2020 BEVERLY ROAD NE, GAINESVILLE, GA 30501 · CCN 115487
Composite
8.0 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
142
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 8.0% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
GA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.57
3.02
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.31
0.26
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.49
2.76
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.60
3.09
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
183.8
3.57
0.31
0.89
2.37
3.49
0.0%
2025Q3
92
184.2
3.44
0.34
0.82
2.28
3.35
0.0%
2025Q2
91
183.7
3.61
0.33
0.89
2.40
3.51
0.0%
2025Q1
90
184.3
3.63
0.36
0.88
2.38
3.65
0.0%
2024Q4
92
182.7
3.54
0.34
0.84
2.35
3.56
0.1%
2024Q3
92
181.8
3.54
0.30
0.86
2.38
3.49
0.3%
2024Q2
91
182.7
3.69
0.33
0.93
2.42
3.48
0.9%
2024Q1
91
183.3
3.45
0.34
0.94
2.17
3.24
3.3%
2023Q4
92
185.1
3.35
0.30
0.95
2.10
3.15
4.7%
2023Q3
92
178.5
3.58
0.34
1.05
2.20
3.09
6.7%
2023Q2
91
182.4
3.58
0.24
1.05
2.30
3.03
10.9%
2023Q1
90
186.5
3.51
0.23
1.04
2.23
2.98
7.9%
2022Q4
92
191.4
3.08
0.22
1.00
1.86
2.55
0.0%
2022Q3
92
183.3
2.91
0.12
1.06
1.72
2.63
0.3%
2022Q2
91
190.0
2.94
0.12
1.03
1.78
2.63
0.3%
2022Q1
90
184.3
3.22
0.16
1.06
2.01
2.89
0.1%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
11
D × 9E × 1F × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-12
Health
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2026-04-29
2026-03-12
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2026-04-29
2026-03-12
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
E
2026-04-29
2026-03-12
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2026-04-29
2025-02-13
Health · complaint
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
D
2025-03-30
2025-02-13
Health · complaint
F0625
Notify the resident or the resident’s representative in writing how long the nursing home will hold the resident’s bed in cases of transfer to a hospital or therapeutic leave.
D
2025-03-30
2025-02-13
Health · complaint
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2025-03-30
2025-02-13
Health · complaint
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-03-30
2025-02-13
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-03-30
2022-09-01
Health
F0677
Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable.
D
2022-10-16
2022-09-01
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2022-10-16
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
39
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BLAIR, STEVEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
BLANKENSHIP, LUA
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
BOWEN, ROBERT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
BURRELL, CAROL
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2008-02-04
current
pecos_ownership
DENT, LARRY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
HEARTH, KAYE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
HERDENER, ANTHONY
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2008-02-04
current
pecos_ownership
HORTENSTINE, JAY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
KEENER, JACK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
LEWIS, RONALD
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
MACK, DEBORAH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
NICHOLSON, LINDA
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2008-02-04
current
pecos_ownership
NORTHEAST GEORGIA MEDICAL CENTER, INC.
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2008-02-04
current
pecos_ownership
SCULLY, TIMOTHY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
SMITH, RODNEY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-02-04
current
pecos_ownership
SMOOT, JANE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
STEINES, BRIAN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2017-07-05
current
pecos_ownership
TERRY, JEFFREY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
WALLACE, JACQUELYN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
WAYNE, ALEXANDER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
ALEXANDER WAYNE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN STEINES
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2017-07-05
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
DEBORAH MACK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JACK KEENER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JACQUELYN WALLACE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JANE SMOOT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAY HORTENSTINE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY TERRY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KAYE HEARTH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LARRY DENT
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LUA BLANKENSHIP
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT BOWEN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RONALD LEWIS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
STEVEN BLAIR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TIMOTHY SCULLY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
100%
2014-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ANTHONY HERDENER
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-02-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CAROL BURRELL
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2008-02-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LINDA NICHOLSON
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2008-02-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
RODNEY SMITH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-02-04
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 13139
acs median gross
0
$936
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13139
fmr
0
$1,177
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13139
acs median gross
1
$1,136
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13139
fmr
1
$1,381
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13139
acs median gross
2
$1,306
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13139
fmr
2
$1,514
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13139
acs median gross
3
$1,440
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13139
fmr
3
$1,834
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13139
acs median gross
4
$1,751
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13139
fmr
4
$2,127
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13139
acs median gross
5
$1,480
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13139
acs median gross
$1,341
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13139
acs recent mover gross
$1,613
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30501
acs median gross
0
$840
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30501
acs median gross
1
$1,031
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30501
acs median gross
2
$1,266
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30501
acs median gross
3
$1,447
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30501
acs median gross
4
$1,733
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30501
acs median gross
$1,214
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30501
acs recent mover gross
$1,514
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 30501
payment standard 110
0
$1,320
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
payment standard 90
0
$1,080
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
safmr
0
$1,200
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
payment standard 110
1
$1,540
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
payment standard 90
1
$1,260
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
safmr
1
$1,400
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
payment standard 110
2
$1,694
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
payment standard 90
2
$1,386
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
safmr
2
$1,540
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
payment standard 110
3
$2,057
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
payment standard 90
3
$1,683
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
safmr
3
$1,870
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
payment standard 110
4
$2,376
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
payment standard 90
4
$1,944
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30501
safmr
4
$2,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.