Composite
85.5 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| regulatory risk | 91.1 | 88.8 | 0.30 | 0.4286 | 39.04 | in index |
| staffing risk | 53.6 | 53.6 | 0.25 | 0.3571 | 19.14 | in index |
| chow risk | 25.2 | 25.0 | 0.15 | 0.2143 | 5.40 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| chow risk | 25.0 | B | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| p adverse action 12m | 1.3 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 0.8 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 88.8 | F | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 53.6 | C | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| regulatory risk | 88.7 | F | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 88.7 | F | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 53.6 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 53.6 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 0.00 | -1.24 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| Occupancy | 0.53 | +0.50 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | -0.40 | |
| Facility size (log beds) | 5.70 | -0.21 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 0.00 | +1.62 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | +1.20 | |
| Occupancy | 0.53 | +0.94 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 11.87 | -0.69 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Facility size (log beds) | 5.70 | -0.28 | |
| Penalties, last 12 months | 2.00 | -0.17 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 7.00 | +0.13 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | LA median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 3.23 | 3.38 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.55 | 0.10 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 2.94 | 3.09 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.34 | 3.48 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 157.3 | 3.23 | 0.55 | 1.30 | 1.38 | 2.94 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 152.0 | 3.56 | 0.52 | 1.42 | 1.62 | 3.28 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 150.6 | 3.38 | 0.51 | 1.34 | 1.53 | 3.19 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 152.6 | 2.98 | 0.52 | 1.02 | 1.45 | 2.73 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 153.0 | 2.97 | 0.52 | 1.06 | 1.40 | 2.66 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 154.1 | 3.44 | 0.54 | 1.18 | 1.72 | 3.21 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 153.4 | 3.55 | 0.55 | 1.17 | 1.82 | 3.27 | 0.0% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 144.1 | 4.05 | 0.61 | 1.24 | 2.20 | 3.63 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 144.4 | 3.89 | 0.47 | 1.22 | 2.19 | 3.59 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 142.5 | 3.62 | 0.42 | 1.25 | 1.96 | 3.36 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 144.3 | 3.39 | 0.38 | 1.06 | 1.95 | 3.22 | 0.0% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 140.2 | 3.58 | 0.43 | 1.07 | 2.08 | 3.40 | 2.3% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 145.6 | 3.37 | 0.43 | 0.94 | 2.01 | 3.20 | 0.0% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 145.5 | 3.52 | 0.47 | 1.06 | 1.99 | 3.38 | 3.7% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 145.1 | 3.65 | 0.45 | 1.13 | 2.07 | 3.46 | 6.2% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 147.2 | 3.68 | 0.43 | 1.16 | 2.09 | 3.49 | 7.1% |
| Date | Type | Fine | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | Fine | $142,974 | CMS provider data |
| 2025-11-13 | Payment Denial | — | CMS provider data |
| 2024-06-05 | Fine | $173,882 | CMS provider data |
| 2024-06-05 | Payment Denial | — | CMS provider data |
| 2023-11-15 | Fine | $139,662 | CMS provider data |
| 2023-11-15 | Payment Denial | — | CMS provider data |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | Health | F0692 | Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health. | E | 2026-03-08 |
| 2026-01-22 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2026-03-08 |
| 2026-01-22 | Health | F0725 | Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift. | E | 2026-03-08 |
| 2026-01-22 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | E | 2026-03-08 |
| 2026-01-22 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | E | 2026-03-08 |
| 2025-11-13 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | H | 2026-01-12 |
| 2025-11-13 | Health · complaint | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | E | 2026-01-12 |
| 2025-05-28 | Health · complaint | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | E | 2025-07-01 |
| 2025-04-29 | Health · complaint | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2025-06-01 |
| 2025-04-29 | Health · complaint | F0725 | Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift. | E | 2025-06-01 |
| 2025-04-29 | Health · complaint | F0919 | Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area. | E | 2025-06-01 |
| 2025-03-10 | Health · complaint | F0602 | Protect each resident from the wrongful use of the resident's belongings or money. | D | 2025-02-27 |
| 2025-03-10 | Health · complaint | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | D | 2025-04-24 |
| 2025-03-10 | Health · complaint | F0725 | Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift. | E | 2025-04-24 |
| 2025-03-10 | Health · complaint | F0842 | Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards. | E | 2025-04-24 |
| 2024-11-07 | Health · complaint | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2024-12-22 |
| 2024-11-07 | Health | F0644 | Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed. | D | 2024-12-22 |
| 2024-11-07 | Health | F0658 | Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality. | D | 2024-12-22 |
| 2024-11-07 | Health · complaint | F0686 | Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing. | D | 2024-12-22 |
| 2024-11-07 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | E | 2024-12-22 |
| 2024-09-26 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | E | 2024-11-10 |
| 2024-09-26 | Health · complaint | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2024-11-10 |
| 2024-09-26 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2024-11-10 |
| 2024-09-26 | Health · complaint | F0758 | Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited. | D | 2024-11-10 |
| 2024-07-18 | Health · complaint | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | E | 2024-08-09 |
| 2024-07-18 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | D | 2024-08-09 |
| 2024-07-18 | Health · complaint | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | E | 2024-08-09 |
| 2024-07-18 | Health · complaint | F0657 | Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals. | D | 2024-08-09 |
| 2024-07-18 | Health · complaint | F0758 | Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited. | E | 2024-08-29 |
| 2024-06-05 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | G | 2024-07-18 |
| 2024-06-05 | Health · complaint | F0740 | Ensure each resident must receive and the facility must provide necessary behavioral health care and services. | D | 2024-07-03 |
| 2023-11-15 | Health | F0576 | Ensure residents have reasonable access to and privacy in their use of communication methods. | E | 2023-12-30 |
| 2023-11-15 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2023-12-30 |
| 2023-11-15 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | G | 2024-03-01 |
| 2023-11-15 | Health · complaint | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | D | 2024-03-01 |
| 2023-11-15 | Health | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | D | 2023-12-30 |
| 2023-11-15 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2023-12-30 |
| 2023-11-15 | Health | F0825 | Provide or get specialized rehabilitative services as required for a resident. | D | 2023-12-30 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DANIEL, CHAILLIE | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2022-10-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| ECKLER, JOHN | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2018-10-22 | current | pecos_ownership |
| VILLA FELICIANA MEDICAL COMPLEX | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2022-10-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| JOHN ECKLER | CORPORATE DIRECTOR | 100% | 2018-10-22 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| CHAILLIE DANIEL | INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 0% | 2022-10-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-01 | Timber Springs Rehab and Retirement | — | — | — | 153 | PMG OPCO - SPRINGHILL LLC |
| 2025-03-28 | Cornerstone Post Acute Care Of Bossier | — | — | — | 7 | CORNERSTONE POST ACUTE CARE OF BOSSIER LLC |
| 2024-09-16 | REGENCY HOUSE OF ALEXANDRIA | — | — | — | 58 | REGENCY HOUSE SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | Heritage Manor Health & Rehab | — | — | — | 64 | 2575 AIRLINE DRIVE OPCO LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | FAIR CITY HEALTH AND REHAB | — | — | — | 121 | 2000 FRANK SNF LLC |
| 2024-03-01 | Adira Medical Resort | — | — | — | 77 | 4405 AIRLINE DRIVE OPCO LLC |
| 2023-12-28 | Oak Haven Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center | — | — | — | 104 | OAK HAVEN SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2023-12-28 | The Columns Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center | — | — | — | 140 | COLUMNS SNF OPERATIONS LLC |
| 2023-10-01 | MAISON D'ACADIENS CARE CENTER | — | — | — | 78 | 2907 BASILE SNF LLC |
| 2023-10-01 | Riverview Care Center | — | — | — | 135 | BOSSIER RIVERVIEW, LLC |
| 2023-10-01 | Flannery Oaks Guest House | — | — | — | 130 | FLANNERY OAKS GH BR |
| 2023-08-01 | Legacy Nursing at St. Christina | — | — | — | 140 | ST CHRISTINA OPCO LLC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 22037 | fmr | 0 | $1,032 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22037 | acs median gross | 1 | $352 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22037 | fmr | 1 | $1,064 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22037 | acs median gross | 2 | $789 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22037 | fmr | 2 | $1,204 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22037 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,076 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22037 | fmr | 3 | $1,511 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22037 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,200 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 22037 | fmr | 4 | $1,943 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 22037 | acs median gross | $911 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 22037 | acs recent mover gross | $1,079 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 70748 | acs median gross | 1 | $417 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 70748 | acs median gross | 2 | $777 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 70748 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,278 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 70748 | acs median gross | $785 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 70748 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $1,056 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $864 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | safmr | 0 | $960 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $1,078 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $882 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | safmr | 1 | $980 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $1,210 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $990 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | safmr | 2 | $1,100 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $1,518 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $1,242 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | safmr | 3 | $1,380 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $2,013 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $1,647 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 70748 | safmr | 4 | $1,830 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |