3100 CLUB DRIVE, LAWRENCEVILLE, GA 30044 · CCN 115350 · chain GOLDBERG NOM LLC
Composite
30.4 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
67
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 30.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
GA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.87
3.02
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.22
0.26
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.78
2.76
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.91
3.09
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
61.7
2.87
0.22
0.80
1.85
2.78
9.2%
2025Q3
92
59.4
3.80
0.20
0.81
2.80
3.79
14.5%
2025Q2
91
58.4
2.80
0.14
0.70
1.96
2.75
14.3%
2025Q1
90
57.2
2.62
0.10
0.64
1.89
2.57
14.2%
2024Q4
92
56.0
2.77
0.17
0.58
2.02
2.78
8.9%
2024Q3
92
57.0
2.74
0.16
0.58
2.01
2.79
13.0%
2024Q2
91
56.6
2.71
0.13
0.59
1.99
2.74
14.3%
2024Q1
91
58.4
2.48
0.18
0.53
1.76
2.44
19.6%
2023Q4
92
57.9
2.44
0.11
0.63
1.70
2.40
18.0%
2023Q3
92
52.2
2.63
0.20
0.60
1.83
2.58
10.2%
2023Q2
91
56.1
2.40
0.15
0.48
1.77
2.31
8.1%
2023Q1
90
58.1
2.61
0.21
0.57
1.83
2.53
1.7%
2022Q4
92
57.8
2.73
0.16
0.60
1.97
2.67
0.2%
2022Q3
92
59.6
2.70
0.16
0.65
1.90
2.70
13.3%
2022Q2
91
58.5
2.57
0.18
0.65
1.74
2.46
4.7%
2022Q1
90
57.7
2.58
0.26
0.67
1.65
2.53
0.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
16
D × 10E × 1F × 5
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-08-14
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-09-26
2025-08-14
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-09-26
2025-08-14
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-09-26
2025-08-14
Health
F0727
Have a registered nurse on duty 8 hours a day; and select a registered nurse to be the director of nurses on a full time basis.
F
2025-09-26
2024-04-16
Health · complaint
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2024-05-31
2024-04-16
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2024-05-31
2024-04-16
Health · complaint
F0745
Provide medically-related social services to help each resident achieve the highest possible quality of life.
D
2024-05-31
2024-04-16
Health · complaint
F0757
Ensure each resident’s drug regimen must be free from unnecessary drugs.
D
2024-05-31
2024-04-16
Health · complaint
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-05-31
2024-04-16
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-05-31
2024-04-16
Health · complaint
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2024-05-31
2024-04-16
Health · complaint
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
F
2024-05-31
2022-12-04
Health
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
E
2023-01-15
2022-12-04
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-01-15
2022-12-04
Health
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2023-01-15
2022-12-04
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-01-15
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
26
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
DELMAR GARDENS ENTERPRISES INC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2003-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
GOLDBERG-NOM LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
25%
2003-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
GROSSBERG, GABE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
16%
2003-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
GROSSBERG, GEORGE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
11%
2003-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
GABE GROSSBERG AND GEORGE GROSSBERG, TRUSTEES OF THE HENRY AND BARBARA
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2003-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
GEORGE GROSSBERG AND GABE GROSSBERG, TRUSTEES OF THE HENRY AND BARBARA
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2003-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
NON-GST FAMILY TRUST EST U/W OF ISRAEL GOLDBERG FBO JANICE BITANSKI
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2013-04-10
current
pecos_ownership
NON-GST FAMILY TRUST ESTABLISHED U/W OF ISRAEL GOLDBERG FBO HARRY ZVI
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2013-04-10
current
pecos_ownership
NON-GSTFAMILY TRUST EST U/W ISRAEL GOLDBERG FBO DIANE FREDMAN
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2013-04-10
current
pecos_ownership
DELMAR GARDENS ENTERPRISES INC.
Other (financial or non-financial)
—
2024-04-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
DELMAR GARDENS ENTERPRISES INC.
Other (financial or non-financial)
—
2023-04-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
DELMAR GARDENS MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2005-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
MARX, KENNETH
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-06-11
current
pecos_ownership
OPPENHEIMER, HOWARD
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2003-03-14
current
pecos_ownership
VALLERAY, KALINE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-12-05
current
pecos_ownership
DELMAR GARDENS ENTERPRISES INC.
Other (financial or non-financial)
100%
2020-04-01
ended 2021-03-31
hcris_a_8_1
GABE GROSSBERG
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
16%
2003-03-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GEORGE GROSSBERG
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
11%
2003-03-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DIANE FREDMAN
OTHER
4%
2010-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HARRY GOLDBERG
OTHER
4%
2010-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JANICE BITANSKY
OTHER
4%
2010-11-30
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KALINE VALLERAY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
0%
2022-12-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DELMAR GARDENS ENTERPRISES INC.
Other (financial or non-financial)
—
2022-04-01
ended 2023-03-31
hcris_a_8_1
DELMAR GARDENS ENTERPRISES INC.
Other (financial or non-financial)
—
2021-04-01
ended 2022-03-31
hcris_a_8_1
HOWARD OPPENHEIMER
OTHER
—
2003-03-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KENNETH MARX
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2019-06-11
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-03-31
$2,028,033
$1,447,195
$580,838
—
—
3
propco
2024-03-31
$1,960,436
$1,491,559
$468,877
—
—
3
propco
2023-03-31
$1,717,776
$1,248,051
$469,725
—
—
3
propco
2022-03-31
$1,517,375
$1,044,233
$473,142
—
—
3
propco
2021-03-31
$1,701,043
$1,126,581
$574,462
—
—
3
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 13135
acs median gross
0
$1,627
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13135
fmr
0
$1,585
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13135
acs median gross
1
$1,514
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13135
fmr
1
$1,660
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13135
acs median gross
2
$1,739
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13135
fmr
2
$1,820
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13135
acs median gross
3
$1,976
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13135
fmr
3
$2,182
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13135
acs median gross
4
$2,398
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13135
fmr
4
$2,605
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13135
acs median gross
5
$2,544
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13135
acs median gross
$1,810
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13135
acs recent mover gross
$1,926
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30044
acs median gross
0
$1,683
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30044
acs median gross
1
$1,540
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30044
acs median gross
2
$1,784
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30044
acs median gross
3
$2,066
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30044
acs median gross
4
$2,143
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30044
acs median gross
5
$2,061
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30044
acs median gross
$1,826
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30044
acs recent mover gross
$1,889
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 30044
payment standard 110
0
$2,024
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
payment standard 90
0
$1,656
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
safmr
0
$1,840
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
payment standard 110
1
$2,112
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
payment standard 90
1
$1,728
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
safmr
1
$1,920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
payment standard 110
2
$2,321
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
payment standard 90
2
$1,899
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
safmr
2
$2,110
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
payment standard 110
3
$2,783
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
payment standard 90
3
$2,277
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
safmr
3
$2,530
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
payment standard 110
4
$3,322
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
payment standard 90
4
$2,718
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30044
safmr
4
$3,020
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.