Composite
85.1 / 100 percentile
| Component | Percentile | Raw | Weight | Weight share | Contribution | Counts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| regulatory risk | 76.0 | 72.4 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 17.54 | in index |
| financial risk | 60.7 | 52.8 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 14.01 | in index |
| billing conduct | 59.7 | 43.4 | 0.30 | 0.2308 | 13.78 | in index |
| staffing risk | 50.6 | 50.6 | 0.25 | 0.1923 | 9.73 | in index |
| chow risk | 71.3 | 52.3 | 0.15 | 0.1154 | 8.23 | in index |
| Score type | Score | Grade | Model | Status | Registry model notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| billing conduct | 43.4 | B | v0.1-pacpuf-snf | default · in composite | R22. PAC PUF SNF 2023. PDPM coding intensity vs acuity, stay length, charge markup. |
| chow risk | 55.0 | C | v0.1-pos | default · in composite | Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure. |
| chow risk | 49.6 | C | v0.6 | default · in composite | |
| financial risk | 52.8 | C | v0.5 | default · in composite | R18. |
| p adverse action 12m | 0.0 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite. |
| p chow 12m | 3.2 | — | v0.1 | default · in composite | R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite. |
| regulatory risk | 72.4 | D | v0.3 | default · in composite | Deficiency-based, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.5-pos. |
| staffing risk | 50.6 | C | v0.3 | default · in composite | Cost-report staffing, SNF population. Runs alongside v0.4-pos, which covers ICF/IID from POS. |
| financial risk | 94.7 | F | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 74.7 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 64.2 | C | v0.3 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| financial risk | 53.5 | C | v0.4 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 72.3 | D | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| regulatory risk | 72.3 | D | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 50.6 | C | v0.1 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| staffing risk | 50.6 | C | v0.2 | superseded | Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity. |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | +0.69 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.62 | |
| Occupancy | 0.90 | -0.57 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.57 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.42 | |
| Ownership changes, last 5 years | 0.00 | +0.20 | |
| Contract staffing share | 0.00 | -0.10 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 10.00 | +0.07 |
| Driver | Value | Pull on odds | |
|---|---|---|---|
| For-profit ownership | 1.00 | -0.69 | |
| Occupancy | 0.90 | -0.62 | |
| Deficiencies, last 12 months | 10.00 | -0.43 | |
| No PBJ staffing report | 0.00 | +0.39 | |
| Fine amount, 12m (log) | 0.00 | +0.18 | |
| Never sold on record | 1.00 | +0.12 | |
| Current owner tenure (years) | 25.00 | +0.11 | |
| Facility size (log beds) | 3.89 | +0.10 |
| 2025Q4 HPRD | This facility | PA median | National median | National p25–p75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total nurse | 3.27 | 3.38 | 3.28 | 2.90–3.77 |
| RN | 0.87 | 0.45 | 0.39 | 0.25–0.58 |
| Weekend total | 3.27 | 3.27 | 3.11 | — |
| Weekday total | 3.27 | 3.43 | 3.35 | — |
| Quarter | Days | Avg census | Total HPRD | RN | LPN | CNA | Weekend | Contract % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q4 | 92 | 43.0 | 3.27 | 0.87 | 0.16 | 2.24 | 3.27 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q3 | 92 | 41.2 | 3.15 | 0.91 | 0.13 | 2.12 | 3.08 | 0.0% |
| 2025Q2 | 91 | 39.6 | 3.19 | 1.00 | 0.10 | 2.09 | 3.13 | 8.2% |
| 2025Q1 | 90 | 40.0 | 3.29 | 0.92 | 0.24 | 2.12 | 3.17 | 36.3% |
| 2024Q4 | 92 | 37.3 | 3.11 | 1.16 | 0.05 | 1.91 | 3.13 | 19.7% |
| 2024Q3 | 92 | 37.6 | 3.38 | 1.11 | 0.21 | 2.06 | 3.27 | 23.7% |
| 2024Q2 | 91 | 38.9 | 3.00 | 0.91 | 0.13 | 1.96 | 3.06 | 14.7% |
| 2024Q1 | 91 | 40.8 | 2.95 | 0.83 | 0.30 | 1.82 | 2.94 | 8.7% |
| 2023Q4 | 92 | 41.8 | 3.02 | 0.71 | 0.38 | 1.93 | 2.86 | 12.3% |
| 2023Q3 | 92 | 43.5 | 2.99 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 1.91 | 2.90 | 19.5% |
| 2023Q2 | 91 | 45.0 | 2.78 | 0.71 | 0.29 | 1.78 | 2.71 | 8.9% |
| 2023Q1 | 90 | 46.2 | 3.00 | 0.88 | 0.28 | 1.84 | 2.86 | 0.6% |
| 2022Q4 | 92 | 45.7 | 2.91 | 0.84 | 0.34 | 1.73 | 2.91 | 2.2% |
| 2022Q3 | 92 | 45.8 | 2.75 | 0.87 | 0.39 | 1.48 | 2.64 | 1.7% |
| 2022Q2 | 91 | 42.8 | 2.69 | 0.86 | 0.47 | 1.35 | 2.58 | 3.2% |
| 2022Q1 | 90 | 42.5 | 2.72 | 0.79 | 0.53 | 1.40 | 2.63 | 1.6% |
| Date | Type | Fine | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-02 | Fine | $18,962 | CMS provider data |
| Survey | Type | Tag | Deficiency | Scope | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 | Health | F0575 | Post a list of names, addresses, and telephone numbers of all pertinent State agencies and advocacy groups and a statement that the resident may file a complaint with the State Survey Agency. | B | 2026-01-05 |
| 2025-11-14 | Health | F0579 | Provide information about how to apply for and use Medicare and Medicaid benefits. | B | 2026-01-05 |
| 2025-11-14 | Health | F0585 | Honor the resident's right to voice grievances without discrimination or reprisal and the facility must establish a grievance policy and make prompt efforts to resolve grievances. | E | 2026-01-05 |
| 2025-11-14 | Health | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | E | 2026-01-05 |
| 2025-11-14 | Health | F0610 | Respond appropriately to all alleged violations. | E | 2026-01-05 |
| 2025-11-14 | Health | F0686 | Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing. | E | 2026-01-05 |
| 2025-11-14 | Health | F0700 | Try different approaches before using a bed rail. If a bed rail is needed, the facility must (1) assess a resident for safety risk; (2) review these risks and benefits with the resident/representative; (3) get informed consent; and (4) Correctly install and maintain the bed rail. | E | 2026-01-05 |
| 2025-11-14 | Health | F0725 | Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift. | E | 2026-01-05 |
| 2025-11-14 | Health | F0812 | Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards. | F | 2026-01-05 |
| 2025-11-14 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | E | 2026-01-05 |
| 2025-07-01 | Health · complaint | F0760 | Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors. | E | 2025-07-15 |
| 2024-11-27 | Health | F0583 | Keep residents' personal and medical records private and confidential. | D | 2025-01-02 |
| 2024-11-27 | Health | F0600 | Protect each resident from all types of abuse such as physical, mental, sexual abuse, physical punishment, and neglect by anybody. | E | 2025-01-02 |
| 2024-11-27 | Health | F0610 | Respond appropriately to all alleged violations. | E | 2025-01-02 |
| 2024-11-27 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | D | 2025-01-02 |
| 2024-11-27 | Health | F0760 | Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors. | D | 2025-01-02 |
| 2024-11-27 | Health | F0801 | Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician. | E | 2025-01-02 |
| 2024-11-27 | Health | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | E | 2025-01-02 |
| 2024-09-03 | Health · complaint | F0602 | Protect each resident from the wrongful use of the resident's belongings or money. | E | 2024-09-24 |
| 2024-09-03 | Health · complaint | F0609 | Timely report suspected abuse, neglect, or theft and report the results of the investigation to proper authorities. | D | 2024-09-24 |
| 2024-09-03 | Health · complaint | F0610 | Respond appropriately to all alleged violations. | E | 2024-09-24 |
| 2024-09-03 | Health · complaint | F0725 | Provide enough nursing staff every day to meet the needs of every resident; and have a licensed nurse in charge on each shift. | E | 2024-09-24 |
| 2024-05-02 | Health · complaint | F0880 | Provide and implement an infection prevention and control program. | H | 2024-05-17 |
| 2024-04-04 | Health · complaint | F0580 | Immediately tell the resident, the resident's doctor, and a family member of situations (injury/decline/room, etc.) that affect the resident. | D | 2024-04-17 |
| 2024-03-25 | Health · complaint | F0660 | Plan the resident's discharge to meet the resident's goals and needs. | D | 2024-04-17 |
| 2024-03-25 | Health · complaint | F0745 | Provide medically-related social services to help each resident achieve the highest possible quality of life. | E | 2024-04-17 |
| 2023-10-25 | Health · complaint | F0579 | Provide information about how to apply for and use Medicare and Medicaid benefits. | F | 2023-11-15 |
| 2023-10-13 | Health | F0550 | Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights. | D | 2023-11-14 |
| 2023-10-13 | Health | F0582 | Give residents notice of Medicaid/Medicare coverage and potential liability for services not covered. | D | 2023-11-14 |
| 2023-10-13 | Health | F0684 | Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals. | E | 2023-11-14 |
| 2023-10-13 | Health | F0760 | Ensure that residents are free from significant medication errors. | E | 2023-11-14 |
| 2023-10-13 | Health | F0761 | Ensure drugs and biologicals used in the facility are labeled in accordance with currently accepted professional principles; and all drugs and biologicals must be stored in locked compartments, separately locked, compartments for controlled drugs. | D | 2023-11-14 |
| 2023-10-13 | Health | F0847 | Inform resident or representatives choice to enter into binding arbitration agreement and right to refuse. | D | 2023-11-14 |
| 2023-10-13 | Health | F0882 | Designate a qualified infection preventionist to be responsible for the infection prevent and control program in the nursing home. | E | 2023-11-14 |
| 2023-10-13 | Health | F0944 | Conduct mandatory training, for all staff, on the facility’s Quality Assurance and Performance Improvement Program. | C | 2023-11-14 |
| 2023-10-13 | Health | F0947 | Ensure nurse aides have the skills they need to care for residents, and give nurse aides education in dementia care and abuse prevention. | E | 2023-11-14 |
| 2023-06-15 | Health · complaint | F0801 | Employ sufficient staff with the appropriate competencies and skills sets to carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service, including a qualified dietician. | F | 2023-07-11 |
| 2023-06-15 | Health · complaint | F0802 | Provide sufficient support personnel to safely and effectively carry out the functions of the food and nutrition service. | E | 2023-07-11 |
| Owner | Role | Pct | From | Status | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CORE PENNSYLVANIA HOLDCO LLC | 5% OR GREATER DIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2024-12-13 | current | pecos_ownership |
| DEVLIN, JAMES | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-12-13 | current | pecos_ownership |
| EISEN, JOSHUA | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-12-13 | current | pecos_ownership |
| GARRISON, JOSEPH | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-12-13 | current | pecos_ownership |
| RAINTREE CONSULTING GROUP LLC | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-12-13 | current | pecos_ownership |
| CORE TBD HOLDCO LLC | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 100% | 2024-12-13 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| SHAI BERDUGO | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 29% | 2024-12-13 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| JOSHUA EISEN | 5% OR GREATER INDIRECT OWNERSHIP INTEREST | 29% | 2024-12-13 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| JAMES DEVLIN | ADP OF THE SNF | — | 2024-12-13 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| JOSEPH GARRISON | OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL | — | 2024-12-13 | ended 2026-05-18 | pecos_ownership |
| Close | Facility | Price | $/bed | Cap rate | Beds | Buyer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-01 | MANOR AT ST LUKE VILLAGE,THE | — | — | — | 104 | 1711 EAST BROAD STREET OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | PENNKNOLL VILLAGE | — | — | — | 133 | 208 PENNKNOLL ROAD OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | MAPLEWOOD NURSING AND REHAB CENTER | — | — | — | 180 | MA OPERATING, LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | PAVILION AT ST LUKE VILLAGE, THE | — | — | — | 120 | 1000 STACIE DRIVE OPCO LLC |
| 2025-06-01 | MANOR AT PENN VILLAGE, THE | — | — | — | 159 | 51 ROUTE 204 OPCO LLC |
| 2025-05-01 | WYNCOTE CARE CENTER | — | — | — | 58 | WYNCOTE CARE LLC |
| 2025-05-01 | ONYX WELLNESS CENTER | — | — | — | 119 | ONYX WELLNESS CENTER LLC |
| 2025-04-24 | HAVENCREST REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER | — | — | — | 48 | HAVENCREST REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER LLC |
| 2025-04-24 | BEAVER VALLEY REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER | — | — | — | 120 | BEAVER VALLEY REHABILITATION AND HEALTHCARE CENTER LLC |
| 2025-04-01 | STROUDSBURG POST ACUTE NURSING & REHABILITATIONLLC | — | — | — | 174 | STROUDSBURG POST ACUTE NURSING & REHABILITATION LLC |
| 2025-02-01 | EDENBROOK OF YEADON | — | — | — | 190 | YEADON SNF OPERATIONS, LLC |
| 2025-02-01 | EDENBROOK OF GREENWOOD HILL | — | — | — | 160 | POTTSVILLE SNF OPERATIONS, LLC |
| Geo | Kind | BR | Amount | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| county 42003 | acs median gross | 0 | $1,022 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42003 | fmr | 0 | $1,001 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42003 | acs median gross | 1 | $965 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42003 | fmr | 1 | $1,077 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42003 | acs median gross | 2 | $1,201 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42003 | fmr | 2 | $1,299 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42003 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,426 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42003 | fmr | 3 | $1,661 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42003 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,624 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42003 | fmr | 4 | $1,789 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_FMR |
| county 42003 | acs median gross | 5 | $1,697 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| county 42003 | acs median gross | $1,153 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| county 42003 | acs recent mover gross | $1,351 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 15120 | acs median gross | 0 | $637 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 15120 | acs median gross | 1 | $658 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 15120 | acs median gross | 2 | $932 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 15120 | acs median gross | 3 | $1,144 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 15120 | acs median gross | 4 | $1,375 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 15120 | acs median gross | 5 | $1,708 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 |
| zcta 15120 | acs median gross | $904 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zcta 15120 | acs recent mover gross | $1,123 | 2024-12-31 | CENSUS_ACS5 | |
| zip 15120 | payment standard 110 | 0 | $1,001 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | payment standard 90 | 0 | $819 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | safmr | 0 | $910 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | payment standard 110 | 1 | $1,078 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | payment standard 90 | 1 | $882 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | safmr | 1 | $980 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | payment standard 110 | 2 | $1,298 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | payment standard 90 | 2 | $1,062 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | safmr | 2 | $1,180 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | payment standard 110 | 3 | $1,661 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | payment standard 90 | 3 | $1,359 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | safmr | 3 | $1,510 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | payment standard 110 | 4 | $1,793 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | payment standard 90 | 4 | $1,467 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |
| zip 15120 | safmr | 4 | $1,630 | 2025-10-01 | HUD_USER_SAFMR |