Reads as: riskier than 5.8% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
15
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
AL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
4.07
3.37
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.46
0.43
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.95
3.04
3.11
—
Weekday total
4.12
3.50
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
45.3
4.07
0.46
0.66
2.96
3.95
0.0%
2025Q3
92
46.4
3.97
0.64
0.61
2.71
3.61
0.0%
2025Q2
91
44.5
4.15
0.58
0.85
2.72
3.87
0.0%
2025Q1
90
43.2
4.26
0.60
0.89
2.77
3.72
0.0%
2024Q4
92
44.5
4.46
0.78
0.91
2.78
3.73
0.0%
2024Q3
92
45.7
4.24
0.75
0.75
2.74
3.64
0.0%
2024Q2
91
44.4
4.34
0.78
0.70
2.85
4.00
0.0%
2024Q1
91
45.1
3.88
0.72
0.59
2.57
3.58
0.0%
2023Q4
92
41.1
3.92
0.55
0.73
2.63
3.64
0.0%
2023Q3
92
40.5
4.12
0.78
0.47
2.87
3.94
0.0%
2023Q1
90
35.8
4.27
0.57
0.62
3.08
4.15
0.0%
2022Q4
92
36.6
3.66
0.46
0.65
2.55
3.58
0.0%
2022Q3
92
36.1
3.45
0.37
0.74
2.34
3.37
1.9%
2022Q2
91
34.6
3.75
0.49
0.84
2.42
3.87
11.0%
2022Q1
90
34.6
3.67
0.47
0.71
2.49
3.68
5.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
6
D × 3F × 3
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2019-06-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2019-07-11
2019-06-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2019-07-11
2018-05-03
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2018-06-04
2018-05-03
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2018-06-04
2018-05-03
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2018-06-04
2018-05-03
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2018-06-04
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
13
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ANDERSON, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
BENTLEY, PHILIP
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
CARRIER, JOHN
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2021-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
CARTER, CLINTON
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
MATTHEWS JR, ROBERT
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
SAMZ, JEFFREY
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
THE HEALTH CARE AUTHORITY OF THE CITY OF HUNTSVILLE
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2021-10-01
current
pecos_ownership
CLINTON CARTER
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JEFFREY SAMZ
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2021-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN ANDERSON
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2021-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN CARRIER
W-2 MANAGING EMPLOYEE
—
2021-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PHILIP BENTLEY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBERT MATTHEWS JR
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2020-10-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
0
No related-party cost years on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
32
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 01071
fmr
0
$576
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01071
acs median gross
1
$524
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01071
fmr
1
$643
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01071
acs median gross
2
$720
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01071
fmr
2
$776
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01071
acs median gross
3
$940
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01071
fmr
3
$1,004
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01071
acs median gross
4
$1,097
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01071
fmr
4
$1,234
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01071
acs median gross
$780
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01071
acs recent mover gross
$869
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35768
acs median gross
1
$588
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35768
acs median gross
2
$827
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35768
acs median gross
3
$955
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35768
acs median gross
4
$1,250
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35768
acs median gross
$850
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35768
acs recent mover gross
$943
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 35768
payment standard 110
0
$638
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
payment standard 90
0
$522
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
safmr
0
$580
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
payment standard 110
1
$715
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
payment standard 90
1
$585
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
safmr
1
$650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
payment standard 110
2
$858
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
payment standard 90
2
$702
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
safmr
2
$780
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
payment standard 110
3
$1,111
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
payment standard 90
3
$909
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
safmr
3
$1,010
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
payment standard 110
4
$1,364
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
payment standard 90
4
$1,116
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35768
safmr
4
$1,240
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.