Screener / 045372

The Blossoms at White Hall Rehab & Nursing Center

snfAR

9209 Dollarway Road, White Hall, AR 71602 · CCN 045372 · chain ZCS AR OPCO LLC

Composite

43.9 / 100 percentile

Peer group

snf n = 14,684

Evidence depth

deep

Certified beds

120

Model

v1.2

Reads as: riskier than 43.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.

Score model5 Components16 CHOW radar1 Distress radar1 Staffing16 Penalties0 Deficiencies36 Licensure0 Ownership11 Related party1 Transactions1 Comps12 Market rent34

Composite explanation

Component	Percentile	Raw	Weight	Weight share	Contribution	Counts
staffing risk	69.6	69.6	0.25	0.1923	13.38	in index
billing conduct	46.2	37.8	0.30	0.2308	10.66	in index
regulatory risk	42.8	31.6	0.30	0.2308	9.88	in index
financial risk	36.2	37.4	0.30	0.2308	8.35	in index
chow risk	34.1	32.7	0.15	0.1154	3.93	in index

weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.

Component scores and registry models

Score type	Score	Grade	Model	Status	Registry model notes
billing conduct	37.8	B	v0.1-pacpuf-snf	default · in composite	R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup.
chow risk	25.0	B	v0.1-pos	default · in composite	Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
chow risk	40.4	B	v0.6	default · in composite
financial risk	37.4	B	v0.5	default · in composite	R18.
p adverse action 12m	0.1	—	v0.1	default · in composite	R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
p chow 12m	0.1	—	v0.1	default · in composite	R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
regulatory risk	31.6	B	v0.3	default · in composite	Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos.
staffing risk	69.6	D	v0.3	default · in composite	Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS.
financial risk	63.4	C	v0.1	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
financial risk	43.4	B	v0.2	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
financial risk	34.3	B	v0.3	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
financial risk	43.4	B	v0.4	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
regulatory risk	31.5	B	v0.1	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
regulatory risk	31.5	B	v0.2	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
staffing risk	69.6	D	v0.1	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
staffing risk	69.6	D	v0.2	superseded	Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.

Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.

CHOW radar — 12-month sale probability

full board →

p(CHOW, 12m)

0.1%

model v0.1 · computed 2026-07-29

Percentile among SNFs

22.4

100 = most likely to sell

Holdout AUC

0.874

evaluated before shipping, never refit

Driver	Value	Pull on odds
Never sold on record	0.00	-1.62
Current owner tenure (years)	5.31	-1.33
For-profit ownership	1.00	+0.69
No PBJ staffing report	0.00	+0.42
Chain size (log)	3.09	+0.25
Ownership changes, last 5 years	0.00	+0.20
Occupancy	0.76	-0.19
Deficiencies, last 12 months	0.00	-0.17

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.

Distress radar — 12-month termination probability

full board →

p(termination, 12m)

0.1%

model v0.1 · computed 2026-07-29

Percentile among SNFs

41.8

100 = most likely to lose certification

Holdout AUC

0.971

top decile caught 95% of actual exits

Driver	Value	Pull on odds
Deficiencies, last 12 months	0.00	+1.43
For-profit ownership	1.00	-0.69
Chain size (log)	3.09	-0.60
No PBJ staffing report	0.00	+0.39
Never sold on record	0.00	-0.28
Current owner tenure (years)	5.31	-0.21
Fine amount, 12m (log)	0.00	+0.18
Total nurse staffing (HPRD)	2.99	+0.09

Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.

Staffing vs peers

2025Q4 HPRD	This facility	AR median	National median	National p25–p75
Total nurse	2.99	3.38	3.28	2.90–3.77
RN	0.09	0.15	0.39	0.25–0.58
Weekend total	2.99	3.09	3.11	—
Weekday total	2.99	3.46	3.35	—

Quarter	Days	Avg census	Total HPRD	RN	LPN	CNA	Weekend	Contract %
2025Q4	92	91.4	2.99	0.09	0.78	2.12	2.99	10.8%
2025Q3	92	94.9	2.91	0.12	0.73	2.06	2.87	11.3%
2025Q2	91	89.0	2.93	0.18	0.70	2.04	2.91	10.2%
2025Q1	90	89.4	2.71	0.22	0.64	1.85	2.57	10.1%
2024Q4	92	82.8	2.91	0.29	0.61	2.02	2.75	10.2%
2024Q3	92	79.6	3.02	0.33	0.66	2.04	2.85	15.0%
2024Q2	91	85.2	2.94	0.27	0.65	2.02	2.69	22.4%
2024Q1	91	80.1	2.89	0.31	0.61	1.97	2.70	19.2%
2023Q4	92	82.0	2.90	0.21	0.71	1.98	2.64	15.0%
2023Q3	92	83.8	2.82	0.22	0.67	1.93	2.57	21.5%
2023Q2	91	78.8	2.84	0.21	0.64	1.99	2.56	15.1%
2023Q1	90	73.9	2.85	0.25	0.59	2.01	2.49	9.2%
2022Q4	92	72.9	2.90	0.20	0.63	2.07	2.48	2.4%
2022Q3	92	73.7	3.06	0.26	0.75	2.06	2.69	3.6%
2022Q2	91	68.8	2.98	0.09	0.93	1.96	2.82	12.4%
2022Q1	90	54.3	3.32	0.05	1.05	2.22	3.25	4.3%

HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.

Penalties

No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.

Deficiencies

D × 16E × 18F × 2

deficiencies by survey year

Survey	Type	Tag	Deficiency	Scope	Corrected
2025-04-17	Health	F0558	Reasonably accommodate the needs and preferences of each resident.	D	2025-05-01
2025-04-17	Health · complaint	F0676	Ensure residents do not lose the ability to perform activities of daily living unless there is a medical reason.	D	2025-05-01
2025-04-17	Health	F0689	Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.	D	2025-05-01
2025-04-17	Health	F0880	Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.	D	2025-05-01
2024-02-08	Health	F0609	Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.	E	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0623	Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.	D	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0641	Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.	D	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0657	Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.	E	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0677	Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.	E	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0688	Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.	D	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0689	Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.	D	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0693	Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube.	D	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0695	Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.	E	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0759	Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.	E	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0804	Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.	E	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0805	Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food prepared in a form designed to meet individual needs.	E	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0812	Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.	F	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0814	Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.	E	2024-03-09
2024-02-08	Health	F0880	Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.	D	2024-03-09
2023-12-28	Health · complaint	F0557	Honor the resident's right to be treated with respect and dignity and to retain and use personal possessions.	D	2024-01-19
2023-12-28	Health · complaint	F0761	Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.	E	2024-01-19
2023-12-28	Health · complaint	F0804	Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature.	D	2024-01-19
2023-11-07	Health · complaint	F0684	Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.	D	2023-11-28
2023-06-29	Health · complaint	F0689	Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.	E	2023-06-30
2022-11-10	Health	F0578	Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.	E	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0584	Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.	E	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0636	Assess the resident completely in a timely manner when first admitted, and then periodically, at least every 12 months.	E	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0641	Ensure each resident receives an accurate assessment.	E	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0656	Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.	D	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0677	Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.	E	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0687	Provide appropriate foot care.	D	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0689	Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.	E	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0695	Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.	E	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0756	Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures.	E	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0803	Ensure menus must meet the nutritional needs of residents, be prepared in advance, be followed, be updated, be reviewed by dietician, and meet the needs of the resident.	D	2022-12-08
2022-11-10	Health	F0812	Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.	F	2022-12-08

scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.

Licensure actions

No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.

Ownership

Owner	Role	Pct	From	Status	Source
AKS AR OPOC LLC	5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	—	2023-01-01	current	pecos_ownership
MORTON, DONNA MARIE	W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE	—	2021-04-05	current	pecos_ownership
SCHEINBAUM, SHLOMO	CORPORATE OFFICER	—	2021-04-05	current	pecos_ownership
SCHEINBAUM, SHLOMO	5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	—	2023-01-01	current	pecos_ownership
SCHREIBER, ABRAHAM	5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	—	2023-01-01	current	pecos_ownership
DONNA MARIE MORTON	W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE	100%	2021-04-05	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
SHLOMO SCHEINBAUM	CORPORATE OFFICER	100%	2021-04-05	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
ABRAHAM SCHREIBER	5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	65%	2023-01-01	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
SHLOMO SCHEINBAUM	5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	32%	2023-01-01	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
ZCS AR OPCO LLC	5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST	32%	2023-01-01	ended 2026-05-18	pecos_ownership
9209 DOLLARWAY RD	Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider	—	2020-07-01	ended 2021-04-04	hcris_a_8_1

PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.

Related-party costs

FY end	Total allowable	Rent	Home office	Therapy	Staffing	Counterparties	PropCo
2021-04-04	$1,098,840	—	—	—	—	3	propco

Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.

Transactions

Close date	Price	Buyer	Seller	Evidence
2021-04-05	—	DOLLARWAY ROAD OPERATING LLC	THE WATERS OF WHITE HALL LLC	chow

Comparable trades — AR snf

Close	Facility	Price	$/bed	Cap rate	Beds	Buyer
2024-08-02	LAKE FOREST SENIOR LIVING AT HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE	—	—	—	50	HOT SPRINGS SNF OPCO LLC
2024-08-02	LAKE FOREST SENIOR LIVING AT MOUNTAIN HOME	—	—	—	70	MOUNTAIN HOME SNF OPCO LLC
2024-08-01	THE BLOSSOMS AT STAR CITY REHAB & NURSING CENTER	—	—	—	95	N DREW STREET OPERATING LLC
2024-08-01	THE BLOSSOMS AT OAKDALE REHAB & NURSING CENTER	—	—	—	154	CYNTHIA STREET OPERATING LLC
2024-08-01	THE SPRINGS OF WALDRON	—	—	—	105	WALDRON HEALTHCARE LLC
2024-05-01	THE SPRINGS OF FAIRFIELD BAY	—	—	—	55	INDIAN ROCK HEALTHCARE LLC
2024-01-01	THE SPRINGS OF RED OAK	—	—	—	80	RED OAK HEALTHCARE LLC
2023-06-01	Pine Bluff Transitional Care	—	—	—	177	PINE BLUFF NURSING, LLC
2023-04-01	The Blossoms at Berryville Rehab & Nursing Center	—	—	—	114	HAMMONS AVENUE OPERATING LLC
2023-04-01	THE BLOSSOMS AT EUREKA SPRINGS REHAB & NURSING CEN	—	—	—	100	HUNTSVILLE ROAD OPERATING LLC
2023-04-01	THE BLOSSOMS AT VAN BUREN REHAB AND NURSING CENTER	—	—	—	129	MAIN STREET OPERATING LLC
2023-04-01	PIGGOTT HEALTHCARE & SENIOR LIVING, LLC	—	—	—	105	PIGGOTT HEALTHCARE & SENIOR LIVING, LLC

Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.

Market rent context

Geo	Kind	BR	Amount	As of	Source
county 05069	acs median gross	0	$619	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 05069	fmr	0	$697	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 05069	acs median gross	1	$574	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 05069	fmr	1	$728	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 05069	acs median gross	2	$866	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 05069	fmr	2	$937	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 05069	acs median gross	3	$997	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 05069	fmr	3	$1,224	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 05069	acs median gross	4	$1,042	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 05069	fmr	4	$1,241	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_FMR
county 05069	acs median gross		$888	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
county 05069	acs recent mover gross		$1,141	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71602	acs median gross	0	$623	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71602	acs median gross	1	$559	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71602	acs median gross	2	$942	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71602	acs median gross	3	$959	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71602	acs median gross	4	$1,018	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71602	acs median gross		$937	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71602	acs recent mover gross		$1,148	2024-12-31	CENSUS_ACS5
zip 71602	payment standard 110	0	$770	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	payment standard 90	0	$630	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	safmr	0	$700	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	payment standard 110	1	$803	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	payment standard 90	1	$657	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	safmr	1	$730	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	payment standard 110	2	$1,034	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	payment standard 90	2	$846	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	safmr	2	$940	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	payment standard 110	3	$1,353	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	payment standard 90	3	$1,107	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	safmr	3	$1,230	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	payment standard 110	4	$1,375	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	payment standard 90	4	$1,125	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71602	safmr	4	$1,250	2025-10-01	HUD_USER_SAFMR

ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.