109 Homewood Boulevard, Glasgow, KY 42141 · CCN 185093 · chain NHC OP LP
Composite
82.0 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
194
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 82.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
BLACKROCK INC
303 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
KY median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.42
3.11
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.41
0.41
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.14
3.01
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.54
3.16
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
150.3
3.42
0.41
0.99
2.02
3.14
0.0%
2025Q3
92
146.4
3.36
0.47
0.91
1.99
3.10
0.0%
2025Q2
91
149.5
3.27
0.47
0.86
1.94
3.00
0.0%
2025Q1
90
150.0
3.41
0.52
0.87
2.02
3.11
0.0%
2024Q4
92
151.7
3.47
0.58
0.87
2.02
3.15
0.0%
2024Q3
92
150.3
3.34
0.56
0.71
2.06
2.99
0.0%
2024Q2
91
145.7
3.60
0.62
0.73
2.25
3.21
0.0%
2024Q1
91
149.0
3.48
0.63
0.76
2.09
3.07
0.0%
2023Q4
92
152.2
3.36
0.51
0.78
2.07
2.99
0.0%
2023Q3
92
145.7
3.56
0.58
0.80
2.18
3.19
0.8%
2023Q2
91
146.7
3.56
0.58
0.82
2.16
3.17
9.5%
2023Q1
90
148.8
3.45
0.53
0.90
2.02
2.96
11.0%
2022Q4
92
149.6
3.49
0.47
0.96
2.06
3.08
9.2%
2022Q3
92
149.2
3.45
0.42
0.95
2.08
2.94
7.5%
2022Q2
91
146.8
3.26
0.46
0.92
1.89
2.66
19.9%
2022Q1
90
147.8
3.11
0.43
1.00
1.67
2.58
19.4%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2026-04-03
2026-03-10
Health
F0578
Honor the resident's right to request, refuse, and/or discontinue treatment, to participate in or refuse to participate in experimental research, and to formulate an advance directive.
D
2026-04-03
2026-03-10
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
E
2026-04-03
2026-03-10
Health · complaint
F0607
Develop and implement policies and procedures to prevent abuse, neglect, and theft.
D
2026-04-03
2026-03-10
Health · complaint
F0609
Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities.
D
2026-04-03
2026-03-10
Health · complaint
F0610
Respond appropriately to all alleged violations.
D
2026-04-03
2026-03-10
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2026-04-03
2026-03-10
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
D
2026-04-03
2026-03-10
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
E
2026-04-03
2026-03-10
Health · complaint
F0865
Have a plan that describes the process for conducting QAPI and QAA activities.
D
2026-04-03
2024-12-13
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
F
2025-01-21
2024-12-13
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-01-21
2019-06-28
Health
F0583
Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential.
D
2019-08-12
2019-06-28
Health
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2019-08-12
2019-06-28
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2019-08-12
2019-06-28
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2019-08-12
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
27
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BILLINGSLEY, DENISE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-09-01
current
pecos_ownership
BILLINGSLEY, DENISE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
BLACKROCK INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2010-01-20
current
pecos_ownership
CLOUSE, RICHARD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-16
current
pecos_ownership
CLOUSE, RICHARD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2009-09-22
current
pecos_ownership
DODSON, VICKI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
KIDD, BRIAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-05-31
current
pecos_ownership
MORGAN STANLEY INSTITUTIONAL ADVISORS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-11-08
current
pecos_ownership
NHC-OP LP
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2000-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
NHC/DELAWARE INC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2000-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHELLY, TIMOTHY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-07-12
current
pecos_ownership
TURNER, TAMARA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-08-24
current
pecos_ownership
USSERY, ROBERT
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2000-07-01
current
pecos_ownership
VINCENT, BRANDON
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-08-19
current
pecos_ownership
BLACKROCK INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
13%
2019-03-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VANGUARD GROUP INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
9%
2017-03-27
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MORGAN STANLEY
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2024-11-08
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRANDON VINCENT
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2024-08-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN KIDD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-05-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DENISE BILLINGSLEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-09-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DENISE BILLINGSLEY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD CLOUSE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-06-16
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RICHARD CLOUSE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2009-09-22
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT USSERY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2000-07-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TAMARA TURNER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2015-08-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIMOTHY SHELLY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-07-12
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VICKI DODSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2019-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,501,733
—
$907,456
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$825,093
—
$19,720
—
—
1
—
2022-12-31
$564,458
—
$416,439
—
—
1
—
2021-12-31
$1,291,973
—
$689,673
$18,147
$27,694
1
—
2020-12-31
$1,783,642
—
—
$702,479
$29,015
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 21009
acs median gross
0
$663
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21009
fmr
0
$657
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21009
acs median gross
1
$525
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21009
fmr
1
$662
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21009
acs median gross
2
$785
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21009
fmr
2
$868
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21009
acs median gross
3
$913
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21009
fmr
3
$1,102
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21009
acs median gross
4
$1,062
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21009
fmr
4
$1,280
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 21009
acs median gross
$796
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 21009
acs recent mover gross
$818
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42141
acs median gross
0
$835
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42141
acs median gross
1
$396
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42141
acs median gross
2
$872
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42141
acs median gross
3
$953
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42141
acs median gross
4
$1,052
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42141
acs median gross
$857
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 42141
acs recent mover gross
$851
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 42141
payment standard 110
0
$770
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
payment standard 90
0
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
safmr
0
$700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
payment standard 110
1
$770
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
payment standard 90
1
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
safmr
1
$700
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
payment standard 110
2
$1,012
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
payment standard 90
2
$828
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
safmr
2
$920
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
payment standard 110
3
$1,287
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
payment standard 90
3
$1,053
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
safmr
3
$1,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
payment standard 110
4
$1,496
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
payment standard 90
4
$1,224
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 42141
safmr
4
$1,360
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.