41 NORTH FIFTH STREET, GLENWOOD, GA 30428 · CCN 115703 · chain STATESBORO HOLDCO LLC
Composite
56.5 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
62
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 56.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
4
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+32.7 vs natl
LEFKOWITZ ZEV
7 facilities
connection
Owner fleet risk far above national
+29.1 vs natl
FISCHER DAVID
8 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
PEACOCK MICHAEL
8 facilities
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
43% fined
LEFKOWITZ ZEV
7 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
GA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.14
3.02
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.04
0.26
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.31
2.76
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.08
3.09
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
45.1
2.14
0.04
0.89
1.22
2.31
1.0%
2025Q3
92
43.6
2.54
0.05
1.03
1.46
2.63
19.9%
2025Q2
91
41.0
2.34
0.08
0.88
1.38
2.52
13.6%
2025Q1
90
41.4
2.19
0.13
0.94
1.13
2.18
2.6%
2024Q4
92
43.6
2.12
0.15
0.89
1.08
2.18
1.8%
2024Q3
92
39.3
2.16
0.10
0.81
1.25
2.29
0.0%
2024Q2
91
40.3
2.20
0.10
0.99
1.10
2.31
0.0%
2024Q1
91
39.4
2.50
0.08
1.09
1.33
2.47
0.0%
2023Q4
92
39.2
2.30
0.10
0.93
1.28
2.25
2.6%
2023Q3
92
38.1
2.60
0.16
0.96
1.48
2.54
13.9%
2023Q2
91
36.7
2.59
0.19
0.78
1.62
2.25
7.7%
2023Q1
90
36.4
2.83
0.09
1.11
1.62
2.84
18.1%
2022Q4
92
37.6
3.05
0.13
1.07
1.85
2.95
16.9%
2022Q3
92
41.6
2.77
0.11
1.14
1.52
2.71
23.5%
2022Q2
91
37.0
2.53
0.06
0.92
1.55
2.60
0.0%
2022Q1
90
39.9
2.80
0.15
1.00
1.66
2.90
2.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Notify each resident of certain balances and convey resident funds upon discharge, eviction, or death.
D
2026-05-04
2026-03-08
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2026-05-04
2026-03-08
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2026-05-04
2026-03-08
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2026-05-01
2026-03-08
Health
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
E
2026-05-04
2026-03-08
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2026-05-04
2025-09-11
Health · complaint
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
D
2025-10-15
2025-09-11
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-10-15
2024-11-10
Health · complaint
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2024-12-25
2024-11-10
Health · complaint
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2024-12-25
2024-11-10
Health · complaint
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2024-12-25
2024-11-10
Health · complaint
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
E
2024-12-25
2024-11-10
Health · complaint
F0804
Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.
D
2024-12-25
2024-11-10
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-12-25
2023-07-23
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-08-31
2023-07-23
Health · complaint
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2023-08-31
2023-07-23
Health · complaint
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-08-31
2023-07-23
Health · complaint
F0697
Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services.
G
2023-08-31
2023-07-23
Health · complaint
F0727
Have a registered nurse on duty 8 hours a day; and select a registered nurse to be the director of nurses on a full time basis.
D
2023-08-31
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
12
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BRIGHTON MANAGEMENT THREE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
FISCHER, DAVID
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
INZELBUCH, AZRIEL
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
LEFKOWITZ, ZEV
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCNEAL, THERESA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
PEACOCK, MICHAEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
STATESBORO HOLDCO LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
AZRIEL INZELBUCH
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DAVID FISCHER
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZEV LEFKOWITZ
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
33%
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL PEACOCK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
THERESA MCNEAL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$195,977
—
$5,117
—
—
2
—
2023-12-31
$491,977
—
$6,117
—
$337,218
4
—
2022-12-31
$293,338
—
$6,019
—
$139,688
3
—
2021-12-31
$145,895
—
$5,880
—
—
2
—
2020-12-31
$151,155
—
$5,194
—
—
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
30
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 13309
acs median gross
0
$475
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13309
fmr
0
$765
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13309
acs median gross
1
$427
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13309
fmr
1
$770
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13309
acs median gross
2
$391
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13309
fmr
2
$973
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13309
acs median gross
3
$940
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13309
fmr
3
$1,167
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13309
fmr
4
$1,395
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13309
acs median gross
$581
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13309
acs recent mover gross
$1,279
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30428
acs median gross
1
$333
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30428
acs median gross
2
$534
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30428
acs median gross
3
$1,346
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30428
acs median gross
$653
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 30428
payment standard 110
0
$825
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
payment standard 90
0
$675
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
safmr
0
$750
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
payment standard 110
1
$847
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
payment standard 90
1
$693
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
safmr
1
$770
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
payment standard 110
2
$1,067
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
payment standard 90
2
$873
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
safmr
2
$970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
payment standard 110
3
$1,298
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
payment standard 90
3
$1,062
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
safmr
3
$1,180
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
payment standard 110
4
$1,562
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
payment standard 90
4
$1,278
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30428
safmr
4
$1,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.