2326 MORGAN AVENUE SOUTHWEST, DECATUR, AL 35603 · CCN 015206 · chain M MELB OPCO LLC
Composite
97.6 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
119
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 97.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
ML signals — parallel engine
2
Kind
Finding
Signal
Subject
First seen
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
12 chains
CAPITAL FINANCE LLC
33 facilities
connection
Owner spans multiple chains
8 chains
CAPITAL FUNDING LLC
22 facilities
Findings from the always-on scanning layer: anomalies on this facility, connections through its current owners and past buyers. Runs beside the deterministic composite, never inside it. Full board on the ML Lab page.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
AL median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
2.87
3.37
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.20
0.43
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
2.67
3.04
3.11
—
Weekday total
2.95
3.50
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
112.4
2.87
0.20
0.66
2.02
2.67
0.0%
2025Q3
92
112.9
2.89
0.21
0.70
1.98
2.44
0.2%
2025Q2
91
109.3
3.17
0.28
0.73
2.16
2.67
1.1%
2025Q1
90
105.0
3.28
0.36
0.77
2.14
2.79
2.0%
2024Q4
92
102.5
3.29
0.40
0.69
2.20
2.97
6.9%
2024Q3
92
100.8
3.00
0.19
0.62
2.19
2.70
3.6%
2024Q2
91
94.6
2.68
0.14
0.70
1.85
2.55
0.0%
2024Q1
91
84.4
2.99
0.15
0.96
1.88
2.71
0.0%
2023Q4
92
79.3
3.66
0.16
1.20
2.29
3.11
18.9%
2023Q3
92
72.1
3.37
0.11
0.92
2.34
3.00
19.0%
2023Q2
91
59.9
3.68
0.03
0.75
2.90
3.10
15.0%
2023Q1
90
56.4
3.48
0.06
0.68
2.75
2.94
0.0%
2022Q4
92
53.6
3.49
0.09
0.65
2.75
3.05
0.0%
2022Q3
92
59.4
3.19
0.15
0.53
2.51
2.78
0.0%
2022Q2
91
61.8
3.18
0.18
0.55
2.45
2.87
0.0%
2022Q1
90
60.8
2.87
0.36
0.43
2.08
2.57
0.0%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
J
2025-03-04
2025-02-03
Health · complaint
F0600
Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody.
D
2024-08-26
2025-02-03
Health · complaint
F0635
Provide doctor's orders for the resident's immediate care at the time the resident was admitted.
D
2025-03-04
2025-02-03
Health · complaint
F0640
Encode each resident’s assessment data and transmit these data to the State within 7 days of assessment.
D
2025-03-04
2025-02-03
Health · complaint
F0658
Ensure services provided by the nursing facility meet professional standards of quality.
J
2025-03-04
2025-02-03
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
J
2025-03-04
2025-02-03
Health · complaint
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2025-03-04
2025-02-03
Health · complaint
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
F
2025-03-04
2025-02-03
Health · complaint
F0842
Safeguard resident-identifiable information and/or maintain medical records on each resident that are in accordance with accepted professional standards.
D
2025-03-04
2025-02-03
Health · complaint
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2025-03-04
2025-02-03
Health · complaint
F0908
Keep all essential equipment working safely.
F
2025-03-04
2024-05-17
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
J
2023-09-18
2021-05-15
Health
F0580
Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident.
D
2021-06-16
2021-05-15
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2021-06-16
2021-05-15
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2021-06-16
2021-05-15
Health
F0695
Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed.
D
2021-06-16
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
40
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ALABAMA OPCO MANAGER LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
CAPITAL FINANCE LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-24
current
pecos_ownership
CAPITAL FINANCE LLC
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2023-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
CAPITAL FUNDING LLC
5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST
—
2023-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
CAPITAL FUNDING LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-04
current
pecos_ownership
CH ALABAMA HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
GOODMAN, MENUCHA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
GWIN, SUZANNA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
M MELB OPCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
MADISON, ADAM
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-08-31
current
pecos_ownership
MELB OPCO MANAGER LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
RATLEY, AIDA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
S MELB OPCO LLC
INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
SHIRLEY, HEIDI
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-01
current
pecos_ownership
STRAUSS, SUSAN
INDIVIDUAL IS AN OWNER, PARTNER OR TRUSTEE OF ANY ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-25
current
pecos_ownership
VENZA CARE ADMIN SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-04
current
pecos_ownership
VENZA CARE ADMIN SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-08-31
current
pecos_ownership
VENZA CARE CLINICAL CONSULTING LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
VENZA CARE CLINICAL CONSULTING LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2026-02-04
current
pecos_ownership
VERTEX FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
VERTEX FINANCIAL SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-12-25
current
pecos_ownership
WAGNER, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-24
current
pecos_ownership
AGE-DECATUR (LESSOR)
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2020-07-01
ended 2021-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
AGE-DECATUR (LESSOR)
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-07-01
ended 2023-03-23
hcris_a_8_1
AGE-DECATUR (LESSOR)
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-07-01
ended 2022-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
ALABAMA SNF OPERATIONS HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2023-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
USA HEALTHCARE INC. (SUB-LESSOR)
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-07-01
ended 2022-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
USA HEALTHCARE INC. (SUB-LESSOR)
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2020-07-01
ended 2021-06-30
hcris_a_8_1
USA HEALTHCARE INC. (SUB-LESSOR)
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2022-07-01
ended 2023-03-23
hcris_a_8_1
YISROEL HERZKA
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
49%
2023-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MS ALABAMA HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
23%
2023-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SS ALABAMA HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
23%
2023-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ADAM MADISON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-08-31
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AIDA RATLEY
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2025-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HEIDI SHIRLEY
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-02-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN WAGNER
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-03-24
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
M MELB OPCO TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MENUCHA GOODMAN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
S MELB OPCO TRUST
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2025-12-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SUZANNA GWIN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$641,850
—
$641,850
—
—
1
—
2023-12-31
$402,303
—
$3,805
—
—
1
—
2023-03-23
$1,211,763
$60,172
$40,256
$367,251
$19,388
10
propco
2022-06-30
$2,777,682
$779,628
$57,129
$724,428
$56,017
10
propco
2021-06-30
$2,748,794
$765,244
$66,676
$736,126
$47,821
10
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 01103
acs median gross
0
$1,403
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01103
fmr
0
$755
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01103
acs median gross
1
$709
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01103
fmr
1
$776
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01103
acs median gross
2
$843
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01103
fmr
2
$961
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01103
acs median gross
3
$1,052
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01103
fmr
3
$1,262
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01103
acs median gross
4
$1,259
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01103
fmr
4
$1,550
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 01103
acs median gross
5
$1,634
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01103
acs median gross
$864
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 01103
acs recent mover gross
$962
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35603
acs median gross
0
$1,313
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35603
acs median gross
1
$671
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35603
acs median gross
2
$1,004
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35603
acs median gross
3
$1,117
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35603
acs median gross
4
$1,151
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35603
acs median gross
$910
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 35603
acs recent mover gross
$1,096
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 35603
payment standard 110
0
$869
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
payment standard 90
0
$711
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
safmr
0
$790
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
payment standard 110
1
$891
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
payment standard 90
1
$729
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
safmr
1
$810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
payment standard 110
2
$1,100
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
payment standard 90
2
$900
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
safmr
2
$1,000
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
payment standard 110
3
$1,441
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
payment standard 90
3
$1,179
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
safmr
3
$1,310
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
payment standard 110
4
$1,771
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
payment standard 90
4
$1,449
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 35603
safmr
4
$1,610
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.