803 NORTH WAHNETA ST, ALLENTOWN, PA 18103 · CCN 395171 · chain NFR 2020 IRRV TR
Composite
35.6 / 100 percentile
Peer group
snf n = 14,684
Evidence depth
deep
Certified beds
111
Model
v1.2
Reads as: riskier than 35.6% of the 14,684 facilities in the snf peer group. percentile within peer group, 100 = highest risk. Grade bands are fixed percentile cuts (F is the top 5% of peer risk), so a grade is a position, not an absolute level.
weighted_contribution sums to pre_rank_index over rows where counts_toward_index is true. The composite is the facility's percentile position of that index within its peer group, so contributions explain the input, and the rank explains the score.
Change-of-ownership footprint in the CMS Provider of Services file: control-family, legal-name and address deltas across quarterly snapshots, plus certification reset recency and Medicare tenure.
R23/W4-3. Deterministic logistic p(Medicare termination within 12m), SNF only. Label = first POS termination date (any code: voluntary closure, involuntary termination, merger exit); facilities already terminated by the panel date are excluded, not counted as safe. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=46,466, 283 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x, top-decile capture 95.4% of the 65 terminations that followed. Separability is high because closures announce themselves in the data: collapsing occupancy is the strongest signal, and the learned NEGATIVE weight on 12m deficiency counts is the surveys-stop signature of a facility winding down, not a claim that clean inspections are dangerous. Same 15 as-of-date features and anti-leakage chassis as p_chow_12m; SFF entry rejected as a label (only one month of SFF history exists, so as-of transitions cannot be reconstructed). Score = probability x 100; grade NULL. Not in any composite.
R22/W4-2. Deterministic logistic p(CHOW within 12m), SNF only. Trained on panels 2024-07/2024-10/2025-01 (n=50,700, 1,207 positives), evaluated on the held-out later panel 2025-04 BEFORE shipping: AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x (top 10% of predictions captured 49.6% of the CHOWs that actually closed in the next 12 months). Shipped coefficients are the evaluated ones; no post-holdout refit. Caveat: holdout positives (133) run below the training base rate because recent CHOWs surface in public records with a lag, so measured lift is conservative. Features are as-of-date public records: PBJ staffing level/trend/contract share (quarterly history to 2022Q1), deficiency and CMP counts (12m), ownership tenure and churn from CHOW-evidenced transactions, beds, occupancy, ownership type, chain size. Chain membership and ownership type are current-state (history not published). SFF and star ratings deliberately excluded (no as-of history). Notable learned direction: long ownership tenure RAISES sale odds and a recent prior CHOW lowers them. Score = probability x 100; grade is NULL because a probability is not a quality letter. Not in any composite.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later financial_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later regulatory_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Pre-registry model iteration, superseded by a later staffing_risk rebuild. Rows retained for audit per project convention (see regulatory_risk v0.4-pos); never consumed because v_cii_api_facility_score and the composite eligibility join both require status = default. Backfilled 2026-07-26 by alert triage on model_registry_integrity.
Rows with counts_toward_composite false come from models that are addressable or retracted rather than default. They exist and may be informative, but they did not enter the published composite and must not be summed as though they had.
p_adverse_action_12m: probability the facility's Medicare participation terminates within 12 months (any POS termination code; already-terminated facilities are excluded, not scored safe). Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.971, top-decile lift 9.5x. Closures announce themselves: collapsing occupancy dominates, and fewer recent surveys is a winding-down signature. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models. | p_chow_12m: probability of a change of ownership within 12 months. Deterministic logistic over as-of-date public records, SNF only. Holdout (2025-04 panel, evaluated before shipping): AUC 0.874, top-decile lift 5.0x. inputs.features holds raw feature values, inputs.contributions each feature's standardized pull on the log-odds. Predictions never enter the composite. See /v1/models for full notes.
Probability the facility's Medicare participation ends within 12 months, from public records only. Red bars raise exit odds. A negative pull from deficiencies is the winding-down signature — surveys stop as a facility empties — not evidence that clean inspections are dangerous.
Staffing vs peers
16
2025Q4 HPRD
This facility
PA median
National median
National p25–p75
Total nurse
3.27
3.38
3.28
2.90–3.77
RN
0.36
0.45
0.39
0.25–0.58
Weekend total
3.14
3.27
3.11
—
Weekday total
3.32
3.43
3.35
—
Quarter
Days
Avg census
Total HPRD
RN
LPN
CNA
Weekend
Contract %
2025Q4
92
105.9
3.27
0.36
0.82
2.09
3.14
3.7%
2025Q3
92
107.0
3.13
0.34
0.81
1.98
2.99
2.1%
2025Q2
91
105.0
3.10
0.34
0.85
1.90
3.01
0.5%
2025Q1
90
105.1
3.18
0.36
0.81
2.01
3.15
0.5%
2024Q4
92
105.6
3.14
0.38
0.85
1.90
3.04
0.0%
2024Q3
92
103.1
3.09
0.27
0.88
1.94
3.05
0.6%
2024Q2
91
104.3
2.81
0.22
0.85
1.74
2.77
0.6%
2024Q1
91
108.2
2.89
0.22
0.90
1.77
2.79
1.0%
2023Q4
92
103.8
3.02
0.31
0.97
1.74
2.91
2.8%
2023Q3
92
100.2
3.12
0.39
1.00
1.73
3.12
16.3%
2023Q2
91
92.6
3.20
0.32
1.13
1.75
3.06
22.6%
2023Q1
90
98.3
2.92
0.34
1.01
1.58
2.75
21.5%
2022Q4
92
99.5
2.77
0.28
1.01
1.48
2.85
16.0%
2022Q3
92
99.7
2.89
0.33
0.98
1.57
2.83
23.0%
2022Q2
91
97.0
3.04
0.25
1.11
1.67
2.92
28.2%
2022Q1
90
100.8
2.97
0.37
0.81
1.79
2.75
30.8%
HPRD is census-weighted: total hours over the quarter divided by total resident-days, not an average of daily ratios. Source is CMS Payroll-Based Journal daily records; only SNFs report PBJ, so other settings legitimately return zero rows.
Penalties
0
No penalties on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Deficiencies
11
C × 1D × 8F × 2
deficiencies by survey year
Survey
Type
Tag
Deficiency
Scope
Corrected
2026-03-18
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2026-04-01
2025-12-05
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2026-01-06
2025-12-05
Health
F0686
Provide appropriate pressure ulcer care and prevent new ulcers from developing.
D
2026-01-06
2025-12-05
Health
F0692
Provide enough food/fluids to maintain a resident's health.
D
2026-01-06
2025-12-05
Health
F0806
Ensure each resident receives and the facility provides food that accommodates resident allergies, intolerances, and preferences, as well as appealing options.
D
2026-01-06
2025-12-05
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2026-01-06
2025-08-06
Health · complaint
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2025-08-26
2024-12-30
Health · complaint
F0550
Honor the resident's right to a dignified existence, self-determination, communication, and to exercise his or her rights.
D
2025-02-03
2024-01-11
Health
F0565
Honor the resident's right to organize and participate in resident/family groups in the facility.
C
2024-02-13
2024-01-11
Health
F0684
Provide appropriate treatment and care according to orders, resident’s preferences and goals.
D
2024-02-13
2024-01-11
Health
F0812
Procure food from sources approved or considered satisfactory and store, prepare, distribute and serve food in accordance with professional standards.
F
2024-02-13
scope_severity uses the CMS letter grid: A is least serious, L most. J, K and L are immediate jeopardy. Rows are the surveyor's findings of record, not the model's opinion.
Licensure actions
0
No licensure actions on record for this facility. Absence of a record here means the sources CII ingests contain none, not that none exists anywhere.
Ownership
34
Owner
Role
Pct
From
Status
Source
RIVERTON PROPERTY CO
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2024-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
RIVERTON PROPERTY CO
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2023-01-01
current
hcris_a_8_1
HARMAN, DINA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
ISRAEL DISCOUNT BANK OF NEW YORK - IDB BANK OF YORK
5% OR GREATER SECURITY INTEREST
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
LONG, TROY
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-04-17
current
pecos_ownership
MARQUIS LIMITED LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
MARQUIS LIMITED LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
NFR 2020 IRRV TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
NUTRACO LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
NUTRACO LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-28
current
pecos_ownership
PLANTHOLT, OLIVIA
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-08-14
current
pecos_ownership
POSEN, MINDEE
CORPORATE OFFICER
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
POSEN, MINDEE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-04-01
current
pecos_ownership
QUINTO NEXGEN LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
RELIANT PRO REHAB LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2025-03-19
current
pecos_ownership
RELIANT PRO REHAB LLC
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
RIVERTON PROPERTY LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
RSBRMK HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
SK NEXGEN TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
TRYKO NEXGEN HOLDINGS LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
UAK 2020 IRRV TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
UKR NEXGEN LLC
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
VAN WIRT, PAIGE
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2022-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
VIROJA, YOGESH
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
YK NEXGEN TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
YR NEXGEN TR
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
current
pecos_ownership
RIVERTON PROPERTY CO
Corporation, partnership or other organization has financial interest in provider
100%
2022-01-01
ended 2022-12-31
hcris_a_8_1
DINA HARMAN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MINDEE POSEN
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2021-10-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
MINDEE POSEN
OPERATIONAL/MANAGERIAL CONTROL
—
2025-04-01
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
OLIVIA PLANTHOLT
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-08-14
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PAIGE VAN WIRT
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2022-10-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
TROY LONG
ADP OF THE SNF
—
2023-04-17
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
YOGESH VIROJA
MANAGING CONTROL - GOVERNING BODY
—
2021-10-07
ended 2026-05-18
pecos_ownership
PECOS ownership and managing-control associations. Current edges have no end date in the source; historical edges are retained.
Related-party costs
6
FY end
Total allowable
Rent
Home office
Therapy
Staffing
Counterparties
PropCo
2024-12-31
$871,835
—
$871,835
—
—
2
propco
2023-12-31
$902,155
—
$690,955
—
$211,200
3
propco
2022-12-31
$878,836
—
$716,836
—
$162,000
3
propco
2021-12-31
$385,680
$197,595
$157,785
—
$30,300
3
—
2021-10-06
$1,194,649
—
—
—
—
2
—
2020-12-31
$1,661,234
—
—
—
—
2
—
Cost-report related-party spend by fiscal year. has_propco flags real-estate counterparties.
Most recent same-state, same-setting trades. Most CHOW-derived trades carry no disclosed consideration, so price, $/bed, and cap rate show only where a sale price was resolved from a deed or filing — blanks are honest, not missing data.
Market rent context
36
Geo
Kind
BR
Amount
As of
Source
county 42077
acs median gross
0
$1,087
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42077
fmr
0
$1,130
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42077
acs median gross
1
$1,137
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42077
fmr
1
$1,341
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42077
acs median gross
2
$1,468
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42077
fmr
2
$1,634
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42077
acs median gross
3
$1,602
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42077
fmr
3
$2,087
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42077
acs median gross
4
$1,790
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42077
fmr
4
$2,195
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_FMR
county 42077
acs median gross
5
$1,769
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42077
acs median gross
$1,383
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
county 42077
acs recent mover gross
$1,595
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 18103
acs median gross
0
$1,321
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 18103
acs median gross
1
$1,225
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 18103
acs median gross
2
$1,403
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 18103
acs median gross
3
$1,635
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 18103
acs median gross
4
$1,649
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 18103
acs median gross
5
$1,199
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 18103
acs median gross
$1,368
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zcta 18103
acs recent mover gross
$1,487
2024-12-31
CENSUS_ACS5
zip 18103
payment standard 110
0
$1,254
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
payment standard 90
0
$1,026
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
safmr
0
$1,140
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
payment standard 110
1
$1,485
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
payment standard 90
1
$1,215
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
safmr
1
$1,350
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
payment standard 110
2
$1,815
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
payment standard 90
2
$1,485
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
safmr
2
$1,650
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
payment standard 110
3
$2,321
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
payment standard 90
3
$1,899
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
safmr
3
$2,110
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
payment standard 110
4
$2,442
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
payment standard 90
4
$1,998
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
zip 18103
safmr
4
$2,220
2025-10-01
HUD_USER_SAFMR
ACS median gross rents and HUD FMR/SAFMR for the facility's county and ZIP. Context for underwriting, not facility pricing.