8580 VERREE ROAD, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19111 · CCN 395704
Composite
56.9 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
120
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 56.9% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
PA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.93
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.65
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.84
3.27
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.97
3.43
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
75.1
3.93
0.65
1.03
2.24
3.84
9.3%
2025Q3
92
73.2
3.94
0.75
0.98
2.22
3.82
8.1%
2025Q2
91
68.6
4.03
0.77
1.06
2.20
3.92
9.3%
2025Q1
90
66.7
4.03
0.74
1.09
2.20
3.91
12.3%
2024Q4
92
63.1
3.90
0.70
0.92
2.28
3.81
9.0%
2024Q3
92
59.0
3.87
0.73
0.89
2.25
3.87
13.6%
2024Q2
91
60.4
3.93
0.96
0.72
2.25
3.88
16.5%
2024Q1
91
60.1
3.90
0.86
0.86
2.17
3.81
10.4%
2023Q4
92
61.4
3.89
0.83
0.89
2.17
3.74
10.8%
2023Q3
92
59.6
2.73
0.59
0.65
1.49
2.79
17.7%
2023Q2
91
61.3
3.79
0.82
0.87
2.09
3.51
11.0%
2023Q1
90
52.5
1.40
0.43
0.27
0.71
1.28
23.5%
2022Q4
92
53.6
3.77
0.87
0.92
1.98
3.61
12.1%
2022Q3
92
51.5
3.73
0.91
0.85
1.97
3.65
8.8%
2022Q2
91
55.4
3.78
1.00
0.88
1.89
3.59
7.2%
2022Q1
90
52.8
3.84
0.94
0.90
2.01
3.67
0.9%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
4
D × 3E × 1
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2024-04-11
Health
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
E
2024-05-15
2024-04-11
Health
F0689
Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents.
D
2024-05-15
2024-04-11
Health
F0761
Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs.
D
2024-05-15
2023-06-22
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2023-08-02
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
32
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
ADVANTAGE CARE REHABILITATION, INC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-12-01
current
pecos_ownership
ADVANTAGE CARE REHABILITATION, INC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-11-25
current
pecos_ownership
CUMMINGS, KIMBERLY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-08-26
current
pecos_ownership
DUPREE, BETH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-11-29
current
pecos_ownership
FALLON, BRIAN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-08-21
current
pecos_ownership
HEIL, JACQUALYN
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-05-09
current
pecos_ownership
ITO, ELLYN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-11-29
current
pecos_ownership
LAWSON, COLLEEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LEZZI, S NICHOLAS
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
LYNCH, JAMES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-01-28
current
pecos_ownership
MCELWAIN, GUY
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-01-28
current
pecos_ownership
MCKINNES, CHARLOTTE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-11-01
current
pecos_ownership
SASSO, WILLIAM
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-01-28
current
pecos_ownership
SINGH, K KULTAR
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-01-28
current
pecos_ownership
STERNBERGER, KENNETH
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-01-01
current
pecos_ownership
WALSH, ROBYN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-01-28
current
pecos_ownership
WOZNIAK, GREGORY
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-07-15
current
pecos_ownership
JACQUALYN HEIL
CORPORATE OFFICER
0%
2025-05-09
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BETH DUPREE
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-11-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
BRIAN FALLON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-08-21
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
CHARLOTTE MCKINNES
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2013-11-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
COLLEEN LAWSON
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ELLYN ITO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2017-11-29
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GREGORY WOZNIAK
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2024-07-15
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GUY MCELWAIN
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-01-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
JAMES LYNCH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-01-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
K KULTAR SINGH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-01-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KENNETH STERNBERGER
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KIMBERLY CUMMINGS
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2025-08-26
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ROBYN WALSH
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-01-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
S NICHOLAS LEZZI
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2014-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WILLIAM SASSO
CORPORATE DIRECTOR
—
2008-01-28
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
5
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-06-30
$2,499,981
—
—
—
$16,158
2
—
2024-06-30
$2,830,557
—
—
—
$54,033
2
—
2023-06-30
$2,610,670
—
—
—
$94,893
2
—
2022-06-30
$3,621,842
—
—
—
$83,833
2
—
2021-06-30
$3,632,420
—
$226,325
—
$102,203
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Transactions
0
No transactions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 42101
acs median gross
0
$1,186
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42101
fmr
0
$1,397
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42101
acs median gross
1
$1,242
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42101
fmr
1
$1,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42101
acs median gross
2
$1,471
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42101
fmr
2
$1,810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42101
acs median gross
3
$1,492
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42101
fmr
3
$2,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42101
acs median gross
4
$1,687
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42101
fmr
4
$2,423
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42101
acs median gross
5
$1,534
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42101
acs median gross
$1,397
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42101
acs recent mover gross
$1,644
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19111
acs median gross
0
$898
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19111
acs median gross
1
$1,088
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19111
acs median gross
2
$1,360
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19111
acs median gross
3
$1,703
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19111
acs median gross
4
$1,998
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19111
acs median gross
$1,268
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19111
acs recent mover gross
$1,548
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 19111
payment standard 110
0
$1,364
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
payment standard 90
0
$1,116
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
safmr
0
$1,240
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
payment standard 110
1
$1,485
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
payment standard 90
1
$1,215
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
safmr
1
$1,350
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
payment standard 110
2
$1,771
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
payment standard 90
2
$1,449
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
safmr
2
$1,610
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
payment standard 110
3
$2,123
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
payment standard 90
3
$1,737
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
safmr
3
$1,930
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
payment standard 110
4
$2,376
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
payment standard 90
4
$1,944
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19111
safmr
4
$2,160
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.