903 Borgognoni Drive, Lake Village, AR 71653 · CCN 045184 · chain JEJ ASSETS LP
Composite
71.5 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
82
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 71.5% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
AR median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.37
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.24
0.15
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.25
3.09
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.41
3.46
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
57.7
3.37
0.24
0.72
2.41
3.25
0.0%
2025Q3
92
59.2
3.63
0.29
0.71
2.63
3.47
0.0%
2025Q2
91
64.0
3.30
0.23
0.65
2.43
3.21
0.0%
2025Q1
90
62.9
3.26
0.25
0.62
2.40
3.05
0.0%
2024Q4
92
60.9
3.25
0.26
0.60
2.38
3.02
0.0%
2024Q3
92
53.5
3.23
0.33
0.60
2.30
3.02
0.0%
2024Q2
91
50.4
3.15
0.33
0.60
2.22
2.96
0.0%
2024Q1
91
46.7
3.21
0.31
0.66
2.24
3.13
0.0%
2023Q4
92
46.0
3.31
0.17
0.82
2.32
3.10
0.0%
2023Q3
92
46.9
3.80
0.27
0.88
2.65
3.64
0.0%
2023Q2
91
49.2
3.66
0.32
0.73
2.61
3.33
0.0%
2023Q1
90
47.9
3.74
0.30
0.78
2.66
3.23
0.0%
2022Q4
92
48.9
3.44
0.44
0.66
2.34
3.05
0.0%
2022Q3
92
49.1
3.24
0.26
0.79
2.19
3.06
8.2%
2022Q2
91
52.5
3.67
0.19
0.90
2.58
3.51
41.0%
2022Q1
90
50.0
2.94
0.31
0.59
2.04
2.77
8.2%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
13
D × 8E × 2F × 2G × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-06
Health · complaint
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
G
2025-06-08
2026-03-06
Health
F0711
Ensure the resident's doctor reviews the resident's care, writes, signs and dates progress notes and orders, at each required visit.
D
2026-04-05
2026-03-06
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
E
2026-04-05
2026-03-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2026-04-05
2024-09-06
Health
F0569
Notify each resident of certain balances and convey resident funds upon discharge, eviction, or death.
D
2024-10-04
2024-09-06
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
D
2024-10-04
2024-09-06
Health
F0657
Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals.
D
2024-10-04
2024-09-06
Health
F0690
Provide appropriate care for residents who are continent or incontinent of bowel/bladder, appropriate catheter care, and appropriate care to prevent urinary tract infections.
D
2024-10-04
2024-09-06
Health
F0759
Ensure medication error rates are not 5 percent or greater.
E
2024-10-04
2024-09-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-10-04
2024-09-06
Health
F0880
Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program.
D
2024-10-04
2023-10-06
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-10-31
2023-10-06
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-10-31
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
41
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
4P2T1 OPS HOLDING LP
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2024-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
LV SNF ASSETS
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
TEAM STAFFING
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
4P2T1 ASSET HOLDING, LP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-06
current
pecos_ownership
4P2T1 OPS HOLDING LP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-06
current
pecos_ownership
ALEXARK1 LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-06
current
pecos_ownership
ARKGPA LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-06
current
pecos_ownership
JEJ ASSETS LP
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
JEJ ASSETS LP
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-16
current
pecos_ownership
JEJ MANAGEMENT, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-06
current
pecos_ownership
LV SNF ASSETS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-16
current
pecos_ownership
MARK KELLY THMPSON 2020 CHIKDREN'S TRUST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-17
current
pecos_ownership
MARK THOMPSON FAMILY MANAGEMENT LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-17
current
pecos_ownership
MARK THOMPSON FAMILY MANAGEMENT LTD
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-06
current
pecos_ownership
PONTHIE INVESTMENTS LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
PONTHIE MANAGEMENT LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-17
current
pecos_ownership
PONTHIE, GRACE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-14
current
pecos_ownership
PONTHIE, JOHN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
PONTHIE, ROSS
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-14
current
pecos_ownership
PONTHIE, SHARLOT
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2024-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
PROCARE THERAPY SERVICES LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-16
current
pecos_ownership
RUSSELL, JOHN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-06
current
pecos_ownership
RUSSELL, JOHN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-15
current
pecos_ownership
SOUTHERN ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-15
current
pecos_ownership
TAMMY ANN THOMPSON 2021 CHILDREN'S TRUST
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-17
current
pecos_ownership
TEAMS STAFFING LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-16
current
pecos_ownership
THOMPSON, MARK
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-14
current
pecos_ownership
THOMPSON, TAMMY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-06
current
pecos_ownership
WALLACE, AMANDA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-08-01
current
pecos_ownership
COLUMBIA ASSETS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2021-01-01
ended 2021-06-29
hcris_a_8_1
COLUMBIA ASSETS
Individual has financial interest in both related organization and provider
100%
2020-07-01
ended 2020-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
JOHN PONTHIE
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2024-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SHARLOT PONTHIE
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
50%
2024-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
AMANDA WALLACE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GRACE PONTHIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN RUSSELL
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JOHN RUSSELL
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-12-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MARK THOMPSON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROSS PONTHIE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-01-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SOUTHERN ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES, LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-08-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TAMMY THOMPSON
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2024-12-06
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
3
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$1,512,360
$3,918
—
$76,142
$1,073,065
9
propco
2021-06-29
$1,251,457
—
—
$100,045
$1,038,515
8
propco
2020-12-31
$1,404,070
—
—
$113,195
$1,158,956
8
propco
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
31
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 05017
acs median gross
0
$260
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05017
fmr
0
$630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 05017
acs median gross
1
$456
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05017
fmr
1
$671
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 05017
acs median gross
2
$429
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05017
fmr
2
$880
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 05017
acs median gross
3
$782
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05017
fmr
3
$1,150
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 05017
acs median gross
4
$1,356
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 05017
fmr
4
$1,282
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 05017
acs median gross
$574
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71653
acs median gross
0
$336
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71653
acs median gross
1
$468
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71653
acs median gross
2
$761
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71653
acs median gross
3
$1,079
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 71653
acs median gross
$900
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 71653
payment standard 110
0
$858
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
payment standard 90
0
$702
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
safmr
0
$780
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
payment standard 110
1
$913
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
payment standard 90
1
$747
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
safmr
1
$830
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
payment standard 110
2
$1,199
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
payment standard 90
2
$981
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
safmr
2
$1,090
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
payment standard 110
3
$1,562
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
payment standard 90
3
$1,278
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
safmr
3
$1,420
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
payment standard 110
4
$1,782
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
payment standard 90
4
$1,458
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 71653
safmr
4
$1,620
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.