Reads as: riskier than 12.4% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
1
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
4 chains
LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
58 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
15
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
GA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.40
3.02
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
1.16
0.26
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.54
2.76
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.74
3.09
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
63.0
4.40
1.16
0.77
2.47
3.54
0.0%
2025Q3
92
62.2
4.16
0.78
0.76
2.61
3.77
0.0%
2025Q2
91
60.7
4.27
1.04
0.70
2.53
3.82
0.0%
2025Q1
90
60.1
4.15
0.86
0.71
2.57
3.83
3.4%
2024Q4
92
59.9
4.43
0.91
0.87
2.67
3.97
12.1%
2024Q3
92
62.8
4.17
0.66
0.91
2.60
3.76
0.0%
2024Q1
91
59.7
4.43
0.65
1.03
2.76
4.08
0.3%
2023Q4
92
59.4
4.09
0.45
0.86
2.78
3.92
18.9%
2023Q3
92
61.8
3.86
0.61
0.74
2.51
3.87
21.3%
2023Q2
91
56.8
3.93
0.47
0.86
2.60
3.92
21.1%
2023Q1
90
56.4
4.25
0.60
0.78
2.87
4.20
16.0%
2022Q4
92
55.5
4.32
0.60
0.79
2.93
4.18
14.3%
2022Q3
92
57.5
4.28
0.63
0.72
2.93
4.27
30.2%
2022Q2
91
52.1
4.71
0.56
0.93
3.21
4.31
35.6%
2022Q1
90
49.4
4.54
0.41
0.98
3.15
4.25
40.8%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
15
D × 12E × 1G × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2025-02-20
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-04-06
2025-02-20
Health
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
D
2025-04-06
2025-02-20
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
D
2025-04-06
2025-02-20
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2025-04-06
2025-02-20
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-04-06
2023-11-16
Health · complaint
F0755
Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist.
D
2023-12-15
2023-09-17
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2023-11-01
2023-09-17
Health · complaint
F0554
Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate.
E
2023-11-01
2023-09-17
Health · complaint
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-11-01
2023-09-17
Health · complaint
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2023-11-01
2023-09-17
Health · complaint
F0698
Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services.
D
2023-11-01
2023-09-17
Health · complaint
F0758
Implement gradual dose reductions(GDR) and non-pharmacological interventions, unless contraindicated, prior to initiating or instead of continuing psychotropic medication; and PRN orders for psychotropic medications are only used when the medication is necessary and PRN use is limited.
D
2023-11-01
2023-09-17
Health · complaint
F0773
Provide or obtain laboratory tests/services when ordered and promptly tell the ordering practitioner of the results.
D
2023-11-01
2022-01-27
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
G
2022-02-18
2022-01-27
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2022-02-18
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
34
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
BANK OF AMERICA CORP
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
BIRD, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
LAHEY, DANIEL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LCS BRANDON WILDE HOLDCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
LCS BRANDON WILDE JV LLC
DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
LCS HOLDING COMPANY LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
LCS MANAGEMENT HOLDING COMPANY, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LEGENDARY, ZECHARIAH
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
LEGENDARY, ZECHARIAH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-28
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE COMPANIES LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE SERVICES COMMUNITIES, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-18
current
pecos_ownership
LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2018-08-17
current
pecos_ownership
MCCARTHY GROUP LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
MCCARTHY PARTNERS, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
MERRILL, FREDERICK
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
MPM SENIOR LIVING INVESTORS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
OAK INVESTMENT TRUST
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
OAK INVESTMENT TRUST II
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
PULLIAM, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-19
current
pecos_ownership
RCI LEGACY HOLDINGS LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
REDWOOD HOLDINGS, LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
SHAW, GELYNNA
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
UHLEMANN, BRIDGETTE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
VICTOR, JASON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2023-12-20
current
pecos_ownership
DANIEL LAHEY
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GELYNNA SHAW
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JASON VICTOR
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2023-12-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIDGETTE UHLEMANN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FREDERICK MERRILL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN BIRD
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-12-20
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN PULLIAM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-05-19
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZECHARIAH LEGENDARY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZECHARIAH LEGENDARY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-01-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 13073
acs median gross
0
$1,198
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13073
fmr
0
$939
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13073
acs median gross
1
$1,099
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13073
fmr
1
$1,114
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13073
acs median gross
2
$1,285
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13073
fmr
2
$1,261
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13073
acs median gross
3
$1,527
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13073
fmr
3
$1,627
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13073
acs median gross
4
$2,152
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13073
fmr
4
$1,984
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 13073
acs median gross
5
$2,448
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13073
acs median gross
$1,409
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 13073
acs recent mover gross
$1,727
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30809
acs median gross
0
$1,136
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30809
acs median gross
1
$1,208
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30809
acs median gross
2
$1,422
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30809
acs median gross
3
$1,820
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30809
acs median gross
4
$2,211
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30809
acs median gross
5
$2,625
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30809
acs median gross
$1,714
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 30809
acs recent mover gross
$2,482
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 30809
payment standard 110
0
$1,551
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
payment standard 90
0
$1,269
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
safmr
0
$1,410
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
payment standard 110
1
$1,837
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
payment standard 90
1
$1,503
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
safmr
1
$1,670
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
payment standard 110
2
$2,079
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
payment standard 90
2
$1,701
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
safmr
2
$1,890
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
payment standard 110
3
$2,684
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
payment standard 90
3
$2,196
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
safmr
3
$2,440
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
payment standard 110
4
$3,267
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
payment standard 90
4
$2,673
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 30809
safmr
4
$2,970
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.