110 BRANDYWINE BOULEVARD, FAYETTEVILLE, GA 30214 · CCN 115360 · chain EMPIRE CARE CENTERS LLC
Composite
60.0 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
162
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 60.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
13
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
GA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.99
3.02
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.20
0.26
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.71
2.76
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.10
3.09
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
148.1
2.99
0.20
1.12
1.68
2.71
6.5%
2025Q3
92
144.7
3.20
0.16
1.27
1.76
2.93
12.3%
2025Q2
91
130.8
3.13
0.12
1.16
1.86
2.86
0.3%
2025Q1
90
139.4
2.91
0.15
1.19
1.56
2.59
0.0%
2024Q4
92
135.4
2.90
0.16
1.18
1.57
2.60
0.1%
2024Q3
92
131.6
3.03
0.18
1.14
1.71
2.74
10.1%
2024Q2
91
127.7
2.91
0.09
1.15
1.67
2.71
20.1%
2024Q1
91
138.6
2.33
0.06
0.89
1.39
2.08
18.6%
2023Q4
92
130.5
2.67
0.03
1.17
1.47
2.30
21.6%
2023Q3
92
133.9
2.92
0.04
1.23
1.65
2.53
36.3%
2023Q2
91
134.1
2.84
0.10
1.10
1.64
2.43
34.7%
2023Q1
90
139.3
2.43
0.11
0.78
1.53
2.11
23.2%
2022Q4
92
151.3
2.23
0.09
0.72
1.42
2.02
12.8%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2025-12-09
2025-11-19
Health · complaint
F0585
Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances.
D
2025-12-09
2025-11-19
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2025-12-09
2025-11-19
Health · complaint
F0627
Ensure the transfer/discharge meets the resident's needs/preferences and that the resident is prepared for a safe transfer/discharge.
D
2025-12-09
2025-11-19
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-12-09
2025-11-19
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2025-12-09
2025-11-19
Health · complaint
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-12-09
2025-06-13
Health · complaint
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
—
2025-06-13
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
—
2025-06-13
Health · complaint
F0760
Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors.
D
—
2025-06-13
Health · complaint
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
—
2025-06-13
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
—
2024-02-01
Health · complaint
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2024-03-17
2024-02-01
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2024-03-17
2023-11-09
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2023-12-10
2023-11-09
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2023-12-10
2023-11-09
Health · complaint
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
G
2023-12-10
2023-11-09
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-12-10
2023-11-09
Health · complaint
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2023-12-10
2022-04-01
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2022-05-01
2022-04-01
Health
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2022-05-01
2022-04-01
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2022-05-01
2022-04-01
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2022-05-01
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
32
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
GA4 OPCO HOLDING LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2021-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
FAYETTEVILLE CENTER REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
40%
2024-07-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
FAYETTEVILLE CENTER REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
40%
2023-07-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
BROWN, JEQUEITA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-08-14
current
pecos_ownership
BROWN, STEPHANIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-06-20
current
pecos_ownership
DONATH, BARRY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2021-06-07
current
pecos_ownership
ELLIS, RENEE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
EMPIRE CARE CENTERS LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
EMPIRE CARE CENTERS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-05
current
pecos_ownership
ENSH CONSULTING LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
FERRALL, SHANNON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-05-20
current
pecos_ownership
HARDY, LEANTHONY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
HELLER, SHLOMO
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
MCCAIN, THOMAS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-04-04
current
pecos_ownership
NUSSBAUM, EPHRAIM
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2021-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
REED, JOEL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
SIMMONS JOHNSON, KORTNEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-04-06
current
pecos_ownership
SONE-EBELOUE, GLADYS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
STEPHENS, CARRIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-09
current
pecos_ownership
STINSON, CHRYSTAL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-29
current
pecos_ownership
SWERDLOFF, ARYEH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-05-01
current
pecos_ownership
WILLIAMS, DAEQWONA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-05-05
current
pecos_ownership
WILLIAMS, RASHUNDA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-03-18
current
pecos_ownership
FAYETTEVILLE GA PROPCO LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2020-01-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
FAYETTEVILLE GA PROPCO LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-04-30
hcris_a_8_1
SHLOMO HELLER
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2019-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FAYETTEVILLE CENTER REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
40%
2021-07-01
ended 2022-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
FAYETTEVILLE CENTER REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
40%
2021-05-01
ended 2021-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
FAYETTEVILLE CENTER REALTY LLC
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
40%
2022-07-01
ended 2023-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
EPHRAIM NUSSBAUM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAWANNA ROBINSON
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2021-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHLOMO HELLER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-05-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
7
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-06-30
$3,776,061
—
$17,432
—
—
6
propco
2024-06-30
$3,612,158
—
$15,011
—
—
6
propco
2023-06-30
$4,384,578
—
$10,369
—
—
6
propco
2022-06-30
$2,845,811
—
$11,092
—
—
6
propco
2021-06-30
$355,005
—
$1,944
—
—
4
propco
2021-04-30
$1,301,773
—
$183,097
$267,205
—
15
propco
2020-12-31
$4,368,450
—
$570,639
$720,135
—
16
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 13113
acs median gross
0
$1,230
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13113
fmr
0
$1,585
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13113
acs median gross
1
$1,654
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13113
fmr
1
$1,660
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13113
acs median gross
2
$1,766
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13113
fmr
2
$1,820
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13113
acs median gross
3
$1,909
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13113
fmr
3
$2,182
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13113
acs median gross
4
$2,710
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13113
fmr
4
$2,605
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13113
acs median gross
5
$2,691
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13113
acs median gross
$1,898
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13113
acs recent mover gross
$2,211
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30214
acs median gross
1
$1,683
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30214
acs median gross
2
$1,517
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30214
acs median gross
3
$1,470
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30214
acs median gross
4
$2,382
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30214
acs median gross
$1,639
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30214
acs recent mover gross
$2,975
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 30214
payment standard 110
0
$1,793
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
payment standard 90
0
$1,467
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
safmr
0
$1,630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
payment standard 110
1
$1,881
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
payment standard 90
1
$1,539
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
safmr
1
$1,710
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
payment standard 110
2
$2,057
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
payment standard 90
2
$1,683
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
safmr
2
$1,870
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
payment standard 110
3
$2,464
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
payment standard 90
3
$2,016
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
safmr
3
$2,240
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
payment standard 110
4
$2,948
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
payment standard 90
4
$2,412
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30214
safmr
4
$2,680
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.