1800 East 13th Street, Crete, NE 68333 · CCN 285283 · chain EVENTIDE
Composite
58.2 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
38
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 58.2% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner fleet enforcement cluster
40% fined
SCHAFER ERIC
10 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
NE median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.48
2.88
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.66
0.42
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.21
2.75
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.58
2.96
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
30.3
3.48
0.66
0.67
2.14
3.21
7.0%
2025Q3
92
32.3
3.11
0.61
0.63
1.87
2.64
10.5%
2025Q2
91
33.4
3.04
0.67
0.64
1.73
2.80
4.9%
2025Q1
90
32.9
2.59
0.58
0.82
1.19
2.65
1.7%
2024Q4
92
34.2
2.53
0.62
0.67
1.24
2.36
1.8%
2024Q3
92
33.2
2.61
0.60
0.63
1.38
2.62
4.0%
2024Q2
91
30.2
3.31
0.72
0.69
1.90
3.33
6.5%
2024Q1
91
28.7
3.75
0.65
1.01
2.09
3.77
11.9%
2023Q4
92
32.3
4.00
0.83
0.85
2.31
3.97
23.1%
2023Q3
92
33.4
3.93
0.78
0.84
2.32
3.91
26.8%
2023Q2
91
32.8
4.11
0.82
0.76
2.53
4.03
18.4%
2023Q1
90
34.2
3.96
0.77
0.84
2.35
3.87
14.6%
2022Q4
92
31.8
4.47
0.78
1.01
2.68
4.40
10.0%
2022Q3
92
31.6
4.50
0.83
0.93
2.74
4.51
5.1%
2022Q2
91
31.9
4.42
0.89
1.09
2.44
4.25
3.8%
2022Q1
90
32.5
4.49
0.77
1.06
2.66
4.37
10.8%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
6
D × 5F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-09-18
Health · complaint
F0628
Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies.
D
2025-10-31
2025-09-18
Health
F0644
Coordinate assessments with the pre-admission screening and resident review program; and referring for services as needed.
D
2025-10-31
2024-08-13
Health
F0637
Assess the resident when there is a significant change in condition
D
2024-09-27
2024-08-13
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2024-09-27
2024-08-13
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-09-27
2024-08-13
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-09-27
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
40
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
EVENTIDE NEBRASKA SENIOR LIVING LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
BOCK, JODEE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
BRANDT, TERRY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
BYE, ROBERT
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
EVENTIDE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-21
current
pecos_ownership
FISCHBACH, TYLER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
GULBRANSON, PATRICK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
HESSER, JASON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-07
current
pecos_ownership
JOHNSON, VIKKI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
LARSON-CASSELTON, CINDY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
LEE, JUDITH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
LUNAK, BRANDON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
LUNAK, BRANDON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2026-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
OHE, DARIN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-21
current
pecos_ownership
RIEWER, JON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
RYAN, KELSIE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2010-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
RYAN, KELSIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-07
current
pecos_ownership
SCHAFER, ERIC
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
SELJEVOLD, PETER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
SWENSON, KARLA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
current
pecos_ownership
BRANDON LUNAK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CINDY LARSON-CASSELTON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DARIN OHE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-11-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ERIC SCHAFER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JASON HESSER
CONTRACTED MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2013-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JASON HESSER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JODEE BOCK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JON RIEWER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOSEPH HALVORSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JUDITH LEE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KARLA SWENSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KELSIE RYAN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2010-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KELSIE RYAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LUKE HVIDSTON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PATRICK GULBRANSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PETER SELJEVOLD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT BYE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TERRY BRANDT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TYLER FISCHBACH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
VIKKI JOHNSON
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-10-10
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
1
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$85,062
—
—
—
—
1
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
34
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 31151
acs median gross
0
$583
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31151
fmr
0
$666
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 31151
acs median gross
1
$541
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31151
fmr
1
$732
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 31151
acs median gross
2
$909
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31151
fmr
2
$961
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 31151
acs median gross
3
$1,259
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31151
fmr
3
$1,337
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 31151
acs median gross
4
$1,314
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31151
fmr
4
$1,446
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 31151
acs median gross
5
$1,781
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31151
acs median gross
$914
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 31151
acs recent mover gross
$1,159
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 68333
acs median gross
0
$578
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 68333
acs median gross
1
$673
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 68333
acs median gross
2
$942
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 68333
acs median gross
3
$1,296
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 68333
acs median gross
$945
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 68333
acs recent mover gross
$1,184
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 68333
payment standard 110
0
$814
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
payment standard 90
0
$666
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
safmr
0
$740
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
payment standard 110
1
$902
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
payment standard 90
1
$738
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
safmr
1
$820
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
payment standard 110
2
$1,122
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
payment standard 90
2
$918
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
safmr
2
$1,020
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
payment standard 110
3
$1,562
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
payment standard 90
3
$1,278
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
safmr
3
$1,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
payment standard 110
4
$1,672
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
payment standard 90
4
$1,368
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 68333
safmr
4
$1,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.