Ownership-change pipeline

Distress Radar

p(Medicare termination, next 12 months) · SNF only · holdout AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x

Ownership change Termination risk

Universe

15,359

active SNFs, scored

Model

v0.1

p_adverse_action_12m · deterministic logistic, public records only

Top decile captures

95.4%

of actual next-12m terminations on holdout

Base rate

0.6%

observed 12m termination rate, training panels

Ranked by termination probability

1,101–1,150

#	Facility	p(exit 12m)	Percentile	Grade	State	City	Beds	Chain
1101	CHICKASHA NURSING CENTER, INC	2.5%	92.8	B	OK	CHICKASHA	60	—
1102	KIOWA HOSPITAL DISTRICT MANOR	2.5%	92.8	A	KS	KIOWA	29	—
1103	BAYWOOD COURT HEALTH CENTER	2.5%	92.8	A	CA	CASTRO VALLEY	56	—
1104	KENDAL ON HUDSON	2.5%	92.8	A	NY	SLEEPY HOLLOW	26	—
1105	Laurel Creek Health Center	2.5%	92.8	B	CA	Fairfield	60	—
1106	Cornerstone Villa	2.5%	92.8	A	MN	BUHL	43	—
1107	PHOEBE ALLENTOWN HEALTH CARE CENTER	2.5%	92.8	C	PA	ALLENTOWN	343	PHYSICIAN AND TACTICAL HEALTHCARE SERVICES LLC
1108	SOUTHWESTERN VETERANS CENTER	2.5%	92.8	B	PA	PITTSBURGH	236	—
1109	FRASIER MEADOWS HEALTH CARE CENTER	2.5%	92.8	A	CO	BOULDER	54	—
1110	WESTERN RESERVE MASONIC COMM	2.5%	92.8	B	OH	MEDINA	50	—
1111	Good Samaritan Society - Hastings Village	2.5%	92.8	F	NE	Hastings	108	SANFORD
1112	UNITED METHODIST COMMUNITIES AT COLLINGSWOOD	2.5%	92.8	A	NJ	COLLINGSWOOD	60	—
1113	Grandvue Medical Care Facility	2.5%	92.8	A	MI	East Jordan	113	—
1114	CORN HERITAGE VILLAGE AND REHAB OF WEATHERFORD	2.5%	92.7	B	OK	WEATHERFORD	81	TWOMAGNETS LLC
1115	Odd Fellows Home of Massachusetts	2.5%	92.7	A	MA	WORCESTER	100	—
1116	EAGLE HEALTH & REHABILITATION	2.5%	92.7	C	GA	STATESBORO	99	COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS INC
1117	WEST VIEW HEALTHY LIVING	2.5%	92.7	A	OH	WOOSTER	93	—
1118	EVERGREEN NURSING & REHAB CENTER	2.5%	92.7	F	IL	EFFINGHAM	120	—
1119	FORT HUDSON NURSING CENTER INC	2.4%	92.7	A	NY	FORT EDWARD	196	—
1120	MASON CITY AREA NURSING HOME	2.4%	92.7	D	IL	MASON CITY	97	HERITAGE OPERATIONS GROUP LLC
1121	WOODS HEALTH SERVICES	2.4%	92.7	A	CA	LA VERNE	74	—
1122	VIEWCREST HEALTH CENTER	2.4%	92.7	C	MN	DULUTH	88	—
1123	North Star Manor	2.4%	92.7	A	MN	WARREN	45	—
1124	Tuff Memorial Home	2.4%	92.7	B	MN	HILLS	48	—
1125	PARKVUE HEALTH CARE CENTER	2.4%	92.7	B	OH	SANDUSKY	84	—
1126	THE CENTER FOR NURSING AND REHAB AT HOOSICK FALLS	2.4%	92.7	C	NY	HOOSICK FALLS	82	—
1127	CEDAR CREST HEALTH CENTER	2.4%	92.7	A	WI	JANESVILLE	71	—
1128	JAMAICA HOSPITAL NURSING HOME CO INC	2.4%	92.7	A	NY	JAMAICA	226	—
1129	BEATITUDES CAMPUS	2.4%	92.7	B	AZ	PHOENIX	72	—
1130	HIGHLAND OAKS	2.4%	92.7	A	IL	ELGIN	24	—
1131	MUSCOGEE MANOR & REHABILITATION CTR	2.4%	92.6	A	GA	COLUMBUS	196	—
1132	WILLOWBROOKE COURT AT AZALEA TRACE	2.4%	92.6	A	FL	PENSACOLA	24	ACTS MANAGEMENT SERVICES INC
1133	OHIO LIVING ROCKYNOL	2.4%	92.6	C	OH	AKRON	36	—
1134	CHARLES T SITRIN HEALTH CARE CENTER INC	2.4%	92.6	B	NY	NEW HARTFORD	188	—
1135	Dunklau Gardens	2.4%	92.6	B	NE	Fremont	106	NEBRASKA METHODIST HEALTH SYSTEM INC
1136	Kingwood Rehabilitation and Healthcare Center	2.4%	92.6	C	TX	Kingwood	0	UVALDE COUNTY HOSPITAL AUTHORITY
1137	MENNONITE MEMORIAL HOME	2.4%	92.6	B	OH	BLUFFTON	60	BRETHREN RETIREMENT COMMUNITY
1138	SGMC HEALTH VILLA	2.4%	92.6	A	GA	LAKELAND	62	—
1139	Hegg Memorial Health Center	2.4%	92.6	A	IA	Rock Valley	60	—
1140	THE HILLTOP ON MAIN	2.4%	92.5	F	TX	MERIDIAN	0	—
1141	Atherton Baptist Home	2.4%	92.5	A	CA	ALHAMBRA	113	—
1142	CLARKSON HEALTH CARE	2.4%	92.5	B	SD	RAPID CITY	49	—
1143	HILL TOP HOME OF COMFORT INC	2.4%	92.5	A	ND	KILLDEER	60	—
1144	Uintah Health Care Special Service District	2.4%	92.5	B	UT	Vernal	110	—
1145	WESLEY ENHANCED LIVING MAIN LINE REHAB AND SKD NSG	2.4%	92.5	B	PA	MEDIA	60	—
1146	EDWARD J HEALEY REHABILITATION AND NURSING CENTER	2.4%	92.5	A	FL	RIVIERA BEACH	120	—
1147	HEALTH CARE CENTER LUCY CORR	2.4%	92.5	A	VA	CHESTERFIELD	216	—
1148	OHIO VETERANS HOME	2.4%	92.5	A	OH	SANDUSKY	427	STATE OF OHIO OFFICE OF BUDGET AND MANAGEMENT STATE ACCOUNTING
1149	HEBREW HOME OF GREATER WASHINGTON	2.4%	92.5	B	MD	ROCKVILLE	558	—
1150	The Highlands	2.4%	92.5	C	IA	Decorah	86	CONTINUUM HEALTH CARE SERVICES LLC

Showing 1,101–1,150 of 15,359 scored SNFs← Prev Next →

Movers — largest changes between published composite scores

Facility	State	Setting	Previous	Current	Δ	As of
Crouse Community Center Inc	NY	adult day	0.0	98.5	+98.5	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	98.3	5.4	-92.9	2026-07-28
HOMEWELL CARE SERVICES	FL	home health	98.3	6.3	-92.0	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	97.2	6.3	-90.9	2026-07-28
HOME HEART FLORIDA	FL	home health	97.7	7.4	-90.3	2026-07-28
VITALCARING GROUP	FL	home health	98.1	10.4	-87.7	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	90.6	3.0	-87.6	2026-07-28
RIGHT AT HOME	FL	home health	93.8	8.2	-85.6	2026-07-28
SENIOR CARE SOLUTIONS	FL	home health	6.3	91.0	+84.7	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	98.9	16.2	-82.7	2026-07-28
BAYSHORE HOME CARE	FL	home health	97.6	15.1	-82.5	2026-07-28
VISITING ANGELS OF THE EMERALD COAST	FL	home health	97.8	15.6	-82.2	2026-07-28
HOME INSTEAD	FL	home health	6.3	88.5	+82.2	2026-07-28
ASSISTING HANDS GULF COAST	FL	home health	97.1	15.6	-81.5	2026-07-28
ALL WAYS CARING HOMECARE	FL	home health	16.3	97.6	+81.3	2026-07-28

Delta between the two most recent published values per facility and score_type. History is change-suppressed, so prev_at can predate computed_at by weeks; both timestamps are given.

p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. Probabilities are calibrated guesses, not records; a facility can rank high and never sell. Composite grades never include predictions, and predictions never feed the composite.