Composite
72.7 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| financial risk | 82.7 | 69.4 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 19.08 | in index |
| regulatory risk | 79.9 | 76.6 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 18.44 | in index |
| staffing risk | 46.7 | 46.8 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 8.98 | in index |
| billing conduct | 30.4 | 31.8 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 7.02 | in index |
| chow risk | 31.0 | 29.8 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 3.58 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 31.8 | B | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 25.0 | B | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 34.5 | B | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 69.4 | D | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.1 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 3.3 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 76.6 | D | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 46.8 | C | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 91.5 | F | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 71.5 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 69.3 | D | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 68.7 | D | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 76.5 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 76.5 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 46.8 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 46.8 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | -0.40 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Facility size (log beds) | 5.30 | -0.15 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 10.00 | +0.07 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chain size (log) | 0.00 | +1.20 | |
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 10.00 | -0.43 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Facility size (log beds) | 5.30 | -0.20 | |
| Occupancy | 0.71 | +0.18 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.12 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | PA median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 3.32 | 3.38 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 2.81 | 3.27 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.53 | 3.43 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 141.1 | 3.32 | 0.38 | 0.86 | 2.08 | 2.81 | 5.3% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 141.1 | 4.27 | 0.41 | 1.09 | 2.77 | 3.78 | 28.5% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 148.6 | 3.89 | 0.42 | 0.99 | 2.48 | 3.45 | 40.5% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 151.4 | 3.66 | 0.38 | 1.04 | 2.24 | 3.27 | 39.8% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 142.0 | 3.51 | 0.36 | 0.89 | 2.27 | 2.77 | 29.6% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 139.0 | 3.55 | 0.33 | 0.94 | 2.29 | 3.27 | 29.5% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 132.8 | 3.21 | 0.26 | 0.93 | 2.02 | 2.99 | 15.2% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 137.5 | 3.34 | 0.24 | 1.11 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 18.0% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 145.8 | 3.73 | 0.50 | 1.06 | 2.16 | 3.46 | 19.6% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 152.1 | 3.23 | 0.42 | 0.94 | 1.87 | 2.99 | 19.2% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 141.8 | 3.22 | 0.41 | 0.86 | 1.94 | 3.06 | 20.1% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 127.8 | 3.64 | 0.48 | 1.03 | 2.14 | 3.49 | 33.3% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 132.6 | 3.14 | 0.49 | 0.90 | 1.75 | 2.79 | 30.4% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 116.5 | 2.70 | 0.36 | 0.81 | 1.52 | 2.43 | 24.9% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 99.3 | 3.18 | 0.37 | 1.02 | 1.79 | 2.90 | 17.2% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 95.1 | 3.38 | 0.44 | 1.06 | 1.87 | 3.15 | 18.1% |
| Date | Type | Fine | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-30 | Fine | $12,923 | CMS provider data |
| 2024-09-30 | Fine | $12,924 | CMS provider data |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Health · complaint | F0686 | Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing. | D | — |
| 2026-03-30 | Health · complaint | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | D | — |
| 2026-01-28 | Health · complaint | F0919 | Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area. | D | 2026-03-16 |
| 2026-01-08 | Health · complaint | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | G | 2026-02-25 |
| 2025-12-18 | Health · complaint | F0657 | Develop the complete care plan within 7 days of the comprehensive assessment; and prepared, reviewed, and revised by a team of health professionals. | D | 2026-02-09 |
| 2025-12-18 | Health · complaint | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2026-02-09 |
| 2025-12-18 | Health · complaint | F0688 | Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason. | D | 2026-02-09 |
| 2025-12-18 | Health · complaint | F0697 | Provide safe, appropriate pain management for a resident who requires such services. | D | 2026-02-09 |
| 2025-12-18 | Health · complaint | F0699 | Provide care or services that was trauma informed and/or culturally competent. | D | 2026-02-09 |
| 2025-12-18 | Health | F0791 | Provide or obtain dental services for each resident. | D | 2026-02-09 |
| 2025-07-01 | Health · complaint | F0628 | Provide the required documentation or notification related to the resident's needs, appeal rights, or bed-hold policies. | D | 2025-08-05 |
| 2025-07-01 | Health · complaint | F0655 | Create and put into place a plan for meeting the resident's most immediate needs within 48 hours of being admitted | D | 2025-08-05 |
| 2025-02-21 | Health | F0554 | Allow residents to self-administer drugs if determined clinically appropriate. | D | 2025-04-17 |
| 2025-02-21 | Health | F0584 | Honor the resident's right to a safe, clean, comfortable and homelike environment, including but not limited to receiving treatment and supports for daily living safely. | D | 2025-04-17 |
| 2025-02-21 | Health | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2025-04-17 |
| 2025-02-21 | Health | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | D | 2025-04-17 |
| 2025-02-21 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2025-04-17 |
| 2025-02-21 | Health | F0756 | Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures. | D | 2025-04-17 |
| 2025-02-21 | Health | F0804 | Ensure food and drink is palatable, attractive, and at a safe and appetizing temperature. | E | 2025-04-17 |
| 2025-02-21 | Health | F0808 | Ensure therapeutic diets are prescribed by the attending physician and may be delegated to a registered or licensed dietitian, to the extent allowed by State law. | D | 2025-04-17 |
| 2025-02-21 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | E | 2025-04-17 |
| 2025-02-21 | Health | F0920 | Provide at least one room set aside to use as a resident dining room and for activities, that is a good size, with good lighting, air flow and furniture. | D | 2025-04-17 |
| 2024-12-05 | Health · complaint | F0745 | Provide medically-related social services to help each resident achieve the highest possible quality of life. | D | 2025-01-05 |
| 2024-09-30 | Health · complaint | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | G | 2024-09-26 |
| 2024-09-30 | Health · complaint | F0689 | Ensure that a nursing home area is free from accident hazards and provides adequate supervision to prevent accidents. | G | 2024-09-26 |
| 2024-09-19 | Health · complaint | F0623 | Provide timely notification to the resident, and if applicable to the resident representative and ombudsman, before transfer or discharge, including appeal rights. | B | 2024-09-19 |
| 2024-04-05 | Health | F0561 | Honor the resident's right to and the facility must promote and facilitate resident self-determination through support of resident choice. | D | 2024-05-13 |
| 2024-04-05 | Health | F0694 | Provide for the safe, appropriate administration of IV fluids for a resident when needed. | D | 2024-05-13 |
| 2024-04-05 | Health | F0695 | Provide safe and appropriate respiratory care for a resident when needed. | D | 2024-05-13 |
| 2024-04-05 | Health | F0698 | Provide safe, appropriate dialysis care/services for a resident who requires such services. | D | 2024-05-13 |
| 2024-04-05 | Health | F0755 | Provide pharmaceutical services to meet the needs of each resident and employ or obtain the services of a licensed pharmacist. | D | 2024-05-13 |
| 2024-04-05 | Health | F0756 | Ensure a licensed pharmacist perform a monthly drug regimen review, including the medical chart, following irregularity reporting guidelines in developed policies and procedures. | D | 2024-05-13 |
| 2024-04-05 | Health | F0883 | Develop and implement policies and procedures for flu and pneumonia vaccinations. | D | 2024-05-13 |
| 2023-08-23 | Health · complaint | F0919 | Make sure that a working call system is available in each resident's bathroom and bathing area. | D | 2023-09-18 |
| 2023-06-12 | Health · complaint | F0656 | Develop and implement a complete care plan that meets all the resident's needs, with timetables and actions that can be measured. | J | 2023-06-12 |
| 2023-06-12 | Health · complaint | F0677 | Provide care and assistance to perform activities of daily living for any resident who is unable. | D | 2023-07-17 |
| 2023-06-12 | Health · complaint | F0688 | Provide appropriate care for a resident to maintain and/or improve range of motion (ROM), limited ROM and/or mobility, unless a decline is for a medical reason. | E | 2023-07-17 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4401 HAVERFORD AVE LLC | 5% OR GREATER MORTGAGE INTEREST | — | 2024-08-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| 4401 HAVERFORD AVE LLC | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2025-01-24 | current | pecos_ownership |
| GOLDSCHMIDT, CHAVA | DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-08-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| GV CONSULTING | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-08-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| KURLAND, BENJAMIN | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-08-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| PANCHAL, VIMMIE | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-08-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| RINGKAMP, FRANCIS | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-08-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| RUBIN, ISAAC | DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | — | 2024-08-01 | current | pecos_ownership |
| BENJAMIN KURLAND | DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 92% | 2024-08-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| CHAVA GOLDSCHMIDT | DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 5% | 2024-08-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| ISAAC RUBIN | DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 3% | 2024-08-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| FRANCIS RINGKAMP | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-08-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| VIMMIE PANCHAL | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-08-01 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-01 | MANOR AT ST LUKE VILLAGE,THE | — | — | — | 104 | 1711 EAST BROAD STREET OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | PENNKNOLL VILLAGE | — | — | — | 133 | 208 PENNKNOLL ROAD OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | MAPLEWOOD NURSING AND REHAB CENTER | — | — | — | 180 | MA OPERATING, LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | PAVILION AT ST LUKE VILLAGE, THE | — | — | — | 120 | 1000 STACIE DRIVE OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | MANOR AT PENN VILLAGE, THE | — | — | — | 159 | 51 ROUTE 204 OPCO LLC |
| 2025-05-01 | WYNCOTE CARE CENTER | — | — | — | 58 | WYNCOTE CARE LLC |
| 2025-05-01 | ONYX WELLNESS CENTER | — | — | — | 119 | ONYX WELLNESS CENTER LLC |
| 2025-04-24 | HAVENCREST REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER | — | — | — | 48 | HAVENCREST REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER LLC |
| 2025-04-24 | BEAVER VALLEY REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER | — | — | — | 120 | BEAVER VALLEY REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER LLC |
| 2025-04-01 | STROUDSBURG POST ACUTE NURSING & REHABILITATIONLLC | — | — | — | 174 | STROUDSBURG POST ACUTE NURSING & REHABILITATION LLC |
| 2025-02-01 | EDENBROOK OF YEADON | — | — | — | 190 | YEADON SNF OPERATIONS, LLC |
| 2025-02-01 | EDENBROOK OF GREENWOOD HILL | — | — | — | 160 | POTTSVILLE SNF OPERATIONS, LLC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,186 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | fmr | 0 | $1,397 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,242 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | fmr | 1 | $1,520 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,471 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | fmr | 2 | $1,810 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,492 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | fmr | 3 | $2,170 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,687 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | fmr | 4 | $2,423 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | 5 | $1,534 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42101 | acs median gross | $1,397 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 42101 | acs recent mover gross | $1,644 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 19104 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,254 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 19104 | acs median gross | 1 | $1,206 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 19104 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,571 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 19104 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,348 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 19104 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,980 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 19104 | acs median gross | 5 | $1,741 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 19104 | acs median gross | $1,364 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 19104 | acs recent mover gross | $1,564 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 19104 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $1,529 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $1,251 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | safmr | 0 | $1,390 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $1,661 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $1,359 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | safmr | 1 | $1,510 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $1,980 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $1,620 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | safmr | 2 | $1,800 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $2,376 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $1,944 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | safmr | 3 | $2,160 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $2,651 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $2,169 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 19104 | safmr | 4 | $2,410 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |