Reads as: riskier than 33.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
14
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
PA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.79
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.79
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.66
3.27
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.84
3.43
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
60.3
3.79
0.79
0.70
2.30
3.66
2.6%
2025Q3
92
33.1
4.58
1.20
0.77
2.60
4.28
0.3%
2024Q4
92
80.6
3.08
0.56
0.67
1.86
3.05
19.8%
2024Q3
92
90.3
3.00
0.64
0.62
1.74
2.91
24.6%
2024Q2
91
91.6
2.83
0.70
0.54
1.59
2.76
18.8%
2024Q1
91
89.7
2.81
0.68
0.52
1.61
2.77
20.1%
2023Q4
92
88.8
2.91
0.67
0.51
1.73
2.81
20.4%
2023Q3
92
89.5
2.83
0.71
0.51
1.61
2.71
18.8%
2023Q2
91
87.9
2.93
0.79
0.50
1.64
2.72
6.4%
2023Q1
90
84.4
3.13
0.82
0.52
1.78
2.86
2.1%
2022Q4
92
90.1
2.59
0.54
0.55
1.50
2.45
11.5%
2022Q3
92
90.7
2.60
0.62
0.58
1.40
2.45
4.5%
2022Q2
91
93.4
2.51
0.65
0.59
1.27
2.43
7.0%
2022Q1
90
97.4
2.59
0.60
0.66
1.33
2.42
8.5%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
18
B × 4C × 2D × 8E × 2F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-04-03
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
E
2026-05-01
2025-07-28
Health
F0655
Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted
D
2025-08-26
2025-07-28
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
D
2025-08-26
2025-07-28
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-08-26
2025-07-28
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
C
2025-08-26
2024-02-29
Health
F0584
Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely.
B
2024-04-08
2024-02-29
Health
F0656
Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured.
E
2024-04-08
2024-02-29
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-04-08
2024-02-29
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-04-08
2024-01-21
Health · complaint
F0693
Ensure that feeding tubes are not used unless there is a medical reason and the resident agrees; and provide appropriate care for a resident with a feeding tube.
D
2024-02-29
2023-07-26
Health · complaint
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
B
—
2023-03-30
Health
F0623
Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights.
B
2023-05-15
2023-03-30
Health
F0637
Assess the resident when there is a significant change in condition
D
2023-05-15
2023-03-30
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2023-05-15
2023-03-30
Health
F0688
Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason.
D
2023-05-15
2023-03-30
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2023-05-15
2023-03-30
Health
F0814
Dispose of garbage and refuse properly.
C
2023-05-15
2023-03-30
Health
F0921
Make sure that the nursing home area is safe, easy to use, clean and comfortable for residents, staff and the public.
B
2023-05-15
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
27
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
GENESIS PM PA OPERATIONS LLC
5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-11-17
current
pecos_ownership
BERG, MICHAEL
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2022-11-17
current
pecos_ownership
BRIDGEFORD, LAURA
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
DE CURRE, KERN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-17
current
pecos_ownership
DE CURRE, KERN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-03-01
current
pecos_ownership
GEN OPERATIONS I LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-11-17
current
pecos_ownership
GEN OPERATIONS II LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-11-17
current
pecos_ownership
GENESIS HEALTHCARE INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-11-17
current
pecos_ownership
GENESIS HEALTHCARE LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-11-17
current
pecos_ownership
GENESIS HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-11-17
current
pecos_ownership
MENDELSON, AVI
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2024-06-01
current
pecos_ownership
SAIDI, FIRAS
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-02-17
current
pecos_ownership
SUN HEALTHCARE GROUP INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
—
2022-11-17
current
pecos_ownership
AVI MENDELSON
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2024-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FC-GEN OPERATIONS INVESTMENT LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-11-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
GHC HOLDINGS LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
100%
2022-11-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
LAURA BRIDGEFORD
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2024-06-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MICHAEL BERG
CORPORATE OFFICER
100%
2022-11-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
11%
2022-11-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
ZAC PROPERTIES XI LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
8%
2022-11-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
HCCF MANAGEMENT GROUP XI LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-04-01
pecos_ownership
WELLTOWER INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2022-11-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
WELLTOWER OP, LLC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
6%
2023-01-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
SUNDANCE REHABILITATION HOLDCO INC
5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST
5%
2022-11-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
FIRAS SAIDI
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KERN DE CURRE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2024-03-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
KERN DE CURRE
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-02-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2025-06-30
$2,723,489
$1,249,125
$558,543
$341,942
$534,439
9
—
2024-06-30
$3,196,876
$1,156,150
$543,856
$511,642
$944,290
10
—
2023-06-30
$324,063
—
$183,921
—
$118,659
5
—
2023-01-31
$282,647
—
$282,647
—
—
2
—
2022-05-31
$416,810
—
$416,810
—
—
2
—
2021-05-31
$431,373
—
$431,373
—
—
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
35
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 42091
acs median gross
0
$1,347
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42091
fmr
0
$1,397
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42091
acs median gross
1
$1,467
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42091
fmr
1
$1,520
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42091
acs median gross
2
$1,781
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42091
fmr
2
$1,810
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42091
acs median gross
3
$2,029
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42091
fmr
3
$2,170
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42091
acs median gross
4
$2,103
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42091
fmr
4
$2,423
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42091
acs median gross
5
$2,343
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42091
acs median gross
$1,683
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42091
acs recent mover gross
$1,838
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19006
acs median gross
0
$238
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19006
acs median gross
1
$938
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19006
acs median gross
2
$1,721
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19006
acs median gross
3
$2,082
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19006
acs median gross
4
$2,618
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19006
acs median gross
$1,457
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 19006
acs recent mover gross
$1,663
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 19006
payment standard 110
0
$1,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
payment standard 90
0
$1,350
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
safmr
0
$1,500
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
payment standard 110
1
$1,793
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
payment standard 90
1
$1,467
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
safmr
1
$1,630
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
payment standard 110
2
$2,134
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
payment standard 90
2
$1,746
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
safmr
2
$1,940
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
payment standard 110
3
$2,563
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
payment standard 90
3
$2,097
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
safmr
3
$2,330
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
payment standard 110
4
$2,860
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
payment standard 90
4
$2,340
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 19006
safmr
4
$2,600
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.