57.5 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 33.0 | B | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 38.6 | B | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 90.7 | F | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 90.7 | F | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 78.7 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 78.7 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Never sold on record | 0.00 | -1.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 6.57 | -1.21 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Occupancy | 0.85 | -0.44 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Facility size (log beds) | 5.03 | -0.11 | |
| Chain size (log) | 2.20 | +0.06 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 5.00 | +0.50 | |
| Occupancy | 0.85 | -0.43 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Never sold on record | 0.00 | -0.28 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 6.57 | -0.19 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 | |
| Total nurse staffing (HPRD) | 2.83 | +0.16 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | LA median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 2.83 | 3.38 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.04 | 0.10 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 2.62 | 3.09 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 2.91 | 3.48 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 129.3 | 2.83 | 0.04 | 0.93 | 1.85 | 2.62 | 5.8% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 127.7 | 2.88 | 0.03 | 0.97 | 1.89 | 2.69 | 4.8% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 125.7 | 2.99 | 0.05 | 0.98 | 1.96 | 2.83 | 8.1% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 124.5 | 2.79 | 0.07 | 0.95 | 1.77 | 2.48 | 3.6% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 124.6 | 2.79 | 0.09 | 0.90 | 1.80 | 2.47 | 1.1% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 120.5 | 2.47 | 0.07 | 0.86 | 1.54 | 2.52 | 0.8% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 118.9 | 2.36 | 0.02 | 0.87 | 1.47 | 2.43 | 2.1% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 116.5 | 2.36 | 0.01 | 0.88 | 1.47 | 2.47 | 0.7% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 116.2 | 2.38 | 0.02 | 0.89 | 1.47 | 2.51 | 1.0% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 112.7 | 2.40 | 0.03 | 0.92 | 1.45 | 2.48 | 1.3% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 110.0 | 2.56 | 0.02 | 0.86 | 1.67 | 2.22 | 1.2% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 110.0 | 2.61 | 0.02 | 0.86 | 1.73 | 2.24 | 2.9% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 107.8 | 2.75 | 0.03 | 0.91 | 1.82 | 2.42 | 2.3% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 107.1 | 2.89 | 0.04 | 1.05 | 1.79 | 2.65 | 9.6% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 112.4 | 2.89 | 0.02 | 0.99 | 1.88 | 2.64 | 10.1% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 108.5 | 2.78 | 0.03 | 0.94 | 1.81 | 2.49 | 9.1% |
| Date | Type | Fine | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-09 | Fine | $176,962 | CMS provider data |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | Health · complaint | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | E | 2026-01-17 |
| 2026-01-07 | Health · complaint | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2026-01-17 |
| 2026-01-07 | Health | F0640 | Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment. | D | 2026-01-17 |
| 2026-01-07 | Health | F0641 | Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment. | D | 2026-01-17 |
| 2026-01-07 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | 2026-01-17 |
| 2025-03-20 | Health · complaint | F0729 | Verify that a nurse aide has been trained; and if they haven't worked as a nurse aide for 2 years, receive retraining. | E | 2025-03-24 |
| 2025-03-20 | Health · complaint | F0825 | Provide or get specialized rehabilitative services as required for a resident. | D | 2025-03-24 |
| 2025-02-19 | Health · complaint | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2025-03-14 |
| 2025-01-07 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | E | 2025-02-12 |
| 2025-01-07 | Health | F0565 | Honor the resident's right to organize and participate in resident/family groups in the facility. | E | 2025-02-12 |
| 2025-01-07 | Health | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2025-02-12 |
| 2025-01-07 | Health | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | D | 2025-02-12 |
| 2025-01-07 | Health | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | D | 2025-02-12 |
| 2025-01-07 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2025-02-12 |
| 2025-01-07 | Health | F0697 | Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services. | D | 2025-02-12 |
| 2025-01-07 | Health | F0732 | Post nurse staffing information every day. | B | 2025-02-12 |
| 2025-01-07 | Health | F0755 | Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist. | E | 2025-02-12 |
| 2025-01-07 | Health | F0759 | Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater. | E | 2025-02-12 |
| 2024-10-16 | Health · complaint | F0660 | Plan the resident's discharge to meet the resident's goals and needs. | D | 2024-11-04 |
| 2024-08-09 | Health · complaint | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | J | 2024-09-05 |
| 2024-08-09 | Health · complaint | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | J | 2024-09-05 |
| 2024-08-09 | Health · complaint | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2024-09-05 |
| 2024-08-09 | Health · complaint | F0835 | Administer the facility in a manner that enables it to use its resources effectively and efficiently. | J | 2024-09-05 |
| 2024-07-03 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | E | 2024-08-02 |
| 2024-07-03 | Health · complaint | F0686 | Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing. | E | 2024-08-02 |
| 2024-07-03 | Health · complaint | F0770 | Provide timely, quality laboratory services/tests to meet the needs of residents. | D | 2024-08-02 |
| 2024-01-24 | Health | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | D | 2024-02-29 |
| 2024-01-24 | Health | F0607 | Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft. | D | 2024-02-29 |
| 2024-01-24 | Health | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | E | 2024-02-29 |
| 2024-01-24 | Health | F0610 | Respond appropriately to all alleged violations. | E | 2024-02-29 |
| 2024-01-24 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | E | 2024-02-29 |
| 2023-06-14 | Health · complaint | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2023-07-08 |
| 2023-06-14 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2023-07-08 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VDG LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2020-01-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| GUM, VICTOR | CORPORATE OFFICER | — | 2020-01-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| LALANDE, DAVID | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | — | 2020-01-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| LEGACY MANAGEMENT GROUP, LLC | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2020-01-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| VICTOR GUM | OTHER | 100% | 2020-01-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| BRYAN PROCO L.L.C. | Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider | 40% | 2021-01-01 | ended 2021-12-31 | hcris_a_8_1 |
| DAVID LALANDE | W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE | — | 2020-01-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close date | Price | Buyer | Seller | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-01-01 | — | FRANKLIN OPCO LLC | PINNACLE HEALTH FACILITIES OF LOUISIANA, LLC | chow |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-01 | Timber Springs Rehab and Retirement | — | — | — | 153 | PMG OPCO - SPRINGHILL LLC |
| 2025-03-28 | Cornerstone Post Acute Care Of Bossier | — | — | — | 7 | CORNERSTONE POST ACUTE CARE OF BOSSIER LLC |
| 2024-09-16 | REGENCY HOUSE OF ALEXANDRIA | — | — | — | 58 | REGENCY HOUSE SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | Heritage Manor Health & Rehab | — | — | — | 64 | 2575 AIRLINE DRIVE OPCO LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | FAIR CITY HEALTH AND REHAB | — | — | — | 121 | 2000 FRANK SNF LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | Adira Medical Resort | — | — | — | 77 | 4405 AIRLINE DRIVE OPCO LLC |
| 2023-12-28 | Oak Haven Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center | — | — | — | 104 | OAK HAVEN SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2023-12-28 | The Columns Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center | — | — | — | 140 | COLUMNS SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2023-10-01 | MAISON D'ACADIENS CARE CENTER | — | — | — | 78 | 2907 BASILE SNF LLC |
| 2023-10-01 | Riverview Care Center | — | — | — | 135 | BOSSIER RIVERVIEW, LLC |
| 2023-10-01 | Flannery Oaks Guest House | — | — | — | 130 | FLANNERY OAKS GH BR |
| 2023-08-01 | Legacy Nursing at St. Christina | — | — | — | 140 | ST CHRISTINA OPCO LLC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 22101 | acs median gross | 0 | $99 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22101 | fmr | 0 | $717 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22101 | acs median gross | 1 | $560 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22101 | fmr | 1 | $722 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22101 | acs median gross | 2 | $824 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22101 | fmr | 2 | $947 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22101 | acs median gross | 3 | $994 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22101 | fmr | 3 | $1,244 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22101 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,375 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22101 | fmr | 4 | $1,512 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22101 | acs median gross | $848 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 22101 | acs recent mover gross | $820 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 70538 | acs median gross | 1 | $573 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 70538 | acs median gross | 2 | $646 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 70538 | acs median gross | 3 | $956 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 70538 | acs median gross | $733 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 70538 | acs recent mover gross | $617 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 70538 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $792 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $648 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | safmr | 0 | $720 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $792 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $648 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | safmr | 1 | $720 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $1,045 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $855 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | safmr | 2 | $950 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $1,375 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $1,125 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | safmr | 3 | $1,250 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $1,672 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $1,368 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70538 | safmr | 4 | $1,520 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |