Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

4,901–4,950

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
4901	Las Alturas Nursing & Transitional Care Brownsvill	0.3%	67.6	C	TX	Brownsville	0	TOUCHSTONE COMMUNITIES, INC
4902	Catholic Eldercare On Main	0.3%	67.6	A	MN	MINNEAPOLIS	164	—
4903	ALLIANCE CARE REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	0.3%	67.6	F	NJ	IRVINGTON	212	—
4904	CARE CENTER OF LAUREL	0.3%	67.6	A	MS	LAUREL	120	—
4905	FRANKLIN MEADOWS	0.3%	67.6	C	IN	FRANKLIN	114	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
4906	ADVANCED SUBACUTE REHABILITATION CENTER AT SEWELL	0.3%	67.6	D	NJ	SEWELL	139	—
4907	West Ridge Care Center	0.3%	67.6	A	IA	Cedar Rapids	60	—
4908	ATRIUM CENTER FOR REHABILITATION AND NURSING	0.3%	67.6	B	NY	BROOKLYN	380	—
4909	REGENCY HEALTHCARE & REHAB CENTER	0.3%	67.6	B	DE	WILMINGTON	100	—
4910	THE GUARDIAN CENTER	0.3%	67.6	B	MA	BROCKTON	123	—
4911	HILLSIDE MANOR	0.3%	67.6	B	WI	BEAVER DAM	115	SANFORD
4912	Lake Barkley Health & Rehabilitation	0.3%	67.6	B	KY	Kuttawa	65	JML 1836 HOLDINGS LLC
4913	TOWNSEND PARK HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.3%	67.6	A	GA	CARTERSVILLE	124	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
4914	ANSLEY PARK HEALTH AND REHABILITATION	0.3%	67.6	B	GA	NEWNAN	66	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
4915	Fair Haven of Forest City, LLC	0.3%	67.6	A	NC	Forest City	100	—
4916	HAVEN CONVALESCENT HOME, INC	0.3%	67.6	A	PA	NEW CASTLE	91	—
4917	MAYFAIR CARE CENTER	0.3%	67.6	C	NY	HEMPSTEAD	200	—
4918	THE BLOSSOMS AT EUREKA SPRINGS REHAB & NURSING CEN	0.3%	67.6	D	AR	EUREKA SPRINGS	100	ZCS AR OPCO LLC
4919	CUSTER CARE AND REHAB CENTER	0.3%	67.6	—	SD	CUSTER	43	—
4920	RENAISSANCE CARE CENTER	0.3%	67.6	B	IL	CANTON	120	—
4921	ROLLA PRESBYTERIAN MANOR	0.3%	67.6	A	MO	ROLLA	30	PRESBYTERIAN MANORS OF MID AMERICA INC
4922	SAN SIMEON BY THE SOUND CENTER FOR NURSING & REHAB	0.3%	67.6	D	NY	GREENPORT	120	—
4923	MAGNOLIA RIDGE	0.3%	67.6	B	AL	GARDENDALE	148	HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
4924	Martha Franks Baptist Retirement Center	0.3%	67.6	B	SC	Laurens	88	SCBMA
4925	ELITE NURSING AND REHABILITATION CARE CENTER	0.3%	67.6	C	AL	BIRMINGHAM	143	—
4926	Hampton Nursing and Rehabilitation	0.3%	67.6	B	MI	Bay City	51	—
4927	BRENT B TINNIN MANOR	0.3%	67.6	A	MO	ELLINGTON	60	SOVEREIGN HEALTHCARE GROUP LLC
4928	ASPIRE SENIOR LIVING MALDEN	0.3%	67.6	C	MO	MALDEN	58	CHP SNFCO LLC
4929	TROY VICTORIAN REHABILITATION & NURSING CARE CNTR	0.3%	67.6	C	NY	TROY	120	—
4930	Rosewood Rehabilitation and Nursing Center	0.3%	67.6	A	PA	SCHUYLKILL HAVEN	142	—
4931	HOPE HEALTH AND REHAB	0.3%	67.6	A	WI	LOMIRA	38	—
4932	EAST LAKE NURSING & REHABILITATION CENTER	0.3%	67.6	B	IN	ELKHART	152	AMERICAN SENIOR COMMUNITIES LLC
4933	CORPUS CHRISTI NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.3%	67.6	B	TX	CORPUS CHRISTI	0	REGENCY INTEGRATED HEALTH SERVICES LLC
4934	RIVERVIEW AT THE PARK CARE AND REHABILITATION CENT	0.3%	67.6	A	MO	SAINTE GENEVIEVE	120	—
4935	Meadow Green Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.3%	67.6	B	MA	WALTHAM	123	A FRANCHI CONTRACTORS INC
4936	BERKELEY PINES SKILLED NURSING CENTER	0.3%	67.6	A	CA	BERKELEY	36	—
4937	COLLEGE PARK REHABILITATION AND CARE CENTER	0.3%	67.6	C	TX	WEATHERFORD	0	PARKER COUNTY HOSPITAL DISTRICT
4938	AVIATA AT SPRING HILL	0.3%	67.6	B	FL	BROOKSVILLE	120	—
4939	Elderberry Health Care	0.3%	67.6	B	NC	Marshall	80	—
4940	The Preston Health Center	0.3%	67.6	A	SC	Hilton Head Island	62	LIFE CARE SERVICES LLC
4941	PARK AVENUE EXTENDED CARE FACILITY	0.3%	67.6	C	NY	LONG BEACH	240	—
4942	J G ALEXANDER NURSING CENTER	0.3%	67.6	B	MS	UNION	60	—
4943	Ashton Memorial Living Center	0.3%	67.6	B	ID	Ashton	38	—
4944	WAYSIDE FARM INC	0.3%	67.6	B	OH	PENINSULA	95	—
4945	BALDOMERO LOPEZ MEMORIAL VETERANS NURSING HOME	0.3%	67.6	A	FL	LAND O LAKES	120	FLORIDA DEPARTMENT OF VETERANS AFFAIRS
4946	Overlook Nursing and Rehabilitation Center	0.3%	67.6	C	RI	Pascoag	100	—
4947	MONARCH SPRINGS WELLNESS & REHABILITATION	0.3%	67.6	D	MO	UNIVERSITY CITY	119	FIRST SWEETZER HOLDINGS LLC
4948	NEW BETHANY SKILLED NURSING	0.3%	67.6	B	CA	LOS BANOS	35	—
4949	LAVACA BAY NURSING AND REHABILITATION CENTER	0.3%	67.6	C	TX	PORT LAVACA	0	REGENCY INTEGRATED HEALTH SERVICES LLC
4950	Highland Pines Rehabilitation Center	0.3%	67.6	F	FL	CLEARWATER	115	CONSULTING SUPPORT SERVICES LLC

Showing 4,901–4,950 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.